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2025 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread - Andrew Fischer - FRP

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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1081 » by ReasonablySober » Mon Jul 15, 2024 8:23 pm

Hey, a pick people know.

Mason Molina - LHP - Arkansas

Scouting grades: Fastball: 50 | Curveball: 40 | Slider: 45 | Changeup: 60 | Control: 45 | Overall: 40

Molina spent his first two college seasons at Texas Tech and was the Red Raiders' top starter in 2023. After attending the U.S. collegiate national team trials that summer, he transferred to Arkansas. He pitched well early in the season before an ankle injury and control issues limited his effectiveness down the stretch.

Molina depends on the carry of his fastball and the effectiveness of his changeup. Though he only averages 90 mph and tops out at 95 with his heater, he throws it two-thirds of the time and gets swings and misses thanks to its carry through the strike zone. His plus changeup grades as his best pitch, fading and sinking in the low 80s and helping his fastball play up.

While Molina features two distinct breaking balls with depth, he has trouble landing his low-80s slider and mid-70s curveball for strikes and often misses badly with his curve. He threw more strikes at Texas Tech than he did this spring, and he'll need to do a better job of locating his offerings against pro hitters because he has little margin for error. His body got thicker this year, carrying 230 pounds on a 6-foot-2 frame, and he'll have to devote more time to conditioning.


Ht: 6'2" | Wt: 215 | B-T: R-L

Age: null

School: Arkansas Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21
BA Grade: 45/High
Tools: Fastball: 55. Slider: 50. Curveball: 45. Changeup: 50. Cutter: 45. Control: 40.

Molina has been a reliable starter for three seasons, first in two years with Texas Tech when he posted a 3.77 ERA over 141 total innings from 2022-2023 and then this spring after transferring to Arkansas and joining perhaps the best pitching staff in the country. With Arkansas, the 6-foot-2, 230-pound lefthander posted a 4.47 ERA over 58.1 innings and 13 starts with a career-best 32.3% strikeout rate and 14.3% walk rate. He doesn’t light up the radar gun, but instead does a decent job mixing and matching with a solid four-pitch mix. He averages 89-90 mph with his fastball and will touch 95, but he gets well above-average riding life on the pitch and generally does a nice job attacking the top of the zone. He generated a strong 31% miss rate with the fastball this spring and also collected plenty of whiffs with his low-80s changeup and low-80s slider. Molina uses the changeup about a quarter of the time against righthanded hitters, but scraps it against lefties, where he instead employs his slider and a slower mid-70s curveball with depth. Molina’s fastball shape, durable frame and deep pitch mix give him a chance to start, but he’ll need to improve his command with all of his pitches to find the same success he’s had in college against professional hitters
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1082 » by ReasonablySober » Mon Jul 15, 2024 8:55 pm

8th round - Sam Garcia - LHP, Oklahoma St

Another underslot.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1083 » by ReasonablySober » Mon Jul 15, 2024 9:54 pm

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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1084 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 1:03 pm

ReasonablySober wrote:At this point I'm assuming they're going to go hard after players with college commitments in rounds 11-20. If a player taken in rounds 1-10 doesn't sign, that bonus allotment is removed from the team's total.

However, that penalty doesn't apply to picks in the 11th round on. Even though the slot for each pick is is up to $150,000, they can use all that money saved in 1-10 and throw it at high school kids. If those kids don't sign, there's no penalty.

Some guys just last year taken after the 10th round and the money it took:

11 (332): Bishop Letson, RHP, Floyd Central High (IN)
Signing bonus: $482,600

12 (362): Bjorn Johnson, LHP, Lincoln High (WA)
Signing bonus: $420,500

14 (422): Hayden Robinson, RHP, Berwick High (LA)
Signing bonus: $347,500

15 (452): Josh Adamczewski, SS, Lake Central High (IN)
Signing bonus: $252,500

20 (602): Justin Chambers, LHP, Basha High (AZ)
Signing bonus: $547,500

"It was definitely at the end of Day 2 [and Round 10] where we started to feel like we could take a lot of our money in the pool into Day 3 and draft a lot of the kids who we thought were interesting potential signings," Johnson said. "We've typically tried to do some guys after the 10th like [2022 12th rounder] Luke Adams and [2021 14th rounder] Jace Avina and [2021 13th rounder] Quinton Low. We usually like to have some money to spend on Day 3, but this is the biggest group we've had since maybe 2018 or 2017.

"It just worked out this way. A lot of the kids were interested in getting their pro careers going, and they went in that direction."


So today we'll see if this was the Brewers plan all along. There's a long list of preps and college sophomores that went undrafted on MLB.com's best available. With the Brewers going underslot for just about all of their first day one and two picks I imagine they have a boatload of cash to throw around.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1085 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 6:21 pm

Round 11: Caedmon Parker - RHP for TCU

Ht: 6'4" | Wt: 185 | B-T: R-R

Age: null

School: TCU Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21.1
Parker was a high-profile projection righthander out of The Woodlands (Texas) Christian Academy in the 2021 class. He was viewed as a tough sign and went undrafted and has pitched as both a starter and reliever for TCU in 2022 and 2024, though his 2023 season was lost to injury. In his 2024 season Parker posted a 4.11 ERA in 35 innings with a 27.3% strikeout rate and 13.0% walk rate. He throws a 93-94 mph fastball that touches 97 with above-average cutting life and pairs the pitch with a true cutter around 90 mph that occasionally blends into more of a slider look as well as an upper-70s slurvy curveball and rarely used mid-80s changeup that has significant arm-side life. Nothing in Parker’s mix comes in straight but his below-average control could limit his upside and keep him in the bullpen full-time in pro ball.


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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1086 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 6:33 pm

Round 12 - Tyson Hardin - RHP Mississippi State

Relief pitcher last season.

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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1087 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 6:51 pm

Round 13 - Joey Broughton - Prep LHP

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Ht: 6'2" | Wt: 200 | B-T: R-L

Age: null

School: Northville (Mich.) HS Commit/Drafted: Pittsburgh
Age At Draft: 18.6
BA Grade: 45/Extreme
Tools: Fastball: 50. Slider: -. Curveball: 55. Changeup: 50. Control: 45.

Broughton is a physical lefthander with a 6-foot-2, 200-pound frame who pairs present strength and impressive arm speed from the left side. He was one of several standouts from PBR’s Super 60 showcase in February, where he threw a high-spin fastball in the low-to-mid-90s and also ripped off a curveball around 80 mph with terrific spin rates and impressive depth. Broughton has a plunge and wrist wrap in the back of his arm stroke which could cause some timing issues or inconsistencies with his breaking ball, but he’s such a fluid mover on the mound with such solid arm speed that he might be able to get away with it. He’s also mixed in an occasional 78-80 mph changeup that he’s thrown with fastball arm speed and looks like a potential solid third offering but he rarely throws it. Broughton pitches for the same Northville High team in Michigan as fellow 2024 prospect Dante Nori. He is committed to Pittsburgh.


Here's a potential overslot.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1088 » by Turk Nowitzki » Tue Jul 16, 2024 6:53 pm

Their strategy this year seems to be "**** it, if we just take like 16-17 pitchers a few of them are bound to hit" :lol:
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1089 » by Turk Nowitzki » Tue Jul 16, 2024 7:01 pm

Yep, there's an overslot guy.

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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1090 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 7:14 pm

Round 14 - James Nunnallee - Prep C

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Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 40 | Run: 45 | Arm: 45 | Field: 45 | Overall: 40

The state of Virginia has produced some interesting high school hitters over the past few years, from 2023 first-rounders Bryce Eldridge and Jonny Farmelo to 2021 second-round James Triantos, with Eldridge and Triantos currently Top 100 prospects. Nunnallee isn’t quite as highly regarded as those predecessors, but his offensive skillset, which was on display at June’s MLB Draft Combine, had some teams contemplating what is likely a high price tag to get him signed.

Nunnallee’s carrying tool right now is his left-handed bat. He has a very solid approach at the plate and outstanding bat-to-ball skills. It’s hit over power right now as he focuses on finding the barrel more than anything else, but there’s some power for him to get to, and there could be more as he adds more strength in the future. Nunnallee is a solid athlete with fringy speed, though he runs well for a catcher, if he can stick there.

That’s the biggest question regarding Nunnallee’s future: his long-term defensive home. He’s raw behind the plate, with a fringe-average arm, and while some think he won’t be able to stick there, giving him a chance to catch would allow him to fit into the oft-sought after left-handed hitting catcher demographic. He might best be suited for left, which would put more pressure on the power to come. There’s enough upside here to create buzz that teams might consider meeting his asking price and taking him in the first few rounds to sign him away from his commitment to the University of Virginia.


Ht: 6'1" | Wt: 180 | B-T: L-R

Age: null

School: Lightridge HS, Aldie, Va. Commit/Drafted: Virginia
Age At Draft: 18.3
Nunnallee is a 6-foot-1, 180-pound catcher and lefthanded hitter with some positional versatility and a chance to hit for a solid average with solid raw power to go with it. He has fast hands in the batter’s box with a level swing that can get overly long and rotational at times, though he makes plenty of contact and has respectable swing decisions. With a bit more loft in his bat path and a bit more strength that should come on his frame in the near future it would not be surprising for him to start tapping into more home run pop. He has a chance to catch but will need to improve a fringe-average arm to control the run game and he runs well enough to easily handle an outfield corner and potentially play center field as well. Nunnallee is committed to Virginia.


Great Combine BP. Loose, whippy hands, skinny, tapered waist. Lots of effort required to swing hard but has a combo of rotational athleticism and barrel feel. Needs to get stronger in order to be a viable pro catcher. Bat-first sleeper.


Another overslot pick. I like it.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1091 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 7:31 pm

Round 15 - Travis Smith - RHP, U of Kentucky

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45 | Overall: 40

One of Kentucky's top high school prospects in 2021, Smith's career was placed on hold when he required both Tommy John and heart surgery. After redshirting at Kentucky in 2022, he worked his way into the Wildcats' weekend rotation by the end of last season and threw four shutout innings in a regional playoff game against Ball State. He flashed top-three-rounds stuff this spring, though he missed a start with soreness in late March, worked out of the bullpen afterward and barely pitched in the final two months.

Smith's two-seam fastball operates at 93-95 mph and tops out at 97, featuring heavy life that induces a lot of ground-ball contact. His high-spin slider parks at 85 mph and peaks at 89 with both horizontal and vertical action, and he also can turn it into a low-90s cutter. He's still developing feel for a sinking changeup that's too firm in the upper 80s.

As he puts his elbow reconstruction further behind him, Smith has improved his strength and conditioning and now carries 220 pounds on his 6-foot-4 frame. He's also showing more aptitude for locating and sequencing his pitches. If he stays on track toward developing two plus offerings and average control, he could be a mid-rotation starter.


Ht: 6'4" | Wt: 185 | B-T: R-R

Age: null

School: Kentucky Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21.7
Smith was a notable prep prospect in the 2021 class thanks to a large frame, a sinker he showed feel to pump into the zone and a pair of quality secondaries in his slider and changeup. He made it to campus at Kentucky, missed the 2022 season with Tommy John surgery but was solid in 2023 and in 2024 posted a 6.21 ERA over 37.2 innings with an 18.8% strikeout rate and 12.5% walk rate. Smith’s stuff seems louder than his peripherals would indicate, but despite a fastball that averaged 94 and gets up to 97, the pitch has just mediocre life and has been hit around at times. It’s been more of a groundball-inducing pitch than a bat-misser, and he will need to refine his command of the pitch or tweak its shape to get the most out of it. Smith’s mid-80s slider is his primary secondary pitch, though he has also mixed in a harder cutter and a firm, upper-80s changeup. Smith has plenty of pure stuff to work with and a powerful 6-foot-4, 220-pound frame, and teams might be excited about the pitcher he could become as he gets further away from his surgery.


He's in the transfer portal and committed to Mississippi State, but who knows. Throw some money at him and see what happens.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1092 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 7:58 pm

Jayden Dubanewicz - Prep RHP

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He's Twitter feed makes it look like he's a pretty solid Florida commit.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1093 » by neiLz » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:12 pm

have to wonder how the high schoolers will choose between NIL and MLB Signing bonus money... not even sure outside of a few SEC teams, where NIL would be pretty big to sway kids to go to college instead of the pros.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1094 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:17 pm

Round 17 - Cooper Malamazian - Prep SS

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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1095 » by Turk Nowitzki » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:24 pm

neiLz wrote:have to wonder how the high schoolers will choose between NIL and MLB Signing bonus money... not even sure outside of a few SEC teams, where NIL would be pretty big to sway kids to go to college instead of the pros.

I cannot imagine that NIL in baseball is enough of a thing to dissuade someone from signing a pro contract. I just can't imagine even big schools have NIL money on that level for baseball. Maybe I'm wrong.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1096 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:37 pm

Turk Nowitzki wrote:
neiLz wrote:have to wonder how the high schoolers will choose between NIL and MLB Signing bonus money... not even sure outside of a few SEC teams, where NIL would be pretty big to sway kids to go to college instead of the pros.

I cannot imagine that NIL in baseball is enough of a thing to dissuade someone from signing a pro contract. I just can't imagine even big schools have NIL money on that level for baseball. Maybe I'm wrong.


The Brewers were giving out the equivalent of 5th-7th round money to convince guys taken in the mid to late teens to forego their commitments. It's a good amount of money, but I can see how a free ride to a contender like Florida is enticing. Spend two or three years on campus, hopefully turn yourself into a guy who commands millions.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1097 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:39 pm

Round 18 - Tyler Renz = Prep RHP

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Ht: 6'4" | Wt: 190 | B-T: R-R

Age: null

School: Fox Lane HS, Bedford, N.Y. Commit/Drafted: St. John’ s
Age At Draft: 17.7
A 6-foot-4, 190-pound righthander, Renz will appeal to many analytically inclined teams thanks to the combination of his size, age and spin characteristics. His performance was up-and-down throughout the summer and fall, but he did strike out five batters and walk none in a solid Area Code Games outing while pitching in the low 90s and flashing a decent breaking ball. Overall Renz needs to add more power to his pitch mix. He typically sits in the upper 80s and has been up to 92, but his fastball plays up and gets more whiffs than expected and he’s thrown both a slider and curveball that have potential but blend together. He’s occasionally mixed in a low-80s changeup but the pitch needs plenty of work. Renz is committed to St. John’s and doesn’t turn 18 until November.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1098 » by Turk Nowitzki » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:50 pm

ReasonablySober wrote:
Turk Nowitzki wrote:
neiLz wrote:have to wonder how the high schoolers will choose between NIL and MLB Signing bonus money... not even sure outside of a few SEC teams, where NIL would be pretty big to sway kids to go to college instead of the pros.

I cannot imagine that NIL in baseball is enough of a thing to dissuade someone from signing a pro contract. I just can't imagine even big schools have NIL money on that level for baseball. Maybe I'm wrong.


The Brewers were giving out the equivalent of 5th-7th round money to convince guys taken in the mid to late teens to forego their commitments. It's a good amount of money, but I can see how a free ride to a contender like Florida is enticing. Spend two or three years on campus, hopefully turn yourself into a guy who commands millions.

I get why someone would take the money and I also get why someone would elect to go to college. I'm just saying I don't think NIL specifically is much of a factor in the decision making process in baseball.
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1099 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:54 pm

Turk Nowitzki wrote:
ReasonablySober wrote:
Turk Nowitzki wrote:I cannot imagine that NIL in baseball is enough of a thing to dissuade someone from signing a pro contract. I just can't imagine even big schools have NIL money on that level for baseball. Maybe I'm wrong.


The Brewers were giving out the equivalent of 5th-7th round money to convince guys taken in the mid to late teens to forego their commitments. It's a good amount of money, but I can see how a free ride to a contender like Florida is enticing. Spend two or three years on campus, hopefully turn yourself into a guy who commands millions.

I get why someone would take the money and I also get why someone would elect to go to college. I'm just saying I don't think NIL specifically is much of a factor in the decision making process in baseball.


I would be curious to see how much an impact starter on a SEC contender goes for. I've heard of some LSU players getting $1 million. That's a huge outlier I'm sure but :dontknow:
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Re: 2024 Brewers Minors/Prospects thread 

Post#1100 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 16, 2024 8:58 pm

Round 19 - Noah Wech - Prep RHP

Manitowoc kid.

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Seems signable.

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