Susan wrote:I'm not really sure what you two want.
I don't know that the Bears could have done much, certainly not at QB. They went all in earlier and now live with the constraints on resources they had. I think their draft was lousy, it looks like they massively reached for a TE and also used up a ton of cap room to overpay a TE on the market, and going into the season, I'm not confident that they'll actually be all that much better at TE despite using a ton of resources to shore up the position.
On QB, they also used a lot of resources given that it took a good amount of their remaining cap room and a fourth rounder. So probably what I would have liked to see more is to use all the cap room and pick they spent Foles/Graham to instead upgrade the offensive line / running backs / WRs. Probably wouldn't have drafted their TE either.
If you do that instead, then I think Trubisky stands as good a chance as being solid as Foles does. I know the world would have hated committing to Trubisky another year, and in many ways, so would I. I just don't think Foles was a big enough upgrade given that the talent around him is so poor.
Foles has a statistical run that's pretty freaking rare. He's got a Super Bowl MVP victory over Brady. We have no idea what Foles will bring. He was brilliant in 2013, he was 6-2 as a starter before he broke his collarbone in 2014, got traded to STL where he sucked with no legit WRs, left there and was a backup in KC followed by Philly where he was 7-2 as a starter and happened to win a Super Bowl/Super Bowl MVP and the following year won a road playoff game against Trubsiky and our dominant defense.
2013 is totally irrelevant. It's not even worth bringing up.
2017/18 playoff run was great, but he wasn't super special in the regular season.
2018 season was solid before getting hurt.
2019 he was awful and lost his job to someone awful
Dude's career is weird but his peaks are about as high as it gets in the NFL. To say "Bears best chance to win a super bowl was to double down on Trubisky" and then ignore Foles' peak is just a weird take. Trubisky's peak doesn't touch Foles from either a team accomplishment standpoint or a statistical peak standpoint.
He's not had a good full season in the NFL for seven years.
I have no idea what Foles is going to bring this season and to pretend like you do would be foolish. Dude's been all over the place in his career. If he's healthy and the defense is rolling, this is a really good team.
I wouldn't pretend to know what will happen in any sport. I've not said or implied that I do. It's a matter of probabilities. Foles hasn't had a complete quality season in the NFL for seven years. If you want to say anything can happen, sure, anything can happen. I agree he has shown enough to think if everything falls just right he could have a magical year.
I just think that's an improbable outcome not an impossible one. Foles isn't a bad bet in a vacuum to me. It's spending so much on Foles + Graham + losing your pick to get Foles + using your best pick to reach for a TE that most people had going 30 spots later. Overall, it feels like poor value up and down the board.
I hope things work out, I think they'll probably be around 8-8 again, their upside, as I noted earlier, seems mainly to me on defense and hoping they have a monster one this year.