DJ_3_Ball wrote:Archx wrote:arkuo wrote:The mavs had a fairly easy schedule early in the season. With Houston and Denver back on track, it seems the Mavs will settle for around 6th in the West when the dust has settled.
They beat LAL basically twice already, won vs Bucks, HOU, TOR etc... I'm confident that they can climb higher than 6th spot
I agree with arkuro. I was looking at projections last night. I think the Mavs are on pace for 53 wins this season. That's a .648 winning pct. That would put the Mavs in the 5th spot, currently.
What happens if Utah gets Mike Conley back & he starts playing like himself? I think Denver will make an addition, maybe Jrue Holiday. I think HOU will figure out some sort of 3 or 4 team trade to utilize their draft assets to add a player. I don't think the Mavs are finishing ahead of LAL or LAC.
Those 3 & 4 spots will be competitive, very competitive, and if the Mavs drop winnable games like they did vs MIA & vs BOS, then the 5th or 6th seed is probably where they end up, imo.
There's something else critical in play here. DEN just slid past LAC for the 2nd spot in the West tonight (a spot they likely will relinquish Sun @ LAL). The Mavs could potentially be 4-0 since Luka went down vs MIA (which is kinda mind-blowing & also very inspiring). If they had gone 4-0, then the Mavs would be 2nd in the West (actually not that far behind LAL at that point, only 2.5 games back).
The way the Clippers seem content to load manage and take a middle of the road record into the Western conference playoffs, it's conceivable the Mavs could fight for a better regular season record than the Clippers. (what's also scary about that is the possibility of a 3rd/6th or 4th/5th 1st round matchup with LAC).
I actually don't mind taking on the Lakers in the WCF. But, if the Mavs have to face LAC in the playoffs, then having home court advantage would be nice. Because LAC is 14-2 at home, and I think the Mavs home record so far this season is just a fluky, small sample size thing.
Mavs can knock off TOR on Sunday, and then the schedule is pretty doable and hopefully Luka is back in the fold. There's not another murder's row stretch like this on the schedule until mid-March.
Who knows we might have a shot at the 3rd seed or better still. This was a big win tonight, and all of those Raptors sitting out on Sunday could be really big too!