The Rebel wrote:You can post your arguments on why I am wrong, and please do, but to insinuate that I am a homer and exaggerating then refusing to discuss says a lot more about you than me.
I watch more basketball than most basketball junkies, I watch a game or two a night every night the entire season because I literally do not watch any other tv outside of the occasional football game. I also understand stats, so please tell me where I am wrong and don't be so passive aggressive.
Alright, I never wanted to insult anyone but seeing the attitude in your post it feels like I did. I will answer of course to the things you asked me. But I have the feeling my criticism/proposal that we might be able to have better discussion when we aren't exaggerating the player quality, fit and things like that isn't really welcome so I guess I have to drop that afterwards. Edit: No aggressiveness from my side. Also no accusation of homerism. Only true part is accusation of exaggeration but in a non aggressive way. More like a proposal to raise the quality of discussion. But thanks for starting your post by putting words into my mouth.
The Rebel wrote:You want to talk about Oladipo, we can. He requested a trade prior to the season starting because he did not like the Pacers offense. Do you know what the Pacer's offense is? It is a cheap knock off of the Nuggets offense. They run a pick and roll with Sabonis or in the post with Sabonis almost every trip down the floor. Oladipo saw the offense and requested a trade. So if he will not play in their offense, why would he play in our offense?
We can also discuss Oladipo's play style. His 1 great year was the year where the entire offense ran through him and he got the easy assignments on defense, he is an iso player. it is no different than adding Will Barton with 17 shots per game to the roster. Do you think that helps our offense?
I added that fit is debatable. I think Dipo is at his best when he can handle the ball a lot. But he definitely is good without it too. Is he willing to do it? As you said, likely not. Which is why I wouldn't do that proposal either.
Does this make Dipo overrated. No not really. He will never get back to the level of his awesome season. But in the games he played over the years (admittedly not many) he played quite well in a reduced role, having a solid positive impact (looking at RPM/RAPM numbers and from what I saw the few times I watched the pacers the last two years). But nobody is saying he is that awesome guy that pushes us over the top.
As I said I wouldn't do that proposal either, which is why I said in my post to sky that I wasn't even giving my own opinion on the trade matters all that much. I just wanna say that when you think the Nuggets want more financial freedom this summer and want to gain one or two % this season the trade proposal isn't complete trash as some are making it seem to be.
The Rebel wrote:You want to talk about Siakam? We can discuss why he is overrated. People call him a 2nd star or 3rd star, and say that is what he was on the raptors championship team, and they are full of ****. He may have been the 2nd leading scorer, but he was the 4th guy that got hot at the right time. Go watch those playoff games, the best defender was on Kawhi, the 2nd best on Lowry, and the best big man defender was on Gasol or Ibaka. There is a huge difference between being the 4th guy and a true number 2. He is finding that out now, he started out hot last season, but once teams started paying more attention to him his stats dropped badly.
Edit: I watched nearly all PO-games of the Raps that season. Just to establish that.
I never argued Siakam is that super offensive weapon as I repeatedly said that he is best as a 2nd or 3rd option. But what you did is misleading again. The best perimeter defenders were on Lowry and Kawhi because they were the best offensive players on the team, sure. The best bigs were on Ibaka and Gasol (not always true but for the most part) because non of the true bigs is able to contain Siakam. Or are you really suggesting Gasol and Ibaka were more dangerous players than Siakam on offense and this is the reason why they got covered by these bigs?
I also don't know what you are talking about with NrX NrY sometimes. Siakam was their 2nd best player but 3rd best offensive player at best. So I don't know what you are arguing exactly.
The Rebel wrote:Speaking of his stats, you should go look at how he does against the top 10 defensive teams in the league, the guy pads his stats against the worst teams. Unfortunately impact stats don't show that, because not a single one differentiates between who the opponents are or how good they are, and most are terrible at adjusting for lineups. Go look at who was backing him up and overall how bad their bench was, then come back and try to argue how effectively those impact stats tell the whole story.
What defensive stats are you talking about? The guy is an impact monster on defense. RAPM 19 has him as the 5th most impactful defender in the NBA. RPM in 19 and 20 have him in an elite group of defenders. PIPM too if I remember correctly. The Raptors are consistently better with him on the court on defense and glaringly so (exception 19 POs). I don't care about descriptive stats that are telling what a guy did. I wanna know what kind of impact is behind it. And the eye test and every lineup, on/off or +/- stat is saying he is great.
And by the way just for your information: RPM and RAPM are doing exactly what you are saying they don't do. Adjusting for subs, quality of the own team and quality of opponents. The larger the sample the better of course, but since every single stat is hinting in that direction over the course of 3 years, yeah, we can be pretty sure about his impact.
The Rebel wrote:Also while you are at it, go look at his defensive stats, notice how they drop as the raptors lost their better defenders? You tell me, is it easier guarding the opposing team's best player or the 4th best player? If you have ever actually played is it easier to be aggressive on defense when you know that your teammates will be where they are supposed to be every play? You know who has always had that? Siakam, you know who has never had an even decent defense around him?
The 100th time you talk about stats, I can't even argue against it since I don't know which stats you mean.
He is a solid man defender and a great team defender. Man defense isn't as important as team defense anyway. I don't care who he guards, he is supposed to defend properly on every occasion. And since I watched him play a lot and see what his impact stats show, I am comfortable there is absolutely no issue with him on defense. Again he is in a pretty elite group there for 3 years now.
The Rebel wrote:It really is funny you use Saikam's advanced stats for last season to try to argue how great he is, but yet you ignore John Collins advanced stats for this and last season, his 3rd and 4th year in the league when most players show the most growth and who they will be the rest of their career. I am sorry but saying you heard someone is bad at something is not a real argument, you insist he is a bad fit, yet all the advanced stats, all the tracking stats, and the eye test all say he is the perfect fit, but I guess since someone told you something we ignore all the facts? Then you insinuate that I have no idea what I am talking about, while you do?
Again no idea what stats you are talking. Collins looks solid the last few years. According to impact stats around neutral, with neutral to slightly above neutral defense. When I see him I don't get away impressed with his defense either. As Porter, Collins would have to make gigantic leaps to get on Siakams level impact wise and its not like he is super young. If you have followed my posts you know that I think Collins is a decent but not great fit (not a bad fit as you say), so I don't know what you are arguing here. Not everybody feels the need to exaggerate their points
Complete strawman.
I never said you don't know what you are talking about. I said that the statement I quoted feels like an exaggeration considering how you feel about Collins. You are laying a lot of words in my mouth for such a short OP of mine.
And btw the bolded one feels like your talking down to me and between the lines you did it in that whole post. You act like an expert beating me down with your knowledge. You know what?!! I watch basketball too. I know a lot about stats too (and not just the useless ones you are using). The way you talk it seems you are overvaluing your own basketball knowledge.
Here you have my perspective on things but I guess I was again only saying stuff that I heard. I gave you my numbers (the ones you don't even know how they work and what they say) and assessment from the eye test but somehow you are talking about mysterious stats (more than likely tracking and boxscore stuff that isn't telling me anything about impact, the same stats that paint Jokic as a bad defender, but he is OUR guy so the stats aren't telling the whole story but since Siakam is not our guy they are damning), while saying I wasn't precise with my analysis, when I didn't even give an analysis and only pointed out that maybe some things you said were exaggeration. I have no interest in that type of discussion, especially since my OP was about a completely different thing than what you are arguing against now.
I am out, have a nice time padding yourself on the back for that beatdown.