Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD

Moderator: bwgood77

realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#1 » by realpunter » Wed Oct 18, 2017 4:13 pm

Does anyone here play daily fantasy sports and sports bet. Have you had any success in sports betting by using your dfs models and strategy? Former dfs king is experimenting in sports betting using his dfs models and the results are astonishing but the sample size is still small. He has been posting the picks publicly in his google forum since May 26th and as today he is sitting at 49-20-1 (70%) record and these picks are not big favorites, the avg odd of each play is 2.03.

I tried daily fantasy a while back and it seems like you always have the winning feeling because the payout in each contests goes deep but only small amount, so its like playing scratch tickets. You win and give it right back. The rake is also high. I do however sports bet and i find dfs completely different from sports betting.

Does anyone do both? share your thoughts.

If you sports bet, his google group is a good source to follow for some tips. He doesn't post tips as much as like but perhaps that is the reason behind his success. I don't have the discipline to play only few games each week. I would bet 50 games in a week while this guy has bet only 70 games in almost 5 months!
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#2 » by realpunter » Wed Oct 18, 2017 4:13 pm

He has the following in the game 5 of mlb playoffs pending today if anyone here is betting:

MLB: Houston (Keuchel) at NY Yankees (Tanaka)
Over 7.5 @ 1.91 for risk of 2 units
User avatar
hermes
RealGM
Posts: 93,289
And1: 24,562
Joined: Aug 27, 2007
Location: the restaurant at the end of the universe
 

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#3 » by hermes » Wed Oct 18, 2017 10:32 pm

how's he doing in the realgm pick'em?
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#4 » by realpunter » Thu Oct 19, 2017 5:05 pm

^^ no idea if he is in it.

Today he posted the following:

MLB: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) at Chicago Cubs (Quintana)
Chicago Cubs to win @ 2.46 for risk of 2 units

I hope i didn't jinx his run. I decide to post here and his 10 game win streak ended yesterday.
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#5 » by realpunter » Fri Oct 20, 2017 4:20 pm

Lol, i must have brought bad luck. He lost 2 in a row now.
Today he has
MLB: NY Yankees (Severino) at Houston (Verlander)
NY Yankees to win @ 2.20 for risk of 2 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#6 » by realpunter » Sat Oct 21, 2017 7:57 pm

He posted this today:

NHL: St. Louis at Las Vegas
With OT: St. Louis to win @ 1.77 for risk of 4 units

NCAAF: Utah St at UNLV
UNLV -3 @ 1.91 for risk for 2 units

*ALERT: The model also favors NY Yankees today in baseball, good enough for 2 units but I am going to sit that one out. My model has been inefficient with yankees games all season, 2 wins and 9 losses in games involving the yankees.
* Overall YTD is now 49-23-1 (67.12%) +86.02 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#7 » by realpunter » Sun Oct 22, 2017 3:10 pm

NFL: Tennessee at Cleveland
Cleveland +5.5 @ 1.91 for risk of 3 units

* Overall YTD is now 49-25-1 (65.33%) +80.02 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#8 » by realpunter » Mon Oct 30, 2017 4:32 pm

NHL: NY Islanders at Las Vegas
Reg. (60 mins): NYI -0.5 @ 1.90 for risk of 4 units

NHL: Chicago at Las Vegas
With OT: NYI -1.5 @ 2.59 for risk of 2 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#9 » by realpunter » Wed Nov 1, 2017 6:15 pm

he posted this other day but i didn't have time to get on here
NHL: NY Rangers at Las Vegas
Reg. (60 mins): NYR -0.5 @ 1.91 for risk of 4 units

NHL: NY Rangers at Las Vegas
With OT: NYR -1.5 @ 2.40 for risk of 2 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#10 » by realpunter » Wed Nov 1, 2017 6:15 pm

this posted today but its early pick for saturday
NCAAF: Massachusetts at Mississippi St
Massachusetts +28 @ 1.91 for risk of 4 units
realpunter
Ballboy
Posts: 12
And1: 0
Joined: Oct 26, 2016
         

Re: Sports Betting with DFS model 40-20-1 70% YTD 

Post#11 » by realpunter » Sun Nov 5, 2017 4:10 pm

NFL: Indianapolis at Houston
Houston -6 @ 1.91 for risk of 2 units

NBA: Washington at Toronto
Washington +5.5 @ 1.91 for risk of 3 units

Return to The General NFL Board