RealGM

Dallas win/Miami win: 9.4% (11th)
Dallas loss/Miami win: 8.25% (11th/12th tie)
Dallas win/Miami loss: 7.1% (12th)
Dallas loss/Miami loss: 6.4% (12th/13th tie)

Go Mavs and Heat! Especially Heat!

The odds of getting the #1 pick for each of Doug's four scenarios -

2%
1.65%
1.3%
1.25%

Hey, every little bit helps.

Ice Man wrote:The odds of getting the #1 pick for each of Doug's four scenarios -

2%
1.65%
1.3%
1.25%

Hey, every little bit helps.

I would be ecstatic with top 4.

If both mavs and heat win, we will be able to pickup anyone who might slide a little, like Matas last year.

I think tonight's a big one for us-moving up to 11th would be great (I think there are 11 top prospects in this draft)

Also, Memphis moves into the lotto, and Wash doesn't get a 1st
Atl also might sacrifice the Sac pick (it'd be a coin flip for 12/13, and Sac's pick is top 12 protected)
Miami would move their pick to OKC

That's 3 firsts that could move to the Western Conference

had this same question, thanks Doug!

FriedRise wrote:

Read on Twitter

They made a mistake on that one, didn’t have Dallas pick if both Miami and Dallas win! lol

?s=46&t=dHcsOpeadRPZpWFbJ5MgfQ

Miami and Dallas both should win. If Kyrie were playing it would be a definite win.

Praying for 11

Jahensle wrote:If both mavs and heat win, we will be able to pickup anyone who might slide a little, like Matas last year.

I think this is a really underrated point. A lot of the time it's not just your chance at getting into the top 4, it's being in a position to catch the guy that falls.

The difference between Matas Buzelis and Devin Carter for this franchise is absolutely huge. If you look at past lotto history, there's usually someone in the 10-14 range who ends up being really good. Domantas Sabonis, Halliburton, Donovan Mitchell, Jalen Williams, etc.

My takeaway from the end of the season is that were an improved, more cohesive team than we were before but we're definitely at least one big rock away from being a threat to win a playoff series. Even if we don't get into the top 4, we still need to find a way to get another Matas.

WindyCityBorn wrote:

Ice Man wrote:The odds of getting the #1 pick for each of Doug's four scenarios -

2%
1.65%
1.3%
1.25%

Hey, every little bit helps.

I would be ecstatic with top 4.

I might celebrate, it's been so long.

NecessaryEvil wrote:Miami and Dallas both should win. If Kyrie were playing it would be a definite win.

Praying for 11

One down, one to go.

1 down.... 1 to go.

Well atleast the worst case scenario has been avoided. Go Mavs!

How does a tie with Dallas work? A coin flip?

WindyCityBorn wrote:How does a tie with Dallas work? A coin flip?

Yes, a coin flip

Dallas is getting WHOOPED

If Dallas loses tonight, why would they move ahead of Bulls for a better pick? Same record, they advanced further in the plan-in, and the beat the Bulls twice.

jump wrote:If Dallas loses tonight, why would they move ahead of Bulls for a better pick? Same record, they advanced further in the plan-in, and the beat the Bulls twice.

No tiebreakers apply and the play-in has no bearing on anything except what it's designed to determine, the final playoff qualifiers. It now comes down to a coin flip.