Playoff and SB Odds

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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#41 » by bluejerseyjinx » Wed Dec 4, 2024 3:55 pm

Micah Prescott wrote:49ers, Jets, Bengals, Cowboys look like the biggest disappointers

Broncos, Commanders, Vikings - biggest surprise winners


Broncos were pegged to be the worst team in the NFL. Bo Nix making fans eat crow.

:lol: No they weren't. Just about everyone in their right minds had Carolina, New England and the Raiders pegged for that.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#42 » by Micah Prescott » Wed Dec 4, 2024 3:58 pm

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote: :falloff: :falloff: :falloff:

It doesn't say 100% chance. I mean, they are odds.

80% acknowledges it might not happen.

San Fran was supposed to be the 2nd best team in the NFL.

We all already knew ahead of time that everything in the season wouldn't play out exactly as the odds suggest.

But You were way off. You had the Cowboys making the playoffs and winning 11 or 12 games. You told me earlier in the Cowboy forum I was nuts predicting the Cowboys would be 3-5 at the midway point of the season. I mean what were you seeing and thinking that I didn't see?

The 80% isn't me, I didn't make these odds. Granted I agreed with them but everyone was off. To be fair, Dak and Parsons injuries as well as Bland and others plagued the season, but the biggest disappointment was Zimmer. Your insight was just "Dumb Dak and Jerry" but Dak isn't even playing lol.

Just leave it alone, don't make this yet ANOTHER Cowboys thread. Also it looks like I would have won the bet anyway.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#43 » by bluejerseyjinx » Wed Dec 4, 2024 4:09 pm

Micah Prescott wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:It doesn't say 100% chance. I mean, they are odds.

80% acknowledges it might not happen.

San Fran was supposed to be the 2nd best team in the NFL.

We all already knew ahead of time that everything in the season wouldn't play out exactly as the odds suggest.

But You were way off. You had the Cowboys making the playoffs and winning 11 or 12 games. You told me earlier in the Cowboy forum I was nuts predicting the Cowboys would be 3-5 at the midway point of the season. I mean what were you seeing and thinking that I didn't see?

The 80% isn't me, I didn't make these odds. Granted I agreed with them but everyone was off. To be fair, Dak and Parsons injuries as well as Bland and others plagued the season, but the biggest disappointment was Zimmer. Your insight was just "Dumb Dak and Jerry" but Dak isn't even playing lol.

Just leave it alone, don't make this yet ANOTHER Cowboys thread. Also it looks like I would have won the bet anyway.

I wasn't planning on it. Just wanted to point out that myself and Mr. B., for whatever reason, were much closer in the Cowboy preseason predictions than the rest of the Cowboy faithfull. That's all. :cowboy: PS. Your right, the 80% wasn't you but your prediction in the Cowboy forum is right there for all to see. Those are your posts and own predictions, right? Maybe Mr. B. and I are just LUCKY.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#44 » by Mr B » Wed Dec 4, 2024 4:38 pm

Micah Prescott wrote:49ers, Jets, Bengals, Cowboys look like the biggest disappointers

Broncos, Commanders, Vikings - biggest surprise winners


Broncos were pegged to be the worst team in the NFL. Bo Nix making fans eat crow.

I seem to remember someone on this board just before the start of the season saying that Bo Nix would be the best QB in this draft. I wonder who that was?

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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#45 » by Micah Prescott » Wed Dec 4, 2024 4:48 pm

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:49ers, Jets, Bengals, Cowboys look like the biggest disappointers

Broncos, Commanders, Vikings - biggest surprise winners


Broncos were pegged to be the worst team in the NFL. Bo Nix making fans eat crow.

:lol: No they weren't. Just about everyone in their right minds had Carolina, New England and the Raiders pegged for that.


The Vegas Odds I posted in here had Denver at the very bottom:

Micah Prescott wrote:Actual Vegas Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
San Francisco 49ers: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Baltimore Ravens: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Detroit Lions: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Cincinnati Bengals: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Philadelphia Eagles: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Houston Texans: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Buffalo Bills: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Green Bay Packers: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
New York Jets: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Dallas Cowboys: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Miami Dolphins: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Los Angeles Rams: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Atlanta Falcons: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Chicago Bears: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Cleveland Browns: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Los Angeles Chargers: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Pittsburgh Steelers: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Jacksonville Jaguars: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Seattle Seahawks: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660 total)
Indianapolis Colts: +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)
Minnesota Vikings: +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)
Arizona Cardinals: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
New Orleans Saints: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Las Vegas Raiders: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Washington Commanders: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
Tennessee Titans: +15000 (bet $10 to win $1,510 total)
New York Giants: +15000 (bet $10 to win $1,510 total)
New England Patriots: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
Carolina Panthers: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
Denver Broncos: +30000 (bet $10 to win $3,010 total)
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#46 » by QB_Eagles » Wed Dec 4, 2024 4:51 pm

I really thought the Vikings would be bad.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#47 » by Micah Prescott » Wed Dec 4, 2024 5:04 pm

Damn, so if Denver actually went on to win the Super Bowl. And you had placed just $10 on that before the season, you'd win $3,010 :lol:
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#48 » by bluejerseyjinx » Wed Dec 4, 2024 5:10 pm

I did prop bet before the season started. I have the Chiefs and Lions in the Super Bowl @ 18/1 for $100.00. So far, so good.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#49 » by Mr B » Wed Dec 4, 2024 7:00 pm

I have a feeling it’s going to be Chiefs vs Eagles with the Chiefs winning in a blowout and Mahomes getting his 4th SB MVP.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#50 » by WentzerWuver » Thu Dec 5, 2024 5:42 am

Mr B wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:49ers, Jets, Bengals, Cowboys look like the biggest disappointers

Broncos, Commanders, Vikings - biggest surprise winners


Broncos were pegged to be the worst team in the NFL. Bo Nix making fans eat crow.

I seem to remember someone on this board just before the start of the season saying that Bo Nix would be the best QB in this draft. I wonder who that was?

Image
Bo is just behind my Daniels as the most likely to win ROY. Whoever got odds on him before the season started would've got +1800 while I got +625, which I will most likely collect after losing my Bryce ROY bet last season.

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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#51 » by WentzerWuver » Thu Dec 5, 2024 6:02 am

Micah Prescott wrote:Damn, so if Denver actually went on to win the Super Bowl. And you had placed just $10 on that before the season, you'd win $3,010
I should had place that dime on my Eagles SB win prior this season like I have the past 6 season but still got in with less return now.

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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#52 » by bluejerseyjinx » Mon Dec 23, 2024 3:41 pm

[quote="Micah Prescott"]So Dallas has an 80% chance of making the playoffs, and a 7% chance of winning the SB.

Honestly that sounds spot-on to me. I have no idea how these percentages were determined but they feel legit.[/quote]
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#53 » by bluejerseyjinx » Mon Dec 23, 2024 3:43 pm

Cactus Jack wrote:
El Turco wrote:Btw I'd take under on Seahawks, NFC west will be better this season and Geno is the worst qb in the division by far.

Lol I hope you didn't put too much money down.

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#54 » by bluejerseyjinx » Mon Dec 23, 2024 3:47 pm

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Micah Prescott wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote: :falloff: :falloff: :falloff:

It doesn't say 100% chance. I mean, they are odds.

80% acknowledges it might not happen.

San Fran was supposed to be the 2nd best team in the NFL.

We all already knew ahead of time that everything in the season wouldn't play out exactly as the odds suggest.

But You were way off. You had the Cowboys making the playoffs and winning 11 or 12 games. You told me earlier in the Cowboy forum I was nuts predicting the Cowboys would be 3-5 at the midway point of the season. I mean what were you seeing and thinking that I didn't see?

:eek2: :eek1: :dontknow:
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#55 » by Worm Guts » Mon Dec 23, 2024 4:02 pm

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Cactus Jack wrote:
El Turco wrote:Btw I'd take under on Seahawks, NFC west will be better this season and Geno is the worst qb in the division by far.

Lol I hope you didn't put too much money down.

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:


Seahawks are already over....
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#56 » by Cactus Jack » Mon Dec 23, 2024 7:12 pm

They'll beat Chicago this week. 9 wins. The over/under was 7.5.

I predicted they'd win 10 before the season started. So, not that far off.

SF came crashing down. I figured they'd underachieve based on expectations. Super Bowl hangover. Plus, you've got guys holding out chasing money. That's a recipe for regression.
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#57 » by LAKESHOW » Tue Dec 24, 2024 1:20 am

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
LAKESHOW wrote:I BELIEVE IN USCs Sam Darnold
Minnesota Vikings!

I worry about you sometimes. :wink: :lol: Unless you are sleeping with Hermes and then it would make sense. :wink:

LOL
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Re: Playoff and SB Odds 

Post#58 » by LAKESHOW » Tue Dec 24, 2024 1:21 am

hermes wrote:we have addison and blackmon too

its trojans all the way down, how can we lose?

These next 2 weeks are gonna prove their worth
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