Bulltalk wrote:
NO WAY, however, would I include either Ackley or Pineda in any kind of a package for him. Ackley seems all but a can't-miss-prospect to me, at least in terms of being a very reliable starter for us for the next ten years. How high he flies for us (dreaming of a .300+ hitter with 20 homers and 80-90 RBI's) will remain to be seen. But I am too confident in all I hear and read about him to live with the potential regret of including him in any kind of a package.
I hear Ackley and Pineda brought up and I tend to cringe, but then I think of this way:
Ackley COULD become a .300+ hitter with 20 homers and 80-90 RBI's
Upton IS a .300+ hitter with 20 homers and 80-90 RBI's [and he has room to grow]
I like Ackley but we have no idea what he will amount to. He's given us reason to believe he can get some hits and get on base, but we don't know if the power will develop or if he will be a long term 2B instead of an outfielder.
Some of us thought Ryan Anderson would be Big Unit #2. Or Jeff Clement was a 20 HR capable catcher of the future with a swing perfect for SafeCo Field. Or that Carlos Triunfel was the second coming of A-Rod.
Jeremy Reed. Clint Nageotte. Gil Meche. Phillipe Aumont. Chris Snelling. Michal Saunders.
We've had many a prospect that has failed to amount to anything, or at least showed that they were more likely to be an average MLB player than anything else. Sometimes I look back about what I said about certain prospects and find the hype was credible, and other times I look back and think "what the hell was I thinking?"
Trading top prospects in an attempt to create a false contender immediately [i.e. Jones/Tillman/etc. for Bedard] is a bad idea. But trading top prospects for a 23 year old OF who would still be under team control for a few years is a different thing entirely.
While Saunders is still young and has time to develop, nothing in the past year and a half has lead me to believe he's going to be able to hit anything inside and that he's the long term answer in LF.
Let's say we go into next season with a 1-2 punch of Felix/Pineda. An OF of Ichiro/Guti/Upton. An IF of Smoak/Figgins/Wilson. A bullpen with League/Lueke/Cortes/Kelley. Now add a 3B, a decent SP, and a decent veteran C and what was once a team with the worst offense in baseball suddenly sounds like it will be fun to watch again.
That team may not be enough to overtake the Rangers, but it may be enough to keep me watching the team past the All-Star break.