Post#218 » by Darren » Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:31 pm
I think we would draft Aryon. Just look at his body shape. You know he'll be special. That's a body shape comparable to David Robinson in his prime. If he's at least average work ethics and intelligence, he'll succeed. But I don't like what I see from highlights. He seems to have issues with smart. He tends to stick to perimeter guys instead of archoring the paint. And his statistics show that he has not improved much since rookie seasons. There's a gap between hype and reality. Surely, he'd be better than Greg Oden and perhaps Kandiman. Even if he fails, he could still play at Dalembert's level. That's not too bad as a two-wayed player.
I have no idea who we should go for. I think Doncic and Bamba is safe pick with ceiling of Evan Fournier and DeAndre Jordan. The former might be able to contribute right away. But his athleticism will limit him on next level. Intelligence, work ethics and shooting are great. So, that's a pretty safe pick. He's another Evan Fournier with better basketball smart and work ethics. He deserves second pick considerations for sure. The most troublesome issue is whether or not he can defend normal two from this league. Fournier doesn't do well in this regards. He's similar athleticism.
As for Bamba, his role is more simple. I expect him to grow with his body frame. If we pick him, I expect us to trade down and rid ourselves of some bad money. But he's less ready than Doncic. He's pretty skinny. It takes time for him to develop. I don't expect him to be effective until 25 year's old. So we may suck for a couple more seasons. I wonder if we're interested to wait for him. Personally, I am okay with him. He's shown great timing and positioning. He's also shown good toughness and work ethics. That's the intangible teams want at 5.
Potter is a normal SF with skinny frame. I have no ideas how he develops on next level. But he does play the same position as Barnes. That's being said, I'd rather pick Bamba over him. The latter fills a need and is coming from Texas. He has very good leaping skills. However, he's a little streaky as a shooter. That means he's likely more T-Mac than KD. If he can't play SG, then he might not get enough playing time to grow with the Mavs. T-Mac is not bad. But he's also surely not the type of player you want to build around. Wiggins may be a good comparison to him. I think he's more ready and has a high ceiling than Fox, though.
Bagley is a PF with a starting kit of Ian Clark. You know, skinny PF doesn't work very well in the past. They may have trouble while bulking up. And their lower body is prone to injury issues as they have to bang with much bigger players. And he doesn't have adequate jumpers. That means opponents may trap the paint and foul him hard early in his first couple of seasons. He's likely not in ROY discussion in 2019. This is the most risky pick at top five. There's a good chance he may bust out.