JamesConway wrote:Yup. Do you have an opinion on Vernon Carey from Duke? Feels like he is one of those typical guys who might slide on draft night due to concerns about his fit in the NBA...
To be honest, I have not seen one highlight of Carey. I have seen his name mocked in the 1st round of every mock draft I've seen, and you're right. He's mocked in that late teens to mid 20s range.
He wouldn't be my first thought, BUT, I will say this. I've always been a fan of the high school prospect. I remember when Kevin Garnett announced for the NBA draft in 1995. When I started hearing about the colleges that wanted him. It was everyone! It seemed like an opportunity to draft Shaq out of high school. Who wouldn't do that?
Ok. So he needs 2-3 years to sit & learn, but then you have a monster on your hands. I was similarly on board with Kobe the next year in '96, and I couldn't understand how he dropped to 13th. I didn't understand why T-Mac slid to 9th in '97, either. But, then as the fad became a trend, I started to learn that some of the guys I was in favor of coming out of high school, they just weren't worth it. The early 2000s was the nut low for drafting high schoolers' upside over college prospects who had earned it already.
That said, I still lean towards the very simple idea of drafting Kevin Garnett, a future dominant player in the NBA, as a youngster & watching him develop. It was a very logical thought process. The best high school players in the country usually become the best college players in the country, and those players usually become stars in the NBA. So, why not skip a step?
Looks like Carey Jr was the 6th ranked prospect in ESPN's Top 100 coming out of high school. He's book-ended by all of the names you see mocked in the lottery of the draft. Say the Mavs draft 23rd overall, and Carey Jr is there and anyone else say Isaiah Joe or Tyrese Haliburton are already gone, and you're gonna be reaching on a guy at that point, anyways. Yeah, count me in.
Why not reach on the guy with the highest ceiling, the guy with the highest talent (even if that talent doesn't necessarily fit in the "flow" of today's game).
That said, I'd have to look at his highlights, first.
Edit: Just watched his highlight package from the Georgetown game. I'm seeing shades of Marvin Bagley, III. minus the pogo stick hops & lightening fast quickness, but with a wider more powerful body (and less of an inclination to work outside the paint). Carey Jr is almost like a cross between Wendell Carter Jr & Marvin Bagley III, only with the stats seem to indicate is a worse jump shot.
I'm kind of a fan, but I think it's a longshot he lasts til the 20s. Duke is high a profile team, so I think he'll get plenty of buzz. But, who knows maybe, the Blue Devils get knocked out early in the tourney & Carey Jr doesn't see much shine. I definitely see what you're talking about with rim running and power play inside.
Also, looking at his stats. He's played 10 games and leads the Blue Devils in scoring 18.5 ppg and rebounding 9.2 rpg. He's been killing it so far, but then again Brandon Clarke was impressive for Gonzaga last year and he slid to 21st somehow. So, it could happen. Every scouting report I read about Carney Jr mentioned he's an incomplete player.