Post#11 » by heathmalc » Tue Dec 23, 2008 3:42 am
Well, signing the extension wont really hurt him. He would only lose about a million dollars... not very much considering what he makes. The difference in his raise is only 5%.
In-addition, he could sign a 3 year extension, and make the last year an option. Essentially, that allows him to finish this contract, play the first year of his extension, then sign yet another extension, with the full 30% raises. So he actually would lose a total of approximately $3million dollars. However, he would be making it MUCH easier for the Cavaliers to sign/acquire another major player.
From a business stand-point, it makes sense to sign such a contract.... follow what I am saying:
Say LeBron doesn't sign, but does opt out in 2010, as most people expect. The Cavaliers woud not be able to make ANY moves until they sign LeBron, Zydrunas, Ben Wallace, Sasha Pavloviv, JJ Hickson. Those players would have cap-holds of about 54 million dollars.
In-Addition, the Cavaliers will have about 28 million committed to the 2010 Salary cap already, assuming they sign Andy for around 8 million per. This does not even include a player that we may acquire with Wally's contract, that may further eat into that cap-space. For the sake of argument, lets say we trade Wally for 2 players, both making 7.5 million... one with a 1 yr contract, 1 with a 4 year contract. That means our cap is now at about 36 million of an estimated 70 million cap.
We want to keep JJ, so lets say he is a rotation guy...but not a star. Say he signs for 5 million per. Say we re-sign Z for a HUGE bargain of 5 million per for 3 years. That puts us at 46 million.
Add-in our draft-picks from next year, and we are at 48 million. Add the picks from 2010, and we are at 50 million.
Lets say we release the rights to Ben Wallace, Kinsey,Jawad Williams, The FA we sign to replace Wright, and we re-sign Sasha for the exact same amount that we signed him for last year... Now our cap is sitting at 55 million, plus a 21 million hold for LeBron's max contract (30% of total cap). This means we cannot sign a player until LeBron id signed. We sign him, and we are not only over the salary cap... but we still have 2 roster places to fill, because we would only have 11 players signed (including that year's draft picks).
Now... say LeBron signs the extension this summer. The dynamics of the front-office dealings change DRAMATICALLY!!!
Because LeBron signs, and we know we will have no cap space, we use our budding rookie (JJ or Darnell) plus whoever we pick next year, and/or 2010 for a sign & Trade for Chris Bosh... or another superstar who wants to join us.
Are you following the idea behind this? If LeBron waits to sign till 2010... we have little shot to get Bosh, or another player...as the Cavaliers will not be able to commit to things without knowing what LeBron is doing. If LeBron is already signed, then they may just trade Ben Wallace, Hickson, next summer's pick and a couple more picks for Bosh - or another player... and if Toronto isnt playing ball, then we wait for the summer of 2010, where Bosh can essentially go where-ever he wants...even Cleveland, though we will have no cap-space. Because Colangelo will want to get what he can for Bosh... and if Bosh wants to come to Cleveland, then he can force them to do it. So.... If Bryan Colangelo knows by next August that Bosh is not coming back, he is 100% more likely to trade him BEFORE the deadline, while he still can play a little hardball...even if it is mostly a bluff...he will get a lot more for him than if he waits until 2010, when he wont get much anything.
As for the little money LeBron will lose in his contract... he'll make it up in endorsement money, because he is a 3-time defending NBA Champion, and he will command even MORE money!
That is a SOLID business decision.
If you are from New York... you can argue this strategy all you want...but the fact is this: If the Cavs are this good now, and dominating at this rate already... how good will they be with a Chris Bosh added to the fold? How good will they be with the added chips from the Wally Trade?
Yes, New York is playing exciting basketball with a good coach... but they are not even close to being a dominating team. LeBron already has a Dominating team, and he can pretty much guarantee himself Chris Bosh playing beside him in Cleveland.
We the People...