RealGM

bleu wrote:Just looking quickly, the lines I'd be the most tempted to take:

Cardinals OVER 9.5
Ravens OVER 8.5
Browns UNDER 4.5
Rams UNDER 7.5
Eagles UNDER 7.5
Redskins OVER 7.5

I might need to go take out some bets on the Cards, Ravens, and Rams...

bwgood77 wrote:

bleu wrote:Just looking quickly, the lines I'd be the most tempted to take:

Cardinals OVER 9.5
Ravens OVER 8.5
Browns UNDER 4.5
Rams UNDER 7.5
Eagles UNDER 7.5
Redskins OVER 7.5

I might need to go take out some bets on the Cards, Ravens, and Rams...

It's hard for me to have a real good idea about teams I don't follow closely, but that Cards one seemed low. They have a tough schedule but I'd be real surprised if they won fewer than 10 unless Palmer goes down. Even with Palmer out two years ago and a lot of Stanton and even the third stringer they won 10, and now with guys like Chandler Jones, David Johnson and a more experienced Mathieu they have added some great pieces.

bluejerseyjinx wrote:So far I have already put in 3 super bowl prop bets and have 3 overs bet to this point. I'm not done yet, however I already have 3 $50.00 overs. I took Jacksonville, Kansas City and Minnesota. I'm leaning towards a few unders, but haven't made up my mind as of yet. I can't see the Rams, Egals or 49ers doing much.

ErnieDiGregorio wrote:Team 2016 Season Win Total Lines

Atlanta Falcons 7.5- over
Baltimore Ravens 8.5 -over
Buffalo Bills 8 - over
Carolina Panthers 10.5 -most definitely under
Cincinnati Bengals 9.5- under
Dallas Cowboys 9- under-lots of weird crap going on
Houston Texans 8.5- definitely under
Indianapolis Colts 9.5- over
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5- forever under
Minnesota Vikings 9.5- definitely over
New England Patriots 10.5- under
New Orleans Saints 7- over
New York Giants 8- over
Philadelphia Eagles 7.5- lets go under
Washington Redskins 7.5 under

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_season_win_total_futures_lines.shtml

bleu wrote:The Rams are the easiest under for me. There's no way they get 8 wins this year. I think being in LA helped boost their line a bit, if they were still in St. Louis they probably be at 5.5

bleu wrote:

bluejerseyjinx wrote:So far I have already put in 3 super bowl prop bets and have 3 overs bet to this point. I'm not done yet, however I already have 3 $50.00 overs. I took Jacksonville, Kansas City and Minnesota. I'm leaning towards a few unders, but haven't made up my mind as of yet. I can't see the Rams, Egals or 49ers doing much.

The Rams are the easiest under for me. There's no way they get 8 wins this year. I think being in LA helped boost their line a bit, if they were still in St. Louis they probably be at 5.5

bwgood77 wrote:What are your best bets?

Team 2016 Season Win Total Lines
Arizona Cardinals 9.5 OVER
Atlanta Falcons 7.5
Baltimore Ravens 8.5
Buffalo Bills 8
Carolina Panthers 10.5
Chicago Bears 7.5
Cincinnati Bengals 9.5
Cleveland Browns 4.5
Dallas Cowboys 9
Denver Broncos 9
Detroit Lions 7
Green Bay Packers 10.5
Houston Texans 8.5
Indianapolis Colts 9.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5
Kansas City Chiefs 9.5
Los Angeles Rams 7.5
Miami Dolphins 7
Minnesota Vikings 9.5
New England Patriots 10.5 OVER
New Orleans Saints 7
New York Giants 8
New York Jets 7.5
Oakland Raiders 8.5
Philadelphia Eagles 7.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5
San Diego Chargers 7
San Francisco 49ers 5.5
Seattle Seahawks 10.5 OVER
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.5
Tennessee Titans 5.5
Washington Redskins 7.5

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_season_win_total_futures_lines.shtml

ErnieDiGregorio wrote:

bleu wrote:

bluejerseyjinx wrote:So far I have already put in 3 super bowl prop bets and have 3 overs bet to this point. I'm not done yet, however I already have 3 $50.00 overs. I took Jacksonville, Kansas City and Minnesota. I'm leaning towards a few unders, but haven't made up my mind as of yet. I can't see the Rams, Egals or 49ers doing much.

The Rams are the easiest under for me. There's no way they get 8 wins this year. I think being in LA helped boost their line a bit, if they were still in St. Louis they probably be at 5.5

but this will also be the first time road teams go to a place theyve never been.
That might be worth 3 games

Cactus Jack wrote:

ErnieDiGregorio wrote:

bleu wrote:The Rams are the easiest under for me. There's no way they get 8 wins this year. I think being in LA helped boost their line a bit, if they were still in St. Louis they probably be at 5.5

but this will also be the first time road teams go to a place theyve never been.
That might be worth 3 games

I'm already counting week 2 (at the coliseum) a loss.

bwgood77 wrote:

Cactus Jack wrote:

ErnieDiGregorio wrote:

but this will also be the first time road teams go to a place theyve never been.
That might be worth 3 games

I'm already counting week 2 (at the coliseum) a loss.

I think almost all division road games should be counted on as losses, unless you have a clearly elite team against what is clearly a bad team. For example, the Seahawks and Cards at the Niners I would probably count as wins. Division games against the Browns I'd probably count as wins for the other teams. The Titans and Jags have been the type of teams you could probably count on beating on the road in the division, but they will likely both be tougher this year (but so should Houston and Indy).

San Diego actually didn't win ANY division games for the first time I can remember in a long time last year. The year before they got swept by Denver and KC and swept Oakland. I'd be surprised if they lost all division games this year but I'd also be a little surprised if they won all the home ones.

San Diego actually didn't win ANY division games for the first time I can remember in a long time last year. The year before they got swept by Denver and KC and swept Oakland. I'd be surprised if they lost all division games this year but I'd also be a little surprised if they won all the home ones.

ErnieDiGregorio wrote:

San Diego actually didn't win ANY division games for the first time I can remember in a long time last year. The year before they got swept by Denver and KC and swept Oakland. I'd be surprised if they lost all division games this year but I'd also be a little surprised if they won all the home ones.

get off the fence and commit to an answer lol

Cactus Jack wrote:

bwgood77 wrote:

Cactus Jack wrote:I'm already counting week 2 (at the coliseum) a loss.

I think almost all division road games should be counted on as losses, unless you have a clearly elite team against what is clearly a bad team. For example, the Seahawks and Cards at the Niners I would probably count as wins. Division games against the Browns I'd probably count as wins for the other teams. The Titans and Jags have been the type of teams you could probably count on beating on the road in the division, but they will likely both be tougher this year (but so should Houston and Indy).

San Diego actually didn't win ANY division games for the first time I can remember in a long time last year. The year before they got swept by Denver and KC and swept Oakland. I'd be surprised if they lost all division games this year but I'd also be a little surprised if they won all the home ones.

That's fair.

I've got the Hawks going 11-5. Losses at Rams, at Jets, at AZ, at NE & at GB.

bleu wrote:

Cactus Jack wrote:I've got the Hawks going 11-5. Losses at Rams, at Jets, at AZ, at NE & at GB.

I didn't realize the Hawks have such a tough schedule this year. I can think of at least one home loss to add to that list though

Really though, pretty brutal to draw road games against the Cards, Pats, and Packers in the same year.

bluejerseyjinx wrote:So far I have already put in 3 super bowl prop bets and have 3 overs bet to this point. I'm not done yet, however I already have 3 $50.00 overs. I took Jacksonville, Kansas City and Minnesota. I'm leaning towards a few unders, but haven't made up my mind as of yet. I can't see the Rams, Egals or 49ers doing much.