Post#4 » by Black Jesus 1 » Sun Oct 7, 2007 6:26 am
They're going to have 4 days off, don't know if they'll keep the pace up to win in 5...we'll see
and I'll admit I stole this, but: Reasons why the D'Backs should win
(1) The Law of Averages. They've won 17 out of 18, so they can't keep winning forever, right? Given the law of averages, the Rockies are due to lose.
(2) The Rockies Will Be Cooled Off. The NLCS doesn't start until Thursday, so that's four full days off. Both teams will be a little rusty, but it should be a bigger disadvantage for the Rockies since they're in the midst of a torrid streak.
(3) The Running Game. Yorvit Torrealba has allowed 61 stolen bases this season, with 15 caught stealing, for a rate of 19.7%. And we have one of the best running teams in the majors, with Byrnes, Young, Upton, Drew, and Reynolds all capable of swiping a bag.
(4) Good Against Lefties. The top two Rockies starters, Francis and Morales, are left-handed. We have a good record against lefties this season, and we have the ability to stack our lineup with 7 or 8 good righty hitters.
(5) Home Field Advantage. Both the D'Backs (50-31) and the Rockies (51-31) play significantly better at home. And we have home field advantage in this series.
(6) Pitching Wins Championships. Over the course of the season, the Rockies have had the better offense (860 runs scored versus 712), but the DBacks have had the better pitching (732 runs allowed versus 758). (The gap in runs scored would be even bigger if you throw out the ERA's of our worst regular season relievers who won't be used in the playoffs.) In the playoffs, good pitching beats good hitting. And every hitter will be heavily scouted.
(7) The Webb Factor. Webb is the best pitcher in the playoffs, and a true #1 starter. He has the potential to pitch 3 games in a 7 game series.
