Dresden wrote:Highly disagree. the team we blew up had little chance of getting any better, and a big chance of getting worse because of the age of two of their three best players (Rondo/Wade). We are not going to replicate that- we are starting over with young players who hopefully have a lot of potential. And then we will have these players as they develop into their prime.
Young players will get better, but young superstars are most often obvious in their talent and ability, and we don't have that yet.
Unless you get one then regardless of internal growth, a team is likely to have a ceiling that at most is the Budenholzer Hawks. And most don't even get that far without a franchise player.
The Bulls best bet to get that guy is with a high lottery pick, that's why it would be extremely dangerous to get too good too fast, try to win too soon, or to even have our young players start advancing at a rate that could wreck getting those picks.
If we only have next summer as a top 3 pick year, then that 1 pick could very will determine the entire rebuild.
3 or 4 years ago the Magic thought they had a great young core of improving young guys in Oladipo, Gordon, Vucevic, Fournier, Payton. Easily a match and more vs what we have in place, fast forward several years to today and they are still nowhere, a big mess. Getting a superstar talent or not makes all the difference. Until you have it, might as well just keep on tanking. Especially when you are already bad.
So if you aren't going to try to win with a playoff team around a top 12 player in Butler, it would be many times more illogical and stupid to start trying to win without even having a player as good as that.
The age of young players is drastically overrated as equating with limitless growth. The truth is that by the 3rd year most players are already done with their major growth, close to plateauing and will from then on just make minor tweaks. A guy like Jimmy Butler is an extreme anomaly, blossoming into a star so late, and a poor example to cite as a likely occurrence for other players, yet for some reason I see his career arc cited all the time as if its common or likely for guys like Dunn or LaVine.