GT #25, Cavaliers @ Bucks, 6 December 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Posted: Mon Dec 6, 2021 9:04 pm
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https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=2144529
jbk1234 wrote:Our starting unit really struggles to score when Garland has an off night, and although Okoro is the favorite target of many fans, Mobley and Lauri need to be more aggressive inside if the 3 point arc. This is especially the case when the Cavs are in the bonus.
Anyway, no shame in a close loss to the defending champs at full strength in their building and on the second night of a back to back
toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:Our starting unit really struggles to score when Garland has an off night, and although Okoro is the favorite target of many fans, Mobley and Lauri need to be more aggressive inside if the 3 point arc. This is especially the case when the Cavs are in the bonus.
Anyway, no shame in a close loss to the defending champs at full strength in their building and on the second night of a back to back
As close to "we miss Collin Sexton" as jbk will ever get.
toooskies wrote:You can wait forever for answers. Been waiting on Windler for three years. Okoro's offensive game for more than one.
Ultimately we have Ricky Rubio taking too many shots in crunch time and I don't need to see that anymore.
jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:You can wait forever for answers. Been waiting on Windler for three years. Okoro's offensive game for more than one.
Ultimately we have Ricky Rubio taking too many shots in crunch time and I don't need to see that anymore.
A year isn't anywhere near enough time for one and done guys. Okoro and Sexton aside, if you bring in even a moderate usage SG/SF, his shots are going to come at the expense of shots Mobley and Lauri should be taking this season. I just think this team is too green to justify that opportunity cost. They're still feeling out their roles and our starters have only played around 10-15 games this season?
Obviously, if a too good to pass up deal presents itself, the calculus changes. But, I wouldn't burn assets for a replacement level guy yet.
toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:You can wait forever for answers. Been waiting on Windler for three years. Okoro's offensive game for more than one.
Ultimately we have Ricky Rubio taking too many shots in crunch time and I don't need to see that anymore.
A year isn't anywhere near enough time for one and done guys. Okoro and Sexton aside, if you bring in even a moderate usage SG/SF, his shots are going to come at the expense of shots Mobley and Lauri should be taking this season. I just think this team is too green to justify that opportunity cost. They're still feeling out their roles and our starters have only played around 10-15 games this season?
Obviously, if a too good to pass up deal presents itself, the calculus changes. But, I wouldn't burn assets for a replacement level guy yet.
The problem is that they aren't getting those shots anyway in the 4th. I don't want a replacement-level guy, though. That's only marginally better than Rubio playing out-of-position and out-of-role.
JonFromVA wrote:This isn't a trade deadline plan, its more like a 3 year plan. We've seen teams play real hard in the regular season and make noise before, but ultimately we still need a lot of development and roster evolution.
It would also be nice if JBB trusted his back of the rotation players at least as much as Bud trusts players hot off the street. Maybe get key players some rest on a b2b....
jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:
A year isn't anywhere near enough time for one and done guys. Okoro and Sexton aside, if you bring in even a moderate usage SG/SF, his shots are going to come at the expense of shots Mobley and Lauri should be taking this season. I just think this team is too green to justify that opportunity cost. They're still feeling out their roles and our starters have only played around 10-15 games this season?
Obviously, if a too good to pass up deal presents itself, the calculus changes. But, I wouldn't burn assets for a replacement level guy yet.
The problem is that they aren't getting those shots anyway in the 4th. I don't want a replacement-level guy, though. That's only marginally better than Rubio playing out-of-position and out-of-role.
If the Cavs want to eventually get to a place where they consistently beat good teams, then Lauri and Mobley are going to have to get shots in the 4th so the offense is less predictable and more difficult to defend. The way the Jazz sold out on Garland/Mobley on the last possession, and the Bucks began trapping Garland as soon as the Cavs closed the gap, is something you're going to see more and more often. The Spurs didn't have one guy that could beat you, they always had three (or even four with Green/Leonard). I'd rather Mobley and Lauri get pushed into being offensive threats in the fourth quarter and develop into legitimate secondary options with the game on the line than trade for a 2 guard who will have us defaulting into the Portland model. It's just a lot harder to scheme against multiple guys with size in the final two minutes and that's when games are won or lost in the post season. It's also a lot harder to defend them without fouling.
toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:The problem is that they aren't getting those shots anyway in the 4th. I don't want a replacement-level guy, though. That's only marginally better than Rubio playing out-of-position and out-of-role.
If the Cavs want to eventually get to a place where they consistently beat good teams, then Lauri and Mobley are going to have to get shots in the 4th so the offense is less predictable and more difficult to defend. The way the Jazz sold out on Garland/Mobley on the last possession, and the Bucks began trapping Garland as soon as the Cavs closed the gap, is something you're going to see more and more often. The Spurs didn't have one guy that could beat you, they always had three (or even four with Green/Leonard). I'd rather Mobley and Lauri get pushed into being offensive threats in the fourth quarter and develop into legitimate secondary options with the game on the line than trade for a 2 guard who will have us defaulting into the Portland model. It's just a lot harder to scheme against multiple guys with size in the final two minutes and that's when games are won or lost in the post season. It's also a lot harder to defend them without fouling.
Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
JonFromVA wrote:toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:
If the Cavs want to eventually get to a place where they consistently beat good teams, then Lauri and Mobley are going to have to get shots in the 4th so the offense is less predictable and more difficult to defend. The way the Jazz sold out on Garland/Mobley on the last possession, and the Bucks began trapping Garland as soon as the Cavs closed the gap, is something you're going to see more and more often. The Spurs didn't have one guy that could beat you, they always had three (or even four with Green/Leonard). I'd rather Mobley and Lauri get pushed into being offensive threats in the fourth quarter and develop into legitimate secondary options with the game on the line than trade for a 2 guard who will have us defaulting into the Portland model. It's just a lot harder to scheme against multiple guys with size in the final two minutes and that's when games are won or lost in the post season. It's also a lot harder to defend them without fouling.
Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
Yes, good points, but none of those numbers other than Allen's are actually good. Our crappy floor spacing makes everything much harder than it needs to be on the offensive end, and opponents get dialed in to close out games. otoh, our defense and junk offense is what is keeping us in these games to begin with.
If Garland gets where we hope, he's going to see a lot of trapping, ball denial, pressure, etc. In the Warrior's model Steph needed a secondary playmaker and reliable shooters. Sometimes having a young Harrison Barnes or Festus Ezeli as one of those shooters was a big problem.
If our defense is good enough we won't need the 3's but the 2's need to be a lot more reliable.
LivingLegend wrote:JonFromVA wrote:toooskies wrote:Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
Yes, good points, but none of those numbers other than Allen's are actually good. Our crappy floor spacing makes everything much harder than it needs to be on the offensive end, and opponents get dialed in to close out games. otoh, our defense and junk offense is what is keeping us in these games to begin with.
If Garland gets where we hope, he's going to see a lot of trapping, ball denial, pressure, etc. In the Warrior's model Steph needed a secondary playmaker and reliable shooters. Sometimes having a young Harrison Barnes or Festus Ezeli as one of those shooters was a big problem.
If our defense is good enough we won't need the 3's but the 2's need to be a lot more reliable.
floor spacing isnt the problem, the Cavs have no problem getting open shots. Making the shots is the problem. I just watched the Cavs huck 100 threes in the Bucks game and the majority of them are open looks. The problem is, outside of Love/Lauri there isnt a single other player who Rubio/Garland can drive+kick to on the perimeter. Which is why giving Okoro/Stevens 40+ min per night is killing this teams offensive ceiling. Its essentially playing 4v5 every possession and limits your offensive diversity.
The Cavs desperately need a 3/D wing who can pull the defense out and knock down open 3s at a 38-43% rate to open up the offense more.
I wonder what it would take to get a guy like Buddy Heild, Harrison Barnes or any one of the 500 wings the Raps have. I also wonder if the Cavs FO recognize this massive hole in the roster and have any plans to aggressively fix it while the team is looking like a legit playoff team. If I know anything about Dan Gilbert, he doesnt have a lot of patience and wants the Cavs to win sooner rather than later.
If the Cavs have no plans to actually play Windler, package him + draft pick and see what you can get from these seller teams.
toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:The problem is that they aren't getting those shots anyway in the 4th. I don't want a replacement-level guy, though. That's only marginally better than Rubio playing out-of-position and out-of-role.
If the Cavs want to eventually get to a place where they consistently beat good teams, then Lauri and Mobley are going to have to get shots in the 4th so the offense is less predictable and more difficult to defend. The way the Jazz sold out on Garland/Mobley on the last possession, and the Bucks began trapping Garland as soon as the Cavs closed the gap, is something you're going to see more and more often. The Spurs didn't have one guy that could beat you, they always had three (or even four with Green/Leonard). I'd rather Mobley and Lauri get pushed into being offensive threats in the fourth quarter and develop into legitimate secondary options with the game on the line than trade for a 2 guard who will have us defaulting into the Portland model. It's just a lot harder to scheme against multiple guys with size in the final two minutes and that's when games are won or lost in the post season. It's also a lot harder to defend them without fouling.
Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
LivingLegend wrote:JonFromVA wrote:toooskies wrote:Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
Yes, good points, but none of those numbers other than Allen's are actually good. Our crappy floor spacing makes everything much harder than it needs to be on the offensive end, and opponents get dialed in to close out games. otoh, our defense and junk offense is what is keeping us in these games to begin with.
If Garland gets where we hope, he's going to see a lot of trapping, ball denial, pressure, etc. In the Warrior's model Steph needed a secondary playmaker and reliable shooters. Sometimes having a young Harrison Barnes or Festus Ezeli as one of those shooters was a big problem.
If our defense is good enough we won't need the 3's but the 2's need to be a lot more reliable.
floor spacing isnt the problem, the Cavs have no problem getting open shots. Making the shots is the problem. I just watched the Cavs huck 100 threes in the Bucks game and the majority of them are open looks. The problem is, outside of Love/Lauri there isnt a single other player who Rubio/Garland can drive+kick to on the perimeter. Which is why giving Okoro/Stevens 40+ min per night is killing this teams offensive ceiling. Its essentially playing 4v5 every possession and limits your offensive diversity.
The Cavs desperately need a 3/D wing who can pull the defense out and knock down open 3s at a 38-43% rate to open up the offense more.
I wonder what it would take to get a guy like Buddy Heild, Harrison Barnes or any one of the 500 wings the Raps have. I also wonder if the Cavs FO recognize this massive hole in the roster and have any plans to aggressively fix it while the team is looking like a legit playoff team. If I know anything about Dan Gilbert, he doesnt have a lot of patience and wants the Cavs to win sooner rather than later.
If the Cavs have no plans to actually play Windler, package him + draft pick and see what you can get from these seller teams.