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Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie

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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#261 » by Skin Blues » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:37 am

Avenger wrote:Amazing how many new fans Mr. 1.31 HR/9 innings has as soon as we trade him away

I guess they're looking at the success he's has over his 3rd and 4th seasons in the AL East, with a 3.84 K/BB in 2010 as opposed to a HR/9 that is heavily skewed by his first and second seasons. Those crazy Jays fans!

I think this is a nice move. Marcum was good, sure, but if baseball America's #15 overall ranking is anything to go by, this bodes much better for the future. It's so tempting to make a run in 2011 because they aren't far from being a contender, but I can bite the bullet for another year I suppose. Makes Frasor accepting arb sting a little bit though, if we're not even gonna take a stab at the playoffs.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#262 » by guvernator » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:37 am

Yosemite Dan wrote:
guvernator wrote:With the same team + halladay and rolen jays won 10 games less. Last year's 85 wins mean squat until we establish a core of this team. We dont even know what the jays have in Hill and Lind - supposedly team's 2 best hitters coming into the season. Dont fool yourself thinking that this team is ready to compete.
JP fell into the same trap repeatedly and look where that got us. This division has potentially 3 95 win teams ahead of us, which means jays need a lot of top level talent. That is what AA is trying to address.
If people liked AA's moves last year, they really have no right to be upset with this move because he is following the same MO.
Marcum is a middle of the rotation starter; If people think he is going to take the jays to the promise land then prepare to be even more befuddled over the coming year.
Like Pat Gillick said in an interview with mccown last month, Jays are not ready.


Again you make it sound like Marcum is some old workhorse pitcher and he's not. He has alot of years left and he could have easily won 20 games this year if he had the run support. If someone on this board proposed this trade 2 days ago, 99.9% of us would of said no **** way. Just because AA did it (or was pressured to do it which is more likely to avoid future payroll burdens, it's Rogers don't forget) does not make this trade any better.

Alot of you guys think we are going to follow the TB Ray's model of successs. That's a total fluke because all thier drafted players matured at the same time and therefore could control thier payroll while still being a playoff team. They had the perfect storm of talent coming together at a pretty young age and had the luck of all thier picks panning out. But for every TB there is Kansas City and Pittsburgh who don't have that luck with thier draft picks or at least not all at the same time and are horrible for years and years.

I don't disagree with trading Marcum but if you gonna trade one of your best starters you better get an everyday player (1B or 3B) which we need who is young but can contribute now not someone who might make it to the majors and at this point he's a 20 year old is a definate "maybe" like any other 20 year old in ther minors.


1) He is not a workhorse and he never will be because especially in this division which has 3 patient lineups. Had he stayed 200 IP yearly would be pushing it. No he wouldn't have won 20 games.

2) TB still has boat load of talent. Longoria hasn't had that superstar level year yet. Same can be said for guys like hellickson and davis who are just breaking in. They have a boat load of talent coming up on the horizon.
Kansas and Pittsburgh have had terrible management for years ( Dayton moore was hired in 2006 and you are just now seeing the results in their farm system). Besides they don't have the payroll flexibility of the jays so its foolish to compare either KC and Pittsburgh. Hell I wouldnt even compare Rays with jays. Because if jays had crawford and were playoff contenders, they wouldnt have let him go.

3) If marcum had stuck around next year, it is very likely he would #5 on the depth chart behind ( RR, cecil, morrow and drabek) so lets not go overboard here. Besides Stewart, Wojo and Mcguire could easily be ready to join the jays rotation as early as next year, so jays are dealing from a position of strength.
All prospects are maybes. Morrow was a maybe coming into last year but we knew he had the talent to be an ace. Same can be said of lawrie, who is drawing comparisons to jeff kent and ian kinsler.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#263 » by beater97 » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:44 am

I think what all of us can learn from this thread the most is to ignore Randle McMurphy's posts.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#264 » by Avenger » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:47 am

Skin Blues wrote:
Avenger wrote:Amazing how many new fans Mr. 1.31 HR/9 innings has as soon as we trade him away

I guess they're looking at the success he's has over his 3rd and 4th seasons in the AL East, with a 3.84 K/BB in 2010 as opposed to a HR/9 that is heavily skewed by his first and second seasons. Those crazy Jays fans!


Shaun Marcum is more or less a launching pad, there's no getting around that. His 2010 HR/9 might not look terrible (1.11 HR/9 is still pretty bad), he might only be getting a bit lucky. His FB% has only been getting worse and with the bandboxes we play in the AL east, his fly ball tendencies will always limit what he can do.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#265 » by Kurtz » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:50 am

Skin Blues wrote:
Avenger wrote:
I think this is a nice move. Marcum was good, sure, but if baseball America's #15 overall ranking is anything to go by,


Can you tell me where you found this ranking? I've read that they ranked him at #59.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#266 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:52 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:
-MetA4- wrote:Why the **** do you keep saying "raw"?

Because he is a young guy has a ton of developing left to do to reach the major league level, both offensively and defensively. Basically, there's a lot of risk there. That should be obvious, no?


What prospect isn't "raw"?

To a degree, they are all raw. But there's a difference between a guy who has to do a lot more developing to even be a major league player and Travis Snider/Kyle Drabek.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#267 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 6:55 am

trwi7 wrote:Developing offensively? lol wut? He was the second youngest player in the Southern League and was around top 15 in OPS in the Southern League. How much more developing does he need on offense? He was drafted in the first round for his bat.

He's still at least 1.5-2 productive offensive seasons away in the high minors from even making a big league roster, no? And then there's still the question about his defensive position.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#268 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:00 am

Avenger wrote:
Yosemite Dan wrote:Again you make it sound like Marcum is some old workhorse pitcher and he's not. He has alot of years left and he could have easily won 20 games this year if he had the run support. If someone on this board proposed this trade 2 days ago, 99.9% of us would of said no **** way. Just because AA did it (or was pressured to do it which is more likely to avoid future payroll burdens, it's Rogers don't forget) does not make this trade any better.



I thought Basketball was the only sport you knew nothing about. Marcum for Lowrie trade idea was thrown around hundreds of times on Blue Jays forums and blogs. I know there was thread during the deadline which we discussed a rumor on Lowrie and Schad, me and couple of others said Lowrie for Marcum was a fair trade.
edit:
here's the thread
viewtopic.php?f=123&t=1022440#wrap


This isn't cognitive dissonance speaking here and we're not supporting the move simply because AA made it.

No, maybe you aren't, but Metafour is.

-MetA4- wrote:I wouldn't give up Marcum for just Lawrie...no way. Lawrie isn't a good defender in the infield. He can barely play 2B, so I'm not sure why anyone thinks he could stick at 3B. Most people have him penciled in for the outfield.

If Lawrie was capable of playing 3B I'd assume the Brewers would be playing him there right now considering how much harder it is to find a 3B than it is to find a 2B. He's just not a good defensive infielder, could simply be an issue of him having poor instincts (which isn't really correctable).

His bat is good; but its not defense-doesn't-matter good. He's still more or less a tweener.


You call him a tweener, I call him raw in need of more development, what's the difference? :lol:
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#269 » by -MetA4- » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:01 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:But there's a difference between a guy who has to do a lot more developing to even be a major league player and Travis Snider/Kyle Drabek.


Kyle Drabek had half a year of AA experience under his belt when he was the headliner of a trade for a player that is considerably better than Marcum. Lawrie has a full year.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#270 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:03 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:But there's a difference between a guy who has to do a lot more developing to even be a major league player and Travis Snider/Kyle Drabek.


Kyle Drabek had half a year of AA experience under his belt when he was the headliner of a trade for a player that is considerably better than Marcum. Lawrie has a full year.

Drabek could pitch in the majors right now and be productive. There's no way that Lawrie is ready for that kind of jump, you know that.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#271 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:05 am

Avenger wrote:
Skin Blues wrote:
Avenger wrote:Amazing how many new fans Mr. 1.31 HR/9 innings has as soon as we trade him away

I guess they're looking at the success he's has over his 3rd and 4th seasons in the AL East, with a 3.84 K/BB in 2010 as opposed to a HR/9 that is heavily skewed by his first and second seasons. Those crazy Jays fans!


Shaun Marcum is more or less a launching pad, there's no getting around that. His 2010 HR/9 might not look terrible (1.11 HR/9 is still pretty bad), he might only be getting a bit lucky. His FB% has only been getting worse and with the bandboxes we play in the AL east, his fly ball tendencies will always limit what he can do.

That will only improve against worse offensive teams that don't hit home runs as often as NYY, BOS, and TAM. Marcum is a very good pitcher...I don't see the point in questioning his ability.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#272 » by -MetA4- » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:08 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:No, maybe you aren't, but Metafour is.


My expectation of the trade did drop some when it was learned that it was only Lawrie coming back. I absolutely would have wanted another player in addition, even if it was an organizational Top 10-12 type. I'd also admit that I was selling Lawrie short when I first made that statement, in particular because my evaluation of his power upside was off (which is why I was overblowing his need to potentially switch positions).
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#273 » by -MetA4- » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:10 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:Drabek could pitch in the majors right now and be productive. There's no way that Lawrie is ready for that kind of jump, you know that.


I'm talking about when we acquired Drabek, not right now. Were you strongly displeased that we moved Halladay for a package centered around a "very raw" prospect?
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#274 » by guvernator » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:10 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:
-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:But there's a difference between a guy who has to do a lot more developing to even be a major league player and Travis Snider/Kyle Drabek.


Kyle Drabek had half a year of AA experience under his belt when he was the headliner of a trade for a player that is considerably better than Marcum. Lawrie has a full year.

Drabek could pitch in the majors right now and be productive. There's no way that Lawrie is ready for that kind of jump, you know that.


1 guy hasnt even turned 21 yet, the other is 23. Could Drabek pitch in the majors in the beginning of last year? That'd be a better argument.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#275 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:13 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:No, maybe you aren't, but Metafour is.

My expectation of the trade did drop some when it was learned that it was only Lawrie coming back. I absolutely would have wanted another player in addition, even if it was an organizational Top 10-12 type. I'd also admit that I was selling Lawrie short when I first made that statement, in particular because my evaluation of his power upside was off (which is why I was overblowing his need to potentially switch positions).

No reason to justify yourself to me. People's opinions can and do change.

I just found it funny that you were criticizing me (and others) for criticizing a trade that you wouldn't have done a few months ago.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#276 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:17 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:Drabek could pitch in the majors right now and be productive. There's no way that Lawrie is ready for that kind of jump, you know that.


I'm talking about when we acquired Drabek, not right now. Were you strongly displeased that we moved Halladay for a package centered around a "very raw" prospect?

Partly yes, because I knew that Halladay was worth a lot more than that package of players (two of which were fairly raw). But partly no, because I knew that AA did the best he could in a tough situation.

Not sure how it's relevant to this situation, though. You asked me who I would define as less raw than Lawrie, and the current version of Drabek most certainly applies.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#277 » by -MetA4- » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:18 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:
I just found it funny that you were criticizing me (and others) for criticizing a trade that you wouldn't have done a few months ago.


Sure, but my initial opinion back when I wouldn't have done the trade was wrong.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#278 » by -MetA4- » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:20 am

Randle McMurphy wrote:You asked me who I would define as less raw than Lawrie, and the current version of Drabek most certainly applies.


The current version of Drabek doesn't get traded for Shaun Marcum.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#279 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:21 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:
I just found it funny that you were criticizing me (and others) for criticizing a trade that you wouldn't have done a few months ago.


Sure, but my initial opinion back when I wouldn't have done the trade was wrong.

In your opinion. Not mine.
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Re: Shaun Marcum Traded to the Brewers for Brett Lawrie 

Post#280 » by Randle McMurphy » Mon Dec 6, 2010 7:23 am

-MetA4- wrote:
Randle McMurphy wrote:You asked me who I would define as less raw than Lawrie, and the current version of Drabek most certainly applies.

The current version of Drabek doesn't get traded for Shaun Marcum.

Depends entirely on who is doing the trading.
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