League Circles wrote:You talk about context to correct for RPM. I thought RPM was already supposed to take context of teammates out of the equation?
Well I was talking more raw on/off there. It is possible his RPM would be lower than his Raw if he's just looking better due to horrible teammates. Then we have a more complicated picture.
But his real effectiveness, whether raw or adjusted, might actually get better due to better fit and role, which is more what I expect. Due to his best skill isn't being duplicated so much as in Minny where Kat and Wiggins also needed the ball a lot.
If the latter were to happen it wouldn't mean RPM was wrongly assessing his impact in Minny, just his situation massively changed, and/or he made actual improvement that also would have happened in Minny had he stayed there.
Also should note if the Bulls are a bottom 3 team next year, they will not be a normal context team at all, which might mess with value ratings more starkly.
If however, this projection ends up being right and Zach does stay a negative impact player, yikes that would be bad. I'd give him a break if he misses half the year, but if he comes back fairly quickly, but were still be an on floor negative for the 4th straight year and 4th overall career season, real real bad sign for both his monetary value via contract, and for his future potential.
Anyway, Zach aside, for the rest of the Bulls players and team projection, I'd expect the RPM based projection to be likely much more accurate. And even if it were to get say Zach wrong, probably wouldn't be by so much to throw off the overall by too much. Though not like its going out on some big limb to say the Bulls are going to suck next year.
Now if someone is high on every single piece we got for Jimmy (Zach, Dunn, Lauri) they should be disagreeing with this assessment and probably projecting us over 30 wins.