Post#455 » by The Rebel » Sun Oct 4, 2020 4:33 am
Chicago Bulls Trade Breakdown
Incoming Players
Will Barton, Monte Morris, Josh Richardson, 36th overall pick.
Outgoing Players
Thaddeus Young, Cristiano Felicio, Wendell Carter, Jr., Chandler Hutchison
Chicago adds 3 guys who can step in right away, with Morris and Barton starting, and Richardson in a 6th man role that can work with Lavine as they are both guys who can create for others somewhat. They also dump 2 really bad deals for them, Felicio's deal never made sense, and Thad Young is a terrible fit in their scheme. AK has always worked in front offices that believe in the draft and stash 2nd round picks, this gets him an early 2nd to start developing. To do it they lose Hutchison and Carter, but I think it is worth it.
Philadelphia Sixers Trade Breakdown
Incoming Players
Gary Harris, Thaddeus Young, Cristiano Felicio
Outgoing Players
Al Horford, Josh Richardson, Matisse Thybulle, 34th overall pick, 36th overall pick.
The 76ers are in trouble, they have to make major changes or their entire team will likely get busted up next year. The worst contract they have is Horford. They give up Thybulle and Richardson with the picks to break Horford's deal up into 3 smaller deals, upgrading at SG with Harris (despite his offensive issues Harris is the best defender in this deal and shot 36% on spot up 3s, so he is still a great fit), and adding a solid PF that can keep up with today's spread 4s and is a good spot up shooter. Felicio is expiring so bringing him on is not the worst thing in the world.
Denver Nuggets Trade Breakdown
Incoming Players
Wendell Carter, Jr., Chandler Hutchison, Al Horford, Matisse Thybulle, 34th overall pick
Outgoing Players
Gary Harris, Will Barton, Monte Morris
We are at a crossroads, do you try to run it back? Do you upgrade into another star and try to fill out the bench with the MLE and minimum deals? Do you improve the bench and complete the rebuild?
Make no mistake, Horford is a terrible contract, but can we make it work with him if it fills out the rest of the team?
Thybulle is more of a classic small forward, defense, a little bit of shooting, and a lot of hustle. The thing is we can have him at SG because he does well against SGs and he shot 37% on spot up shots. He would make a great long term replacement of Harris and is cheap.
Hutchison is better than Craig on both ends, few people know that for the 1st month of the season Hutchison was shooting 40% of spot up shots before injuring his shoulder and trying to play through it. He would make a great replacement for Craig.
Carter is a wide body defensive PF/C with long reach, a developing outside shot, and a physical demeanor. He has a ways to go to be what he may become, but right now he would make a great 3rd big and can play PF with the right C.
That Center could be Horford, we can use him like the RAptors do with Gasol, limit him to 4th big status during the season, putting his as 3rd big or even starter at PF in the right matchups. He is a great defender without being a shotblocker, and he can pass well enough we do not have to destroy our offense. Run him with Carter JR during the season while we are developing WCJ, and we can have 2 very good PF/Cs to backup Jokic depending on matchups come playoff time. IN 3 years his deal is only partially guaranteed, so you maybe able to dump him half way through the 21-22 season if need be.
The pick can be combined with 22 to move up to the late teens likely or we can take a stash player as we are going to need cheap players in a couple of years.
To me the decision comes down to money. The deal only raises the salaries about $3.5 million next season, but in year 3 we are adding some major salary. With Thybulle and Horford you are just under $31 million added to the cap, which will put us around $113 million for 6 players and having to extend MPJ and Carter JR. Which almost guarantees we are into the luxury tax in year 3. Yet we should be a contender and below the tax for years 1 and 2, which puts us at a 1 time payer before we can change much.
Karl was right in 1 thing, we all know these kind of opportunities do not come around often, we have a change to win the big one but we have to make the right move. While many seem to want us to get another offensive star, I think the type of star we need is a defensive star. Murray, Jokic, and even MPJ did not let us down in the playoffs, our shooters and our bench did. I think Thybulle has the potential to develop into the best perimeter defender in the league and a 40% 3 point shooter. I also think adding him, Carter Jr, and Horford brings toughness that we really do need to support Jokic and Murray. Horford is a good enough as a passer to replace Plumlee but his defense is a huge upgrade, and he can hit outside shots so the defense cannot just collapse in the paint when he comes on the court. Carter JR and Bol can compete for minutes and we are bound to get a good PF/C out of the 2 of them long term as Horford slows down.
Draft someone like Hampton, add a little depth at SG/SF with the BAE and you have a young but very good team and you are well under the luxury tax line.
Murray/ Dozier/ Hampton
Thybulle/ Hutchison
MPJ/ Hutchison/ KBD
Grant/ Carter Jr/ Cancar
Jokic/ Horford/ Bol