Felix Hernandez's Potential

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Felix Hernandez's Potential 

Post#1 » by Illuminati » Thu Sep 6, 2007 10:52 pm

Does he have the stuff as a pitcher to be a 15+ winner in his career?
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Post#2 » by GYBE » Thu Sep 6, 2007 10:56 pm

Yes.

8)
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Post#3 » by HMFFL » Thu Sep 6, 2007 11:57 pm

He certainly does and he should be able to do it several times during his career.
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Post#4 » by 34Celtic » Fri Sep 7, 2007 12:11 am

King Felix? I saw him pitch in person for the first time Monday and I'll tell you there is no ceiling, especially with that curveball
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Post#5 » by treyZz » Fri Sep 7, 2007 2:29 am

OP - Did you forget the green font?
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Post#6 » by Bleeding Green » Fri Sep 7, 2007 3:07 am

He already has 27 career wins. The only limitation here is his health. I'm no mechanics expert, but I don't think too many people like his mechanics.
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Post#7 » by mets87 » Fri Sep 7, 2007 6:15 am

wins? who cares about wins? that's a function of run support.
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Post#8 » by Ayt » Fri Sep 7, 2007 6:35 am

He's too old and maxed out. Pitchers are done at age 21 these days.
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Post#9 » by bigboy1234 » Fri Sep 7, 2007 7:00 am

He has the "stuff" to be a 25 win pitcher.
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Post#10 » by Rodanlee » Fri Sep 7, 2007 7:34 am

basically the same as kerry woods potential
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Post#11 » by PhilipNelsonFan » Fri Sep 7, 2007 10:33 pm

^Except far better.
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Post#12 » by HeyIt'sMe » Sun Sep 9, 2007 11:22 pm

PhilipNelsonFan wrote:^Except far better.


Kerry Wood at 21 >>> Felix Hernandez at 21.

At this point in time, he's nothing but an overrated, mediocre pitcher. And if you don't think he's been mediocre, prove to me otherwise.
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Post#13 » by bigboy1234 » Sun Sep 9, 2007 11:49 pm

Yeah, he's definitely mediocre.
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Post#14 » by HeyIt'sMe » Sun Sep 9, 2007 11:51 pm

bigboy1234 wrote:Yeah, he's definitely mediocre.


I'm sensing the sarcasm dripping in this post.
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Post#15 » by bigboy1234 » Sun Sep 9, 2007 11:57 pm

Noooooo, never. Do you consider Verlander mediocre? Because he's clearly better than him. Do you consider Kazmir mediocre? Because I think he's also better than him, although close.
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Post#16 » by HeyIt'sMe » Sun Sep 9, 2007 11:59 pm

bigboy1234 wrote:Noooooo, never. Do you consider Verlander mediocre? Because he's clearly better than him. Do you consider Kazmir mediocre? Because I think he's also better than him, although close.


I think Hernandez has the the ability to be the best pitcher in the league. His stuff is other worldly and induces lots of ground balls. Have the results shown that, though? Not really. He was decent last year, and he's been decent this year, with the occasional flashes of brilliance mixed in. He's been way too hittable for a pitcher with his kind of stuff.
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Post#17 » by bigboy1234 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 12:18 am

Hernandez: 8.1 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 61.1 GB%, 3.35 xFIP, 3.81 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, 15.5 LD%, .344 BABIP
Verlander: 8.1 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 41.0 GB%, 4.40 xFIP, 3.83 FIP, 1.23 WHIP, 18.8 LD%, .285 BABIP
Kazmir: 9.7 K/9, 4.0 BB/9, 42.8 GB%, 4.13 xFIP, 3.86 FIP, 1.43 WHIP, 14.9 LD%, .340 BABIP

These are the numbers I would use to judge how a pitcher is pitching, and there from this year, to me Felix is the best of this bunch, so I hope to god you consider Kazmir and Verlander mediocre or worse, thus having very high standards.
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Post#18 » by mets87 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 12:24 am

so we're supposed to consider a 4.17 ERA (barely over 100 ERA+) and a 1.43 WHIP good? sounds average at best. yes, he's still young and will most likely improve, but he's not that great right now.

verlander has given up fewer hits than IP and has struck out about the same, has a higher ERA+...i'd say he's better than felix right now. hernandez will be very good in a few years.
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Post#19 » by bigboy1234 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 12:27 am

If you think ERA is the end all be all you can do whatever you want. And as you can tell by looking at his BABIP he has been quite unlucky.
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Post#20 » by mets87 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 12:29 am

yeah, because i didn't quote his WHIP or anything. good point on BABIP though, that's absurdly high.
he's not that great right now but his stuff definitely is filthy. can't wait to see him in a few years when he's polished.

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