2018 Pre-Season Prediction

Lateral Quicks · Post #1 » by **Lateral Quicks** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 4:28 pm

It's that time of year again for a season prediction thread. Chime in on the poll question and any/all of the following:

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017?
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017?
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez?
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo?
5. What does the outfield look like in June?
6. Who will be our second best reliever?
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him?
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September?
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season).
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs?

Post #2 » by **Schad** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 4:37 pm

1. No, but he won't be terrible. Smoak puts up a 120 wRC+ or something.
2. Worse by peripherals, about the same by ERA.
3. 150ish.
4. 350.
5. Exactly the same as it looks now, barring injury.
6. Loup.
7. Yes, for lack of options.
8. No.
9. 75.
10. Making the playoffs I suppose, simply because I don't see us blowing it up unless we're miles out of the Wild Card race.

satyr9 · Post #3 » by **satyr9** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 5:22 pm

1. No
2. Better, but less than we might hope
3. 160. Better to bet on a DL stint and be pleasantly surprised
4. 0
5. Pearce out, Teoscar in, getting lots of PT
6. Oh
7. He will.

8. No
9. 139. No idea
10. blow it up

manjusaka · Post #4 » by **manjusaka** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 6:03 pm

1. I hope so, but I think he will end up with the numbers similar to what he posted after All star break numbers last year.
2. Better.
3. 180
4. 250
5. It will looks the same.
6. Tepera
7. He will
8. No.
9. 80s.
10. TRYING to make the playoffs

Skin Blues · Post #5 » by **Skin Blues** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 6:24 pm

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017? No. He'll be very good, but not as good as last year.
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017? Same-ish
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez? 160
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo? 160
5. What does the outfield look like in June? Grandy/Pillar/Grichuk
6. Who will be our second best reliever? Clippard
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him? No. And I'm not sure Jansen will factor in much, either, so I'll go with McGuire.
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September? Nope, I don't think he gets any MLB time this year
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season). 72
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs? Neither are likely, but I'll say playoffs (if you consider one-and-done WC as being playoffs)

phillipmike · Post #6 » by **phillipmike** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 7:28 pm

Schad wrote:1. No, but he won't be terrible. Smoak puts up a 120 wRC+ or something.
2. Worse by peripherals, about the same by ERA.
3. 150ish.
4. 350.
5. Exactly the same as it looks now, barring injury.
6. Loup.
7. Yes, for lack of options.
8. No.
9. 75.
10. Making the playoffs I suppose, simply because I don't see us blowing it up unless we're miles out of the Wild Card race.

As much as we disagree these are my answers too.

Though 2nd best reliever for me would Tepera or Oh - i would go with Tepera if i had to pick one.
I dont really care about 9 to look into it further so 75 is fine by me.

Lateral Quicks · Post #7 » by **Lateral Quicks** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:56 pm

I threw in the Buffalo question because they could (should?) be really good this year - probably better than the big club. Surprised the answers so far are so low - puts them barely above .500.

Post #8 » by **Schad** » Wed Mar 28, 2018 10:09 pm

Their pitching staff probably isn't going to be stellar. 10 games above is pretty good, though...it'd be the equivalent from a winning percentage standpoint of an 87 win season in the bigs.

bluerap23 · Post #9 » by **bluerap23** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 2:50 am

1. No.
2. Moderately better
3. 190
4. 300
5. Pearce will be injured. Hernandez will be platooning.
6. Clippard
7. Yes, he will back up Jansen when Martin misses time.
8. No
9. 88
10. Playoffs

torontoaces04 · Post #10 » by **torontoaces04** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:32 am

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017? No
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017? Worse
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez? 165
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo? 0
5. What does the outfield look like in June? Grichuk/Pillar/Hernández
6. Who will be our second best reliever? Oh
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him? Yes
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September? No
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season). 77
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs? Blow it up

So_Fresh · Post #11 » by **So_Fresh** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 1:47 pm

Lateral Quicks wrote:It's that time of year again for a season prediction thread. Chime in on the poll question and any/all of the following:

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017?
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017?
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez?
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo?
5. What does the outfield look like in June?
6. Who will be our second best reliever?
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him?
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September?
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season).
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs?

1. I think he does. I don't think it was a fluke last season. I bet his numbers are close to what he had in 2017.
2. I think Estrada will be better. From what I've gathered during spring training he looks to be in good shape.
3. If Sanchez is healthy and there is no issues with his finger I say let him pitch. 150-170 innings would be nice.
4. 300
5. Teoscar/Granderson, Pillar, Grichuk. Pearce will get injured.
6. Axford.
7. Yes for lack of options.
8. Yes. If we need an extra bat to make a push for a playoff spot. Just like Boston did with Rafael Devers last season.
9. 85
10. It all depends on how well they start the season. Imperative that we have a good April and May.

Lateral Quicks · Post #12 » by **Lateral Quicks** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 2:00 pm

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017? Doubtful. Career and second half suggest 2017 not sustainable.
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017? Better. Was really good for majority of the year - two bad months torpedoed the year.
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez? 175. Have to hope they found solutions for the blister issues in the off-season.
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo? 200. Let's hope we have 2016 Diaz.
5. What does the outfield look like in June? I expect one of Alford or Hernandez to have a full-time job by then. Pillar traded to make room?
6. Who will be our second best reliever? Axford. As long as his velo is back.
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him? No. Martin needs more rest, which opens more playing time for Jansen or McGuire.
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September? No. But he'll deserve to be.
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season). 84 (60%). They're gonna be really good, and fun to watch.
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs? Who the heck knows.

Kinger95 · Post #13 » by **Kinger95** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 4:54 pm

1-161

manjusaka · Post #14 » by **manjusaka** » Thu Mar 29, 2018 7:18 pm

I think the office wants the playoff, but the Jays will just miss it. However, Bisons will be in the playoff. I think our youngsters includes Vlady, Bo and Pearson will be in Buffalo to attend the AAA playoff. So they won't get the call up to the Jays.

If there is a injury in the Bluejays outfields, Hernandez should be the first the call up. We can't trade away Pillar until Alford proofs he can stay health.

dukes_wild · Post #15 » by **dukes_wild** » Sat Mar 31, 2018 4:12 pm

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017?
2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017?
3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez?
4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo?
5. What does the outfield look like in June?
6. Who will be our second best reliever?
7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him?
8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September?
9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season).
10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs?

1. No. He will find a middle ground between the terrible pre-2017 Smoak, and the godly 2017 Smoak.
2. Slightly better
3. 170 IP
4. 250 PA
5. Granderson/Pillar/Grichuk
6. Aaron Loup
7. Yes
8. No
9. 83
10. Blow it up

TooBad · Post #16 » by **TooBad** » Mon Apr 2, 2018 3:32 am

Kinger95 wrote:1-161

Wrong already

Fenris-77 · Post #17 » by **Fenris-77** » Mon Apr 2, 2018 1:50 pm

1. Close but not quite. He'll be good though.
2. Estrada - about the same.
3. 150 IP
4. Yuck. Less than we should.
5. Granderson, Pillar, Grichuk
6. Clippard
7. I decline to comment on back-up catchers
8. I hope not, he should be next year not this year.
9. Gabba gabba hey?
10. Neither,. I can see a trade or two happening, but not a tear down.

phillipmike · Post #18 » by **phillipmike** » Tue Apr 3, 2018 3:13 pm

No idea where to put this but a good read;

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/lets-talk-about-the-jays-promising-projection/

I_Like_Dirt · Post #19 » by **I_Like_Dirt** » Tue Apr 3, 2018 4:28 pm

1. Does Smoak repeat his very good 2017? Good but not as good

2. Estrada - better, worse, or same as 2017? Worse

3. How many IP do we get out of Sanchez? 145

4. How many PAs do we get out of Tulo? 69

5. What does the outfield look like in June? Unchanged from now

6. Who will be our second best reliever? Oh

7. Will Maile last the full season as back up catcher, and if not who replaces him? He will be the backup catcher at the end of the season

8. Will Guerrero Jr get called up before September? No

9. How many games do the Bisons win this year? (140 game season). 80

10. What's more likely: Jays blow it up at deadline, or make the playoffs? Neither?... If I have to pick one it's playoffs. The team won't blow things up.