Great article on Waiters trade value
Posted: Tue Aug 5, 2014 6:59 pm
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https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=1339553
improvisor wrote:Bradley Beal is a starter that shot 41% from the field and played 35 minutes per game last year. Waiters shot a better percentage and scored 2 points less in less minutes majority of it came off the bench. I much rather have waiters at this point.
Mr Sixer wrote:improvisor wrote:Bradley Beal is a starter that shot 41% from the field and played 35 minutes per game last year. Waiters shot a better percentage and scored 2 points less in less minutes majority of it came off the bench. I much rather have waiters at this point.
If you look at the advanced stats instead of just comparing field goal percentage, it should be obvious. Turnovers, rebounding, offensive and defensive rating, and especially win shares, should explain the story a little better. Beals efg and ts are slightly better, and really Dion is only better statistically in assists, which is negated by his higher turnover rate. Combine this with the fact that Dion is a year and a half older and it should be obvious why people think Beal is the superior prospect.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&p1=waitedi01&y1=2014&p2=bealbr01&y2=2014
chaps316 wrote:I cringed when I heard Waiters was watching Miami Heat videos to learn how to play SG next to LeBron. The Heat didn't have a dynamic PG like Kyrie and we all know Waiters is no D-Wade.
If Waiters wants to fit in, he needs to learn how to be an efficient spot up 3-point shooter that gets half the looks he used to...
Dupp wrote:chaps316 wrote:I cringed when I heard Waiters was watching Miami Heat videos to learn how to play SG next to LeBron. The Heat didn't have a dynamic PG like Kyrie and we all know Waiters is no D-Wade.
If Waiters wants to fit in, he needs to learn how to be an efficient spot up 3-point shooter that gets half the looks he used to...
Waiters shot 41.9% from catch and shoot threes last season. Can't remember the sample size but it was over 150.
Mr Sixer wrote:improvisor wrote:Bradley Beal is a starter that shot 41% from the field and played 35 minutes per game last year. Waiters shot a better percentage and scored 2 points less in less minutes majority of it came off the bench. I much rather have waiters at this point.
If you look at the advanced stats instead of just comparing field goal percentage, it should be obvious. Turnovers, rebounding, offensive and defensive rating, and especially win shares, should explain the story a little better. Beals efg and ts are slightly better, and really Dion is only better statistically in assists, which is negated by his higher turnover rate. Combine this with the fact that Dion is a year and a half older and it should be obvious why people think Beal is the superior prospect.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&p1=waitedi01&y1=2014&p2=bealbr01&y2=2014
Love at least has an argument for being in the top 3. We couldn't field a good enough team around him, but once he's playing for you guys you'll see just how good he is. I'd say after LBJ/Durant then there's a legit case for quite a few people(Curry, CP3, WB, Howard, Love, Griffin) to be #3, just depends how that person is playing at the time.improvisor wrote:If we go by win shares . We got 2 of the top 3 players in the NBA. Is that true??? Love isn't the 3rd best player in the league.
moss_is_1 wrote:Love at least has an argument for being in the top 3. We couldn't field a good enough team around him, but once he's playing for you guys you'll see just how good he is. I'd say after LBJ/Durant then there's a legit case for quite a few people(Curry, CP3, WB, Howard, Love, Griffin) to be #3, just depends how that person is playing at the time.improvisor wrote:If we go by win shares . We got 2 of the top 3 players in the NBA. Is that true??? Love isn't the 3rd best player in the league.
Edit: You could add Klay Thompson into this discussion with Beal/Waiters. Posted a similar PER, probably because he doesn't do much in the stat sheet besides score, and doesn't get to the line.
Heat3Peat wrote:The biggest reason Waiters gets hated on is because of the whole locker room issue rumors as well as how he came off the bench.
Had he played 35 min a game as a starter and there were no questions about his character, he would easily be considered Beal's level.
TheOUTLAW wrote:We're still looking for all this proof from these geniuses that Barnes etc are better than Waiters. Many of these idiots are silent now or moved on to some other reason to hate on Waiters.
KI-DW-TT-AB wrote:TheOUTLAW wrote:We're still looking for all this proof from these geniuses that Barnes etc are better than Waiters. Many of these idiots are silent now or moved on to some other reason to hate on Waiters.
This looks like OKC drafting Westbrook more so each passing day.
OKC passed on K Love & Brook Lopez, but avoided numerous busts starting with Bayless who was mock draft projection at #4.
We passed on Lillard & Drummond, but avoided numerous busts starting with Thomas Robinson who was suppose to go as high as 2nd, but not lower than 4th.
K Love is clearly better than Westbrook, as Lillard is than Waiters, but neither were good fits for their roster at the time.
Drummond is better than Waiters, but this is just after 2 seasons, & after 2 seasons everyone had Brook above Westbrook, although this is no longer the case.
Will it be same for Waiters? It remains to be seen. Only thing I know for sure is that 3% will increase for Waiters.
Afterall OJ Mayo stats were more impressive than Westbrook's were after the 2nd season.
Mr Sixer wrote:KI-DW-TT-AB wrote:TheOUTLAW wrote:We're still looking for all this proof from these geniuses that Barnes etc are better than Waiters. Many of these idiots are silent now or moved on to some other reason to hate on Waiters.
This looks like OKC drafting Westbrook more so each passing day.
OKC passed on K Love & Brook Lopez, but avoided numerous busts starting with Bayless who was mock draft projection at #4.
We passed on Lillard & Drummond, but avoided numerous busts starting with Thomas Robinson who was suppose to go as high as 2nd, but not lower than 4th.
K Love is clearly better than Westbrook, as Lillard is than Waiters, but neither were good fits for their roster at the time.
Drummond is better than Waiters, but this is just after 2 seasons, & after 2 seasons everyone had Brook above Westbrook, although this is no longer the case.
Will it be same for Waiters? It remains to be seen. Only thing I know for sure is that 3% will increase for Waiters.
Afterall OJ Mayo stats were more impressive than Westbrook's were after the 2nd season.
Strong avatar.
Just because Westbrook defied most statistics and became a stellar player after an inefficient rookie year doesn't mean that Waiters will do the same thing. It's like saying 2nd rounders have a good chance of becoming Hall of Famers and using Manu as an example.
mcfly1204 wrote:Mr Sixer wrote:KI-DW-TT-AB wrote:This looks like OKC drafting Westbrook more so each passing day.
OKC passed on K Love & Brook Lopez, but avoided numerous busts starting with Bayless who was mock draft projection at #4.
We passed on Lillard & Drummond, but avoided numerous busts starting with Thomas Robinson who was suppose to go as high as 2nd, but not lower than 4th.
K Love is clearly better than Westbrook, as Lillard is than Waiters, but neither were good fits for their roster at the time.
Drummond is better than Waiters, but this is just after 2 seasons, & after 2 seasons everyone had Brook above Westbrook, although this is no longer the case.
Will it be same for Waiters? It remains to be seen. Only thing I know for sure is that 3% will increase for Waiters.
Afterall OJ Mayo stats were more impressive than Westbrook's were after the 2nd season.
Strong avatar.
Just because Westbrook defied most statistics and became a stellar player after an inefficient rookie year doesn't mean that Waiters will do the same thing. It's like saying 2nd rounders have a good chance of becoming Hall of Famers and using Manu as an example.
I understand the point you are trying to make, but RW took a leap whereas DW is just trending upward. RW's percentages his first two seasons make Waiters look like Mark Price. Hell, Waiters's post All-Star break numbers from last season are better than RW's breakout year.