Past Top ST Records: Some Good News for Jays Fans
Posted: Sat Mar 31, 2012 10:12 pm
http://www.captainsblog.info/2012/03/30/springboard-effect-does-a-good-exhibition-record-translate-to-the-regular-season/14199/
Where does that leave us? Basically, if you are trying to determine a team’s improvement based on a comparison of spring records, it will be a lost cause. Similarly, a particular winning percentage in March doesn’t necessarily mean a corresponding outcome in the regular season. However, if a team’s spring record is on either extreme, it could indicate the likelihood of a post season berth, which brings us back to the Blue Jays. Of the 13 teams since 1984 that have played over .700 ball in March, seven have made the playoffs. What’s more, Jays’ fans can also take comfort in the spring struggles of the Rays and Rangers, who each have won just one-third of their exhibition schedule. That doesn’t guarantee the Blue Jays their first playoff berth in 20 years, but it does give Toronto fans every right to be optimistic heading into the season.