That Abreu wiretap article
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2009 11:00 pm
http://baseball.realgm.com/src_wiretap_ ... ike_abreu/
The idea of a one-year deal might have merit. Normally I'm not real crazy about doing that when the team's planning horizon is so much greater than one year, but as we've discussed ad nauseam, the AL West doesn't look so hot and you never know what can happen (look what the 9-7 Arizona Cardinals have done after coming out of a crappy division....).
I wouldn't be so keen on a commitment for more years than that, though. Barring the unexpected run, 2009 should be a year for assessing where the team stands in the long run. We'll get a chance to see if Wlad can hit major league pitching*, we'll have a better idea what Gutierrez is about, and we'll have had another year of minor league seasoning for Saunders, Halman and Raben, and one or more of those players might be ready to hit the bigs in 2010. I think the next off-season is when the team should really assess its long-term direction, and there will be flexibility to make a splash with Washburn, Batista, Beltre and probably Bedard coming off the books. Money not spent now on an Abreu or Dunn will just add to that flexibility.
(Yes, I realize I've been one of Dunn's biggest proponents around here, and yes, I'm big on bargains -- but short of a ridiculously good deal, the team should lay off a long-term deal for Dunn the way Dunn lays of hittable breaking balls.)
* Heads-up: there's an article expressing optimism on this very point on Fangraphs today. Caveat: it's by Dave Cameron.
The idea of a one-year deal might have merit. Normally I'm not real crazy about doing that when the team's planning horizon is so much greater than one year, but as we've discussed ad nauseam, the AL West doesn't look so hot and you never know what can happen (look what the 9-7 Arizona Cardinals have done after coming out of a crappy division....).
I wouldn't be so keen on a commitment for more years than that, though. Barring the unexpected run, 2009 should be a year for assessing where the team stands in the long run. We'll get a chance to see if Wlad can hit major league pitching*, we'll have a better idea what Gutierrez is about, and we'll have had another year of minor league seasoning for Saunders, Halman and Raben, and one or more of those players might be ready to hit the bigs in 2010. I think the next off-season is when the team should really assess its long-term direction, and there will be flexibility to make a splash with Washburn, Batista, Beltre and probably Bedard coming off the books. Money not spent now on an Abreu or Dunn will just add to that flexibility.
(Yes, I realize I've been one of Dunn's biggest proponents around here, and yes, I'm big on bargains -- but short of a ridiculously good deal, the team should lay off a long-term deal for Dunn the way Dunn lays of hittable breaking balls.)
* Heads-up: there's an article expressing optimism on this very point on Fangraphs today. Caveat: it's by Dave Cameron.