2023 Draft Prospects

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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#81 » by Cactus Jack » Sun Dec 4, 2022 3:03 am

wco81 wrote:That's how Bush, Leinart, Darnold, Mike Williams, etc. all got drafted high.

Pac 10 can produce some good defensive players but the defenses are bad.

What they put on film against mostly Pac 10 opponents is very exaggerated.

Even when SC was under Carroll and they won some big out of conference games, those players could never come close to replicating their performance in the NFL.

Leinart & Darnold are both not nearly as talented as Caleb Williams. You can watch 5 minutes of film & come to that conclusion.

Darnold was not that impressive his senior year. He got taken by the Jets early. But he was always an overrated prospect who struggled with turnovers.

Mike Williams didn't produce as a pro because he was lazy. He had weight issues & thus didn't last very long.

Fwiw Carson Palmer had a long & very good career.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#82 » by Cactus Jack » Sun Dec 4, 2022 6:10 am

Duke4life831 wrote:
Cactus Jack wrote:How would you rank the top prospects in this years class?

Tier 1:
Basically the entire Georgia defense...
In all seriousness though I have Ringo and Carter from Georgia's defense here. (I wouldve taken Ringo as the first DB in last year's stacked class)
Bresee
Anderson
Quentin Johnson
Addison

I think there is a drop off after those 6.

I have not been impressed by Ringo in the few games that I've watched him. I think he's still living off last years championship game INT. Because he's not been the best DB in the nation this season. Far from it.

Carter meanwhile is so ridiculously good. I can't think of a better DT prospect in recent memory? Not even Aaron Donald was this dominant in college?

I think Bryce gets taken 1st overall by Houston. Simply because they need a QB. But I wouldn't be surprised if Carter goes first.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#83 » by wco81 » Sun Dec 4, 2022 7:14 pm

Cactus Jack wrote:
wco81 wrote:That's how Bush, Leinart, Darnold, Mike Williams, etc. all got drafted high.

Pac 10 can produce some good defensive players but the defenses are bad.

What they put on film against mostly Pac 10 opponents is very exaggerated.

Even when SC was under Carroll and they won some big out of conference games, those players could never come close to replicating their performance in the NFL.

Leinart & Darnold are both not nearly as talented as Caleb Williams. You can watch 5 minutes of film & come to that conclusion.

Darnold was not that impressive his senior year. He got taken by the Jets early. But he was always an overrated prospect who struggled with turnovers.

Mike Williams didn't produce as a pro because he was lazy. He had weight issues & thus didn't last very long.

Fwiw Carson Palmer had a long & very good career.



Not saying Caleb won't be a good player but if he's building his rep on second reaction plays, that's not something to rely on at the NFL level.

Yes Mahomes and Allen give the lie to that idea but those players are at the top of the league.

I did hear Sean Payton say that he thinks Caleb is a generational player and that teams will all want him in the 2024 draft and may tank for him, causing the NFL to adopt a draft lottery.

Lamar can make second reaction plays all day long and he has some huge games. But he hasn't seen playoffs success yet and he's not doing that all game long.

I saw a graphic of the QBs who are pressured or hit every few drop backs. I forget the list but Allen was like second and Mahomes was in the top 5.

But when you look at times sacked, times hit, times blitzed, Allen and Mahomes are in the top 5 or 10. Obviously they make a lot of plays, even when blitzed, pressured or hurried.

It just shows defenses won't allow these guys a lot of time, even if it compromises their coverage.

Maybe Caleb will produce like those elite QBs. I notice he's smaller than Mahomes and definitely smaller than Allen, so he may not be able to withstand the punishment if he tries to scramble.

Russell Wilson is also up there in the number of sacks, hits, pressures, times blitzed. He's about the same weight as Caleb but being shorter, he's thicker so maybe better able to endure the punishment.

Actually a good comparison might be Luck, who took a ton of punishment holding the ball for big plays downfield. He lifted the Colts for awhile but evidently he got beat up and quit the game.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#84 » by Cactus Jack » Tue Dec 6, 2022 12:34 am

Duke4life831 wrote:Caleb Williams maybe my favorite QB prospect in a very very long time

You're welcome!

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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#85 » by Cactus Jack » Tue Dec 6, 2022 12:38 am

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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#86 » by Cactus Jack » Mon Jan 9, 2023 12:50 am

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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#87 » by wco81 » Mon Jan 9, 2023 1:13 am

Pretty brutal, Rams having to give their FRP to the Lions.

Tough for Denver too but I think people had greater expectations of the Rams.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#88 » by hermes » Mon Jan 9, 2023 4:18 am

wco81 wrote:Pretty brutal, Rams having to give their FRP to the Lions.

Tough for Denver too but I think people had greater expectations of the Rams.

eh, only would have been brutal if they lost the super bowl
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#89 » by DOT » Mon Jan 9, 2023 3:05 pm

I wonder what team is gonna give up a haul to get to #1 from the Bears?

Texans might have to, they need a QB, but it depends on how much lower they have Stroud than Young, they might be comfortable with taking Stroud at 2

Cardinals don't need a QB either, so can't see them giving up a ton to move up when they can likely stay at 3 and get the best non-QB

Colts are the first one who might want to move up, but they could also stay and overdraft the #3 QB, like if Will Levis has a great pro day or something

Lions and Seahawks both don't really need a QB, and they're trying to win now, so I could see them staying put

Raiders, Falcons, and Panthers are all in desperate need of QB help, any one of them might do it, but it'd cost them. Can't see the Bears trading back out of the top 10, not without an insane haul, like if the Texans offer the 12th pick plus the future Cleveland picks or something.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#90 » by wco81 » Mon Jan 9, 2023 5:31 pm

Still don't get this interest in Bryce Young.

Tua showed how vulnerable smaller QBs are the way he was rag dolled this season.

It's not like he doesn't have weapons either.

Even more elusive QBs like Hurts and Jackson got banged up.

If Young goes to a top 5 team, he better hope they sign some stud OL some way.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#91 » by RaoulDuke79 » Mon Jan 9, 2023 5:40 pm

Texans need an entire team, may as well trade down and get as many picks as they can...they'll just miss on all of them anyways.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#92 » by Duke4life831 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 7:25 pm

So do the Bears go QB or trade down? That offense stinks and really didnt see much improvement from year 1 to year 2 of Fields

Year 1:
311 points scored
3207 yards passing

Year 2:
326 points scored
2219 yards passing

Basically 1 more point per game and 1k less passing yards. And we are in a passing league. From the articles and stuff Im reading, it seems pretty split down the middle on if they should keep him or move on.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#93 » by wco81 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 7:42 pm

Bears probably get more return in trading the pick than trading Fields.

They need weapons and probably talent all over the roster.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#94 » by Cactus Jack » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:09 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:So do the Bears go QB or trade down? That offense stinks and really didnt see much improvement from year 1 to year 2 of Fields

Year 1:
311 points scored
3207 yards passing

Year 2:
326 points scored
2219 yards passing

Basically 1 more point per game and 1k less passing yards. And we are in a passing league. From the articles and stuff Im reading, it seems pretty split down the middle on if they should keep him or move on.

Trade.

Young is better than Fields. But his size & longterm durability will be an issue.

Chicago is in the perfect spot to get a haul from a QB desperate team like the Colts.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#95 » by wco81 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:11 pm

What do you think Fields would get in a trade?

Certainly not multiple FRPs.

They dumped some players like Roquan Smith.

They probably have some cap space to sign FAs too.

Who are the top WR prospects? That's what the Bears need.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#96 » by Duke4life831 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:18 pm

Cactus Jack wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:So do the Bears go QB or trade down? That offense stinks and really didnt see much improvement from year 1 to year 2 of Fields

Year 1:
311 points scored
3207 yards passing

Year 2:
326 points scored
2219 yards passing

Basically 1 more point per game and 1k less passing yards. And we are in a passing league. From the articles and stuff Im reading, it seems pretty split down the middle on if they should keep him or move on.

Trade.

Young is better than Fields. But his size & longterm durability will be an issue.

Chicago is in the perfect spot to get a haul from a QB desperate team like the Colts or Panthers.


What will they be better off at.

Keeping Fields and the package they get for #1
or
Keeping #1 and the package they get for Fields

Me personally I would keep #1 and trade Fields. Fields is nowhere close to being an NFL thrower and that will always put a limit on that team. 130 yards passing per game was the worse the NFL has seen from a team since the 2009 Brady Quinn led Cleveland Browns.

I will say as a Vikings fan, I do hope they keep Fields and trade the pick.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#97 » by Duke4life831 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:18 pm

wco81 wrote:What do you think Fields would get in a trade?

Certainly not multiple FRPs.

They dumped some players like Roquan Smith.

They probably have some cap space to sign FAs too.

Who are the top WR prospects? That's what the Bears need.


Ive read multiple articles and it seems like most people in the know think they can get somewhere around a 1st and a 3rd for Fields.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#98 » by Cactus Jack » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:19 pm

wco81 wrote:What do you think Fields would get in a trade?

Certainly not multiple FRPs.

They dumped some players like Roquan Smith.

They probably have some cap space to sign FAs too.

Who are the top WR prospects? That's what the Bears need.

They won't trade Fields.

Chicago either trades the pick or takes Jalen Carter.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#99 » by Cactus Jack » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:26 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:
Cactus Jack wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:So do the Bears go QB or trade down? That offense stinks and really didnt see much improvement from year 1 to year 2 of Fields

Year 1:
311 points scored
3207 yards passing

Year 2:
326 points scored
2219 yards passing

Basically 1 more point per game and 1k less passing yards. And we are in a passing league. From the articles and stuff Im reading, it seems pretty split down the middle on if they should keep him or move on.

Trade.

Young is better than Fields. But his size & longterm durability will be an issue.

Chicago is in the perfect spot to get a haul from a QB desperate team like the Colts or Panthers.


What will they be better off at.

Keeping Fields and the package they get for #1
or
Keeping #1 and the package they get for Fields

Me personally I would keep #1 and trade Fields. Fields is nowhere close to being an NFL thrower and that will always put a limit on that team. 130 yards passing per game was the worse the NFL has seen from a team since the 2009 Brady Quinn led Cleveland Browns.

I will say as a Vikings fan, I do hope they keep Fields and trade the pick.

I'm not a fan of Fields either. But I don't see them taking a QB.

I think they will shop it aggressively.
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Re: 2023 Draft Prospects 

Post#100 » by Duke4life831 » Tue Jan 10, 2023 8:45 pm

Cactus Jack wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:
Cactus Jack wrote:Trade.

Young is better than Fields. But his size & longterm durability will be an issue.

Chicago is in the perfect spot to get a haul from a QB desperate team like the Colts or Panthers.


What will they be better off at.

Keeping Fields and the package they get for #1
or
Keeping #1 and the package they get for Fields

Me personally I would keep #1 and trade Fields. Fields is nowhere close to being an NFL thrower and that will always put a limit on that team. 130 yards passing per game was the worse the NFL has seen from a team since the 2009 Brady Quinn led Cleveland Browns.

I will say as a Vikings fan, I do hope they keep Fields and trade the pick.

I'm not a fan of Fields either. But I don't see them taking a QB.

I think they will shop it aggressively.


Agreed. I also think this is the course they're going to take. If I were the GM or a fan of the Bears, I would be hoping for them to flip Fields. But ya I think most likely they keep Fields and flip the pick.

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