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Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Wed Mar 8, 2023 1:38 pm
by Archx
Mavrelous wrote:Archx wrote:kacey ring wrote:Anyone else want a first round matchup with the Grizzlies??
I would prefer Kings. Grizz have quite a depth, i somehow wouldn't feel comfortable playing them in the 1st round.
Depends on Ja status, w/o Ja and Clarke they don't have good depth, but choosing opponents is a privilege for those who win in RS, Mavs aren't one of those teams.
Heh yeah, Mavs had terrible past 2 weeks and they are somehow back at the 5th spot lol. It's a bloodbath out there.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Wed Mar 8, 2023 2:33 pm
by ejs78
Mavs back up to 5th vs Kings on 538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/5th vs Suns on BBR:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.html3/8 Games
Blazers @ Celtics (-10.5)
Thunder @ Suns (-13.5)
Raptors @ Clippers (-2.5)
Pretty much just need to avoid the Suns in rd1
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Wed Mar 8, 2023 4:11 pm
by arkuo
The best finish I could see with Dallas is 4. With Denver, Sacramento and Phoenix above them.
If Dallas finishes for then there is a big likelihood that Memphis or Golden State finish 5. Which means they will have to fight tooth and nail to avoid a first round exit. I do not trust the team against Golden State so hoping its another team.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Thu Mar 9, 2023 2:50 pm
by ejs78
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Thu Mar 9, 2023 7:21 pm
by ejs78
With KD out I am not 100% sure the Suns can catch the Kings or Grizz even with all their issues.
The 6th or 7th (yes I know) might be the best options if these teams stay put and would be the easiest route to the WCF to me which is still a long shot.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Thu Mar 9, 2023 7:53 pm
by 41Dirk41
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:10 am
by arkuo
ejs78 wrote:With KD out I am not 100% sure the Suns can catch the Kings or Grizz even with all their issues.
The 6th or 7th (yes I know) might be the best options if these teams stay put and would be the easiest route to the WCF to me which is still a long shot.
I think the Suns are resting KD on purpose to also avoid Golden State in the standings.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:11 am
by arkuo
The tough thing with Dallas is if they are included in the play in and Luka gets shut down by Vanderbilt again, that's it. You dont even get to make the first round.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2023 2:45 pm
by 41Dirk41
arkuo wrote:The tough thing with Dallas is if they are included in the play in and Luka gets shut down by Vanderbilt again, that's it. You dont even get to make the first round.
If the Vanderbilt guy can shut down Luka then Luka isn't a superstar.
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2023 3:12 pm
by ejs78
3/10 Games
Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:32 am
by ejs78
ejs78 wrote:3/10 Games
Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)
Embiid gives Sixers their first lead of the night with a GW.
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Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sat Mar 11, 2023 3:37 am
by ejs78
ejs78 wrote:ejs78 wrote:3/10 Games
Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)
Embiid gives Sixers their first lead of the night with a GW.
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RealGM mobile app
Naz sending game to OT cuz Nets didn't foul up 3.
ISO Spencer and DFS big in OT
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Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sat Mar 11, 2023 6:38 am
by Mavrelous
Mavs jumped 2 spots w/o playing.
Lakers are surging...
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sat Mar 11, 2023 7:54 pm
by ejs78
Really big day in the WC playoff race:
Knicks @ Clippers (-4.5)
Jazz @ Hornets (+1.5)
Thunder @ Pelicans (-2.5)
Bucks @ Warriors (-3.5)
Kings @ Suns (-4.5)
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:12 pm
by Mavrelous
Brunson out for the Knicks
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:29 am
by JWillTheFreak
Bucks folded vs Warriors in the crunch time...
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:22 pm
by ejs78
538 now has the Mavs ties for 7th with the Lakers:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/BBR has them 5th:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.htmlBlazers @ Pelicans (+1.5) These teams feel on life support
Thunder @ Spurs (+3.5)
Knicks @ Lakers (-3.5)
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:36 am
by ejs78
Lakers letting that much time run off before a foul was terrible.
Thanks Knicks
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Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Mon Mar 13, 2023 2:09 pm
by ejs78
Semi decent night:
Wolves @ Hawks (-5.5)
Jazz @ Heat (-7.5)
Suns @ Warriors (-4.5)
Re: WC Playoff Thread
Posted: Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:29 am
by Mavrelous
Mavs are tied with OKC (11th seed, outside of the playin) in the loss column and 2 games behind GSW/Clippers.
13 games left in the season, 3 of them B2B.
I expect a 7-6 record and a 41-41 record, which won't be enough for top 8 seed, they will either be 11th or need 2 play in to get the 8th spot.
Best case scenario is 10-3 run, and they finish 6th.
