gunnabdaschwab09 wrote:I'm going to go with Phil, as well.
But, I really like Ian for some reason. He reminds me a wee lil' bit of Andy Pettitte in his young age.
As for Joba, I really want the Yanks to make him their version of Papelboose. I salivate at the thought of him being the next dominant closer after Mo is done, plus the rivalry he and Papsmear will have, if that happens.
It can be debated for days about what is more important between a dominant closer or an ace pitcher. There is no stat to prove one being that much more important than the other. Personally, I feel that recent history and logic point to an ace being 10 times more valuable than a great closer.
First, the common sense. Would you prefer to have a guy dominate for 200 innings a year, or 70 innings? The Yankees wanted Rivera to be a dominant starter, the only reason he became the closer was because he posted a 5.51 ERA in 1995 when he split time as a starter and reliever. This is the case with many closers, they are mostly failed starters (whether they failed in college or the majors or the minors). That's another common sense aspect, if the major league teams wait until a guy sucks as a starter to convert him to a reliever, I think there is reason behind that.
Now, the past history aspect. Just look at the recent champions and what they were built on. In 2001, the DBacks had two of the best pitchers in baseball in Johnson and Schilling, yet theur closer was nothing special (Kim had a good season in 2001, but nobody in their right mind would call him a dominant closer, and he blew 2 saves in the series). In 2002, the Angels obviously had a dominant closer, but their starting pitching was phenominal as well (4 starters with an ERA of 3.92 or less, one had an ERA of 3.15 and one of 3.66). The 2003 Marlins were built on young stud starters of Beckett, Willis, Penny, even Redman had a 3.59 ERA. Their closer? Braden Looper. We all know what the 2004 Red Sox were about, Pedro and Schilling. Foulke was a pretty good closer for a period of a few years, but not a dominant closer by any stretch of the imagination. The White Sox in 2005 had four shutdown starters and their closer was Dustin Hermanson. Yes, Dustin Hermanson. The Cardinals last season had pretty bad starting pitching, but they were also one of the biggest fluke teams in baseball history. Although their starters sucked, they managed to just dominate in the playoffs and Adam Wainwright closing.
Even if you want to ignore those teams, look no further than our very own Yankees. When we had Cone, Wells, Pettitte, Clemens, El Duque, etc. we won and rolled through everybody. In the past 7 years, we've had to settle for Contreras, Vazquez, Kevin Brown, Mussina, Lieber, an old Randy Johnson, and an old Roger Clemens, suddenly we can't win anything. You know what has stayed the same over those two separate periods? A dominant offense and a dominant closer. Unless you have 2 stud pitchers (Indians this season are a perfect example), it won't matter how good your closer is. Joe Borowski saved 45 games for a 96 win team with an ERA over 5.
Let Joba and Hughes run this rotation along with Kennedy, Wang, and Horne. We'll piece together the closer spot through free agency or the minors.
Forget about a rivalry with Papelbon, if Hughes and Joba reach their potential as starting pitchers then we will blow Boston out of the water and we won't have to worry about Joba vs Pap. I'm more worried about what is in the best interest of this team, and that is having Joba pitching for 200 innings. The beauty of it is that even if he can't be successful as a starter (whether he just sucks or can't handle the workload) we know that he can fall back on being a dominant closer down the road in 2010 or so. But based on his track record in the minors, his stuff, and what he showed up here this season, I can't imagine him being bad in the majors as a starter.