scottcarman wrote:This is fantastic. I agree with Rebel and Corona that something around 4/44 seems about right. Maybe slightly less.
I'm, of course, not an agent, or privy to salary potential in the league. I, also, certainly wouldn't expect anything near his final year salary in today's tougher NBA times. And I'm notoriously economical, but if I were to forgo that much money for one year, I would insist on more years to compensate for giving the team an immediate cap and luxury tax break.
In effect, if he signed that contract, he would be making approximately $9 mil for three of the four years. That is certainly not chicken-feed and he and his agent might indeed find it acceptable for a modicum of future security. But they also might consider that Rudy Gay is making $16.5, Danny Granger and Luol Deng $13, Kevin Martin $12.5, and Corey Maggette and Nic Batum $11.
I really do not know the answer. I probably would shoot for a five year contract averaging at least $11 Mil. He'd be sacrificing current earnings for future security, and depending how they choose to structure the deal, the team could see immediate Cap benefits, even if front loaded to protect against future performance decline. Of course the Nuggets could reap even more substantial Cap or luxury tax benefits immediately if structured conventionally.
I'm a fan, but I admit that $16 Mil is too much in today's NBA. But keep in mind that when Dre signed his contract Kirilenko was making $5 Mil more and, as much as I like him, putting up lower numbers. Today, at age 32, he is still making $10mil, and he didn't have to "give away" six million to get that contract on his return to the NBA.
What I am proposing is a compromise. Dre could take a chance on getting an $11 mil, or more, contract after keeping that $16 mil for this year. He'd financially be ahead even at $10mil. I personally expect him to play even better next season. He has followed every FIBA competition with some decline the following year. After the World Championship Gold, he had an injury plagued season. (Tendonitis needs rest.) This year, after the Olympic Gold, he has only missed two and a half games, but his shooting, particularly from distance, has plummeted precipitously. Of course, in fairness, his three point shooting last year was, just as likely, somewhat of an aberration.