Interesting Nuggets statistic

mcmurphy · Post #1 » by **mcmurphy** » Tue Mar 5, 2013 6:39 pm

When the Nuggets keeps the opposing team:

1) 3P%_opp lower of 43%

AND

2) TO_nugg - TO_opp < 5
(at max 4 more turnovers of the opposing teams)

the record is 31-3 (91% of wins)

at HOME the record is 21-1
on the ROAD the record is 10-2

Controlling the 3-point line and the turnovers are the keys of success.
Goooooo Nuggets

mcmurphy · Post #2 » by **mcmurphy** » Wed Mar 6, 2013 10:37 am

updating:

@SAC

3P%_SAC= 0.387 < 0.43 ( I condition OK)

TO_nugg - TO_sac= 12-17= -5 < 5 ( II condition OK)

Record 32-3

HOME 21-1
ROAD 11-2

Doomsta · Post #3 » by **Doomsta** » Thu Mar 7, 2013 4:19 pm

Nice analysis, im just curious if this is particularly the nuggets or more like a general rule ? I mean if you control the 3p% and to's you wont be doing anything wrong...

mcmurphy · Post #4 » by **mcmurphy** » Thu Mar 7, 2013 4:51 pm

Doomsta wrote:Nice analysis, im just curious if this is particularly the nuggets or more like a general rule ? I mean if you control the 3p% and to's you wont be doing anything wrong...

here I developed the same concept
viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1237768

The Top NBA teams under the same conditions:

Denver record 32-3 (HOME 21-1, ROAD 11-2)
Clippers record 37-5 (HOME 22-1, ROAD 15-4)
OKC record 34-5 (HOME 21-1, ROAD 13-4)
Miami record 32-5 (HOME 18-2, ROAD 14-3)
SAS record 35-8 (HOME 20-3, ROAD 15-5)
Grizzlies record 31-12 (HOME 21-5, ROAD 10-7)

Those two conditions (3p_o<43% and Delta_TO<5) are much more important for the Nuggets than Grizzlies and SAS.