Moderator: ijspeelman
TheLand13 wrote:I think tomorrows game against Memphis is a must win. We’re at home, and Memphis is coming off a back to back. We HAVE to win this game. I don’t care if there’s still more. We need this confidence booster.
JonFromVA wrote:TheLand13 wrote:I think tomorrows game against Memphis is a must win. We’re at home, and Memphis is coming off a back to back. We HAVE to win this game. I don’t care if there’s still more. We need this confidence booster.
Would be a sweet win, but the team has been pretty inconsistent. I expect/hope the guys get their act together and go on a run, but who knows when.
ijspeelman wrote:JonFromVA wrote:TheLand13 wrote:I think tomorrows game against Memphis is a must win. We’re at home, and Memphis is coming off a back to back. We HAVE to win this game. I don’t care if there’s still more. We need this confidence booster.
Would be a sweet win, but the team has been pretty inconsistent. I expect/hope the guys get their act together and go on a run, but who knows when.
Well they've been winning one and then losing one over and over for a few weeks now so its in the cards that this game will be a win and the next will be a loss.
Cavs did just lose back to back games a couple weeks ago to the Warriors and... you guessed it, the Grizzles.ijspeelman wrote:JonFromVA wrote:TheLand13 wrote:I think tomorrows game against Memphis is a must win. We’re at home, and Memphis is coming off a back to back. We HAVE to win this game. I don’t care if there’s still more. We need this confidence booster.
Would be a sweet win, but the team has been pretty inconsistent. I expect/hope the guys get their act together and go on a run, but who knows when.
Well they've been winning one and then losing one over and over for a few weeks now so its in the cards that this game will be a win and the next will be a loss.
JonFromVA wrote:Cavs are #1 in defensive rating and #2 in net rating after beating Memphis.
The weird thing is that while our net rating of +4.8 is quite good, it would have only been 6th in the NBA last season, and 7th the year before. Should put us in the 48 to 53 win range, but we've under-performed. Our expected W-L is 35-19 while our actual is 32-22.
Right now, Charlotte, San Antonio, Detroit, and Houston have a "nice lead" (about 4 games) on the other "contenders" for the best odds in the lottery. It'll be interesting to see if one of the teams just behind them will try to tank their way in to the that "top-4", but it won't be easy. 24-wins was the cut off for the "top-4" last year and Orlando is perhaps the only team not currently in the "top-4" with a chance to not win more than 24 if they play their cards right.
Looks like their best shot by +/- numbers is to trade Bamba who unsurprisingly rumors say they've made available, but we can probably expect their asking price to come down as we near the deadline.
toooskies wrote:JonFromVA wrote:Cavs are #1 in defensive rating and #2 in net rating after beating Memphis.
The weird thing is that while our net rating of +4.8 is quite good, it would have only been 6th in the NBA last season, and 7th the year before. Should put us in the 48 to 53 win range, but we've under-performed. Our expected W-L is 35-19 while our actual is 32-22.
Right now, Charlotte, San Antonio, Detroit, and Houston have a "nice lead" (about 4 games) on the other "contenders" for the best odds in the lottery. It'll be interesting to see if one of the teams just behind them will try to tank their way in to the that "top-4", but it won't be easy. 24-wins was the cut off for the "top-4" last year and Orlando is perhaps the only team not currently in the "top-4" with a chance to not win more than 24 if they play their cards right.
Looks like their best shot by +/- numbers is to trade Bamba who unsurprisingly rumors say they've made available, but we can probably expect their asking price to come down as we near the deadline.
Bamba + Harris for LeVert + Windler?
JonFromVA wrote:toooskies wrote:JonFromVA wrote:Cavs are #1 in defensive rating and #2 in net rating after beating Memphis.
The weird thing is that while our net rating of +4.8 is quite good, it would have only been 6th in the NBA last season, and 7th the year before. Should put us in the 48 to 53 win range, but we've under-performed. Our expected W-L is 35-19 while our actual is 32-22.
Right now, Charlotte, San Antonio, Detroit, and Houston have a "nice lead" (about 4 games) on the other "contenders" for the best odds in the lottery. It'll be interesting to see if one of the teams just behind them will try to tank their way in to the that "top-4", but it won't be easy. 24-wins was the cut off for the "top-4" last year and Orlando is perhaps the only team not currently in the "top-4" with a chance to not win more than 24 if they play their cards right.
Looks like their best shot by +/- numbers is to trade Bamba who unsurprisingly rumors say they've made available, but we can probably expect their asking price to come down as we near the deadline.
Bamba + Harris for LeVert + Windler?
Well, maybe if they felt Caris could be their tank commander or had some need to cut salary next year, otherwise I imagine they could get more value from someone else. Would you throw in every 2nd round pick we've got left to trade?
ijspeelman wrote:
Kinda wild, but understandable. His defense wasn't going to cut in the playoffs on heavy minutes. I assume he will pop up here and there if he isn't traded to attempt to be a flamethrower again.
Was at the game today and he didn't seem thrilled at the end, but maybe I am reading too much into his face haha
ijspeelman wrote:Top four teams in adjusted net rating?
1. Celtics SRS 5.69
2. Cavaliers SRS 5.68
3. Nuggets 4.17
4. Grizzlies 3.63
Top 4 in unadjusted net rating if you don’t like adjustments?
1. Celtics +6.0
2. Cavaliers +5.8
3. Nuggets +4.4
4. Grizzlies +3.8
With how much we’ve underperformed record wise, we are showing to be an elite team in the NBA.
ijspeelman wrote:Cavs are officially number one in SRS
Which means I get to look at bball reference saying we have the highest odds of winning the finals.
mcfly1204 wrote:21 games left, any guesses on how we finish out the season? Current win percentage has us going 13-8. Over\under on 13 wins over the next 21 games?
ijspeelman wrote:Cavs are officially number one in SRS
Which means I get to look at bball reference saying we have the highest odds of winning the finals.
mcfly1204 wrote:21 games left, any guesses on how we finish out the season? Current win percentage has us going 13-8. Over\under on 13 wins over the next 21 games?
jbk1234 wrote:ijspeelman wrote:Cavs are officially number one in SRS
Which means I get to look at bball reference saying we have the highest odds of winning the finals.
That's not what it means. Look at their record against the top-6 teams in each conference (when both teams are relatively healthy). That's the best predictor for post season performance because that's who you have to beat to advance.
