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NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 10:58 pm
by HMFFL
Sunday
1:00 PM Carolina +5.5 Atlanta -5.5
1:00PM San Francisco +5 at Detroit -5
1:00 PM Indianapolis +7 Cincinnati -7
1:00 PM Philadelphia +1 Washington -1
1:00 PM St. Louis +14.5 Green Bay -14.5
1:00 PM Jacksonville +13 Pittsburgh -13
1:00 PM Buffalo +3 N.Y. Giants -3
4:05 PM Cleveland +5.5 Oakland
4:05 PM Houston +7 Baltimore -7
4:15 PM New Orleans -4.5 Tampa Bay
4:15 PM Dallas +7 New England -7
8:20 PM Minnesota +3 at Chicago -3
Monday
8:30 PM Miami +7.5 N.Y. Jets -7.5
Bye Week Teams: Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 8:51 pm
by Jeff23
I am going to place a 2000 swiss francs bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars winning against the Pittsburgh steelers.
I will place it tommorow at 4 PM eastern. If anybody has good arguments why i shouldnt, please let me know.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 8:59 pm
by Da Schwab
I honestly can't tell if you're serious or not. If you are, you will be out $2200 American dollars.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 9:19 pm
by Bac2Basics
Who would have thought at Detroit/San Francisco would be the game of the week?
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 9:21 pm
by Icness
If I were to bet a big dog this week I would take Miami coming off a bye with a new QB against a Jets offense that cannot score. Should be a 16-14 or even 17-10 kind of game.
Who would ever have thought that the best game on the slate in Week 6 is 4-1 San Francisco at 5-0 Detroit? You could have put $10K down on those teams having those records and bookies would have walked away laughing at you.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 12:13 am
by Roger Murdock
HMFFL wrote:Sunday
1:00 PM Carolina +5.5 Atlanta -5.5
1:00PM San Francisco +5 at Detroit -5
1:00 PM Indianapolis +7 Cincinnati -7
1:00 PM Philadelphia +1 Washington -1
1:00 PM St. Louis +14.5 Green Bay -14.5
1:00 PM Jacksonville +13 Pittsburgh -13
1:00 PM Buffalo +3 N.Y. Giants -3
4:05 PM Cleveland +5.5 Oakland
4:05 PM Houston +7 Baltimore -7
4:15 PM New Orleans -4.5 Tampa Bay
4:15 PM Dallas +7 New England -7
8:20 PM Minnesota +3 at Chicago -3
Monday
8:30 PM Miami +7.5 N.Y. Jets -7.5
Bye Week Teams: Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee
Carolina
Detroit
Cinci
Philly
Green Bay
Pittsburgh
Buffalo
Clevaland
Baltimore
New Orleans
New England
Minnesota
NYJ
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 1:08 am
by HMFFL
Raiders will honor Davis on Sunday
The Oakland Raiders will honor Hall of Fame owner Al Davis at their first home game since his death last weekend.
Raiders CEO Amy Trask said Tuesday that the team will "honor and pay tribute" to Davis throughout Sunday's game against the Cleveland Browns. There are no specific details about what is planned.
Davis died Saturday at age 82. He had been part of the organization for all but three of the team's 52 seasons as either coach, general manager or owner.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/f ... &eref=sihp
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 5:20 am
by KGboss
HMFFL wrote:Sunday
1:00 PM Carolina +5.5 Atlanta -5.5
1:00PM San Francisco +5 at Detroit -5
1:00 PM Indianapolis +7 Cincinnati -7
1:00 PM Philadelphia +1 Washington -1
1:00 PM St. Louis +14.5 Green Bay -14.5
1:00 PM Jacksonville +13 Pittsburgh -13
1:00 PM Buffalo +3 N.Y. Giants -3
4:05 PM Cleveland +5.5 Oakland
4:05 PM Houston +7 Baltimore -7
4:15 PM New Orleans -4.5 Tampa Bay
4:15 PM Dallas +7 New England -7
8:20 PM Minnesota +3 at Chicago -3
Monday
8:30 PM Miami +7.5 N.Y. Jets -7.5
Bye Week Teams: Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee
Atlanta
Detroit
Cincinnati
Washington
Green Bay
Pitt
Giants
Oakland
Houston
New Orleans
New England
Chicago
Jets
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 4:50 pm
by Jeff23
Da Schwab wrote:I honestly can't tell if you're serious or not. If you are, you will be out $2200 American dollars.
I am serious... but the line is at 12+ steelers now. It went down so i am going to wait. I also wont bet 2000 dollars but 1000$.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 5:12 pm
by Jeff23
Jets trade Derrick Mason to the Texans. They just added a douchebag to their team... he's such a diva.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 7:09 pm
by studcrackers
the steelers just manhandled a much better titans team at home by 3 td's, why do you think they couldnt decimate the jaguars and their rookie qb by more?
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 9:31 pm
by Da Schwab
studcrackers wrote:the steelers just manhandled a much better titans team at home by 3 td's, why do you think they couldnt decimate the jaguars and their rookie qb by more?
That's what I don't understand. The Steelers definitely haven't been playing up to their potential this season, but their defense is still stout. If MoJo doesn't score, then no one will.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2011 12:17 am
by HMFFL
I won't get to watch any football this weekend so enjoy it for me gentleman. Studing the numbers and info. is difficult to do when I only had two days, but my wagers are in, my clients wagers are in, so cheers to everyone on a good week of footba
I'm looking forward to seeing the results Monday.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2011 12:32 am
by Icness
My early surprise picks are SF and NYG to win outright. I was actually surprised that the Giants are favorites but it sort of reinforces my thought that they will win.
I like Carolina +5.5. I think Newton keeps them close and Atlanta will not run up points with that OL and with Jones out. Probably not picking them to win it, but I like it to be a FG game.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2011 8:24 pm
by Jeff23
Da Schwab wrote:studcrackers wrote:the steelers just manhandled a much better titans team at home by 3 td's, why do you think they couldnt decimate the jaguars and their rookie qb by more?
That's what I don't understand. The Steelers definitely haven't been playing up to their potential this season, but their defense is still stout. If MoJo doesn't score, then no one will.
When i look at the odds for all the games there is always a game that stands out to me. The Bills-Pats was one, then Tampa-Colts, then Seahawks-Giants and now jags-steelers. I placed a 1'000 swiss francs (1200$) bet on the jags this morning. The jags were +12.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2011 12:43 am
by Da Schwab
Are you picking them to win outright or cover?
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2011 9:19 pm
by Jeff23
Da Schwab wrote:Are you picking them to win outright or cover?
outright.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2011 1:51 am
by Da Schwab
You're insane.
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2011 5:32 am
by studcrackers
Jeff23 wrote:Da Schwab wrote:Are you picking them to win outright or cover?
outright.
i have an uncle in nigeria who has a wealth of money, if you'd like to talk to him, give me your email and credit card info
Re: NFL Week 6 Thread
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2011 7:39 pm
by Icness
For those that like numbers:
consider the inefficiency of the Cleveland passing offense. Only the Saints throw the ball more per game than the Browns, with Colt McCoy averaging 43 attempts per game. Yet the Browns rank 17th in passing yards per game, and McCoy's 5.7 yards per attempt beats only Sam Bradford this year. If you go back to the start of the 2008 season, that figure would top only Jimmy Clausen last year, JaMarcus Russell and Brady Quinn in 2009, and Ryan Fitzpatrick subbing for Carson Palmer in 2008 for quarterbacks that started at least 10 games in a season. Three of those four guys are unlikely to ever take another NFL snap, and all of those teams lost at least 10 games. What makes it worse for McCoy? He is on pace to be sacked just 24 times, or on 3.6% of his attempts. All those other QBs were sacked on at least 6.9% of their attempts, with Bradford sacked an absurdly high 10.7% of his attempts. McCoy simply cannot throw the ball down the field, even with decent protection and a solid running game to ease pressure.
and
Even if they get to Aaron Rodgers repeatedly and a healthy Steven Jackson pounds out around 115 yards rushing, this Rams team will be lucky to cover the 14.5 point spread. They have seven corners either on IR or out for this game and will try to have the kneeless skeleton of Al Harris play every snap. Rodgers has picked apart far better secondaries than this one. The only real worry is if Rodgers gets bored, but I think he would like to keep the amazing streak of consecutive games with a QB rating over 110 (currently at 5) going on. In fact, if you go back to last year and include the playoffs, Rodgers has topped 110 in 13 of his 16 games. To put it in perspective, in Dan Marino's superlative 1984 season he topped 110 just 7 times and never more than twice in a row
Read more:
http://football.realgm.com/src_hangtime ... z1asdC9kF0That's the difference between having a QB and not having one. I took some crap from some Cleveland people on that one, including some in my immediate family, but Colt McCoy just doesn't have an NFL arm.
On the flip side, Rodgers is almost certain to match Steve Young's record of 11 games with a QB rating over 110 in a season. Manning had one season with 9, two others with 8 (and 5 with 7). Brees has one season with 8, Brady has 2, Montana has one, Culpepper has one, Warner has one. That's it. To put it in perspective, Troy Aikman had just 12 career games where he topped 110. Favre never had a season with more than 5--and that was his good Minny year.