Revenged25 wrote:LivingLegend wrote:Revenged25 wrote:So it's not actually based on anything other than how The Athletic ranked people. I think that's less reliable IMO.
Can you read it? Its all based on metrics they track and list as BOARD$, EPM Wins, OEPM, ODPM, RAPM, ORAPM and DRAPM.
There are actual metrics tracked behind the rankings its not just some random writers personal list.
It's behind a paywall, I'm not gonna pay for it.
Here are some snippits
Hollinger’s BORD$ projections, essentially an estimate of players’ likely production in the coming season based on an amalgam of single-number metrics combined with aging effects and a minutes estimate.
Estimated Plus/Minus (EPM) and EPM Wins: Created by former Jazz analytics staffer Taylor Snarr, EPM appears to be the most robust of the currently available alphabet soup of single-season player value metrics. The short version is that EPM combines box score, play-by-play, and player tracking data derived statistical accumulation with RAPM methodology (more on that in a second) to create a pretty robust estimate of a player’s contribution to the scoreboard moving in a positive direction for his team. EPM is expressed as +/- points/100 possessions in much the same way as RAPM, while EPM wins takes that rating, and combines it with the amount of playing time the player received this past season to estimate the number of additional wins the “produced” for their team.
Regularized Adjusted Plus/Minus (RAPM): One of the granddaddies of single number metrics, RAPM controls for who a player appears on the floor with and plays against to create a similar per/100 estimate of value. RAPM does not include the statistical prior — the box score and other stats — which make EPM more accurate on a single-season basis. However, I am using the three-season version of RAPM created by Ryan Davis of NBAShotCharts.com, which provides a solid longer-term estimate of performance by measuring across multiple seasons. The “ranks” for offensive, defensive and overall RAPM are out of the 755 players included in Ryan’s 2018-2021 model.
Collin Sexton Tier 5
BOARD$ is 9.5M
EPM Wins is 3.5
OEPM is .97
DEPM is -.155
ORAPM is .20
DRAPM is -3.79
His is in high Tier 5. About Tier 5, the above average rotation players: Since we won’t discuss each player in Tier 5 in turn as we will for Tiers 1-4, it’s worth identifying what this level of players includes in broad strokes. While at any given time there are around 250-275 regular rotation players in the NBA, half or more are somewhat fungible. The term “just a guy” has been used at times. Discussing a team’s seventh man in possible trade discussions, an evaluator might say, “I like him as a player, but he’s just a guy.” Meaning he’ll give competent minutes, but won’t move the needle much, especially in a playoff setting. By contrast, Tier 5 is where guys start to matter a little more. They won’t affect every matchup, and will be more useful in some situations than others, but this first group of above average rotation players can be the little something extra that pushes a team over the top in an otherwise close matchup.











