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Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 10:32 pm
by MickeyDavis
Monday - 7:10 - Burnes vs. Brubaker
Tuesday - 7:10 - Houser vs. Keller
Wednesday - 1:10 - Peralta vs. Wilson

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:48 am
by ReasonablySober
Cruz only does damage to Milwaukee.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:51 am
by blazza18
That was so predictable.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:00 am
by Turk Nowitzki
Burnes just has to be better.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:15 am
by thonnisbeastley
Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:36 am
by Turk Nowitzki
thonnisbeastley wrote:Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

I don't think Counsell has had his best year but he's not the problem at all.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:04 am
by MickeyDavis
Robo umps now

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:11 am
by MickeyDavis
YES!!!!!

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:15 am
by ReasonablySober
Wow.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:16 am
by Ryan5UW
That was awesome!

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:28 am
by Ryan5UW
What’s up with the cock cam? They don’t need to zoom in quite that far do that? :lol:

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:48 am
by MickeyDavis
That was fun

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:54 am
by MickeyDavis
Hopefully Rowdy doesn't miss too much time

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 6:52 am
by blazza18
Awesome to see the rookie come through in some big spots.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:17 pm
by thonnisbeastley
Turk Nowitzki wrote:
thonnisbeastley wrote:Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

I don't think Counsell has had his best year but he's not the problem at all.

He's a great manager and we would be fools to get rid of him. Doesn't change the fact that he's been atrocious since the all-star break.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:45 pm
by LUKE23
Hiura *1.100 OPS against RHP*

Counsell: "I'm gonna start Cutch"

And I do still love CC, but if Hiura doesn't start every game against a RHP he should be caned.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:52 pm
by WeekapaugGroove
LUKE23 wrote:Hiura *1.100 OPS against RHP*

Counsell: "I'm gonna start Cutch"

And I do still love CC, but if Hiura doesn't start every game against a RHP he should be caned.
I would DFA Cutch today to remove the temptation to put him in the lineup.

Sent from my SM-G986U using RealGM mobile app

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 5:13 pm
by Ron Swanson
1.089 OPS through 3-games. Future MVP Garrett Mitchell confirmed.

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 6:41 pm
by Kerb Hohl
I understand the thought process behind the Hiura thing.

Guys that strike out 35+% of the time are on very thin ice to succeed. Hiura has been there basically his whole career.

You need elite power to provide value consistently.

Of guys that have even been able to stick all season, here are the names at 30+%:

Patrick Wisdom at 33.5%. .217/.311/.438 with 22 HR
Eugenio Suarez at 32.3%. Having a renaissance year at .226/.332/.442 with 24 HR
Luke Voit at 32.0% .226/.318/.414 with 17 HR
Kyle Schwarber at 30.9% .214/.313/.492 with 36 HR
Jared Walsh at 30.4% .215/.269/.374 with 15 HR

Hiura has so far struck out at 41.9% of his PAs.

He is closer to 35% for his career and will probably land back there.

But even back at 35%, you look at this collection of players and throw in Joey Gallo, they will either get some BABIP or ISO luck and the ball will find green or get over the fence more often in a season and they will be an All Star, or they will be the most hated bat in the lineup every night.

Suarez's K% went up after he used to be a .270 hitter and he struggled to find .200 for 2+ years after.
Schwarber hit .188 in the 60 game season.

Most of the other guys on this list used to be at 25%.

Here's a guy that has consistently been in the 35-40% in his career but doesn't have enough ABs to qualify this year. Note the variance in averages.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joey-gallo/14128/stats?position=OF

;tldr - They should be playing Hiura. He is earning it and he can have value even striking out a ton. But if he hits .150 the rest of the way, don't let Counsell and Stearns be the first to tell you, "I told you so."

Re: Brewers/Pirates Series

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2022 7:46 pm
by LUKE23
Kerb Hohl wrote:I understand the thought process behind the Hiura thing.

Guys that strike out 35+% of the time are on very thin ice to succeed. Hiura has been there basically his whole career.

You need elite power to provide value consistently.

Of guys that have even been able to stick all season, here are the names at 30+%:

Patrick Wisdom at 33.5%. .217/.311/.438 with 22 HR
Eugenio Suarez at 32.3%. Having a renaissance year at .226/.332/.442 with 24 HR
Luke Voit at 32.0% .226/.318/.414 with 17 HR
Kyle Schwarber at 30.9% .214/.313/.492 with 36 HR
Jared Walsh at 30.4% .215/.269/.374 with 15 HR

Hiura has so far struck out at 41.9% of his PAs.

He is closer to 35% for his career and will probably land back there.

But even back at 35%, you look at this collection of players and throw in Joey Gallo, they will either get some BABIP or ISO luck and the ball will find green or get over the fence more often in a season and they will be an All Star, or they will be the most hated bat in the lineup every night.

Suarez's K% went up after he used to be a .270 hitter and he struggled to find .200 for 2+ years after.
Schwarber hit .188 in the 60 game season.

Most of the other guys on this list used to be at 25%.

Here's a guy that has consistently been in the 35-40% in his career but doesn't have enough ABs to qualify this year. Note the variance in averages.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joey-gallo/14128/stats?position=OF

;tldr - They should be playing Hiura. He is earning it and he can have value even striking out a ton. But if he hits .150 the rest of the way, don't let Counsell and Stearns be the first to tell you, "I told you so."


This doesn't really apply to someone that has the drastic splits Hiura does. For his career, Hiura is .873 OPS verses RHP with a HR every 16 PA. In 2022, he's 1.100 OPS verses RHP with a HR every 9.5 PA. Again, this is a nearly 700 PA sample now for his career mashing RHP. Hell, he leads the team in OVERALL OPS this year. We can't be nitpicking about K rate when half of this team can't get on base and the other half can't hit for power.

He shouldn't play every day. He SHOULD play every day against RHP especially factoring in the roster alternatives.