Fair question: is there any reason for Giannis not to sign with MIA or DAL next year? Either spot would be an excellent organization with an excellent perimeter co-star with excellent 3D role-players and excellent coaching staff. Best of all, everyone would be rooting for them to beat the Lakers or Clippers.
If I'm MIL, I'm either going for the mortgage-the-future grand-daddy 1y run, knowing there's a 75% chance of bust (since frankly LAC, LAL and the others are contending favorites regardless who MIL adds) and 2-4y Nets style crumble, or risk just quietly losing Giannis in another squeaky Eastern conference run, and getting ready for a rebuild with no timeline since they'll basically be the 2010-14 Cavs.
I don't know how they can do it (well, a LOT of future FRPs), but they should really go all out and try to offer the whole kitchen for Harden or Beal. Like, 2021-2029 picks, as absurd as it sounds.
Middleton, Hill, DiVincenzo, Bledsoe, 21-29 unprotected FRPs and swaps for Harden
Or put some light protections (top-2 or 4) on the back-end of the 2025-beyond picks for a Beal/Wall package.
Is it too crazy? MIL might not get a star like Giannis ever again, and I really don't see what the mid/late FRPs are gonna do for them. Sure, I see the risk in a decade of FRP annihilation. On the other hand, MIL has seen stars come and go (Vin Baker, Big Dog, Ray Allen, Cassell) with nothing remotely close to the success they'd had with Giannis. If you get Harden or Beal, Giannis probably sees a nice 3-5 year contending window.