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Pistons-Raptors (7:30)

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tmorgan
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Re: Pistons-Raptors (7:30) 

Post#21 » by tmorgan » Sat Mar 25, 2023 8:46 pm

bstein14 wrote:
zeebneeb wrote:
I'll be shocked if the Pistons land #1. Personally I'm just happy it appears the Pistons will end up with the worst record, and can't fall below 5.


I'd much rather be where Orlando is right now... 5th worst record in the league but things looking up and young talent putting together wins. 31-43 record right now. 10.5% chance at the number one pick and overall a 42% chance of landing top 4 pick compared to the worst team's 52% chance of landing a top 5 pick.

This season Orlando has taken that inbetween step forward before you are a playoff team but you're clearing stepping out of the tanking bottom feeders pool that Detroit is still stuck in.

We're going to need a lot of things to go right for us this offseason just to get to Orlando's level next year.


Just to be clear, because some other folks (not you) are still getting confused by this…

As the team with the worst record, we have a 100% chance at a top 5 pick. It’s guaranteed. The problem is, it’s more likely, far more likely, to be 5th than any other spot.
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Re: Pistons-Raptors (7:30) 

Post#22 » by bstein14 » Sat Mar 25, 2023 10:25 pm

vege wrote:
bstein14 wrote:
zeebneeb wrote:
I'll be shocked if the Pistons land #1. Personally I'm just happy it appears the Pistons will end up with the worst record, and can't fall below 5.


I'd much rather be where Orlando is right now... 5th worst record in the league but things looking up and young talent putting together wins. 31-43 record right now. 10.5% chance at the number one pick and overall a 42% chance of landing top 4 pick compared to the worst team's 52% chance of landing a top 5 pick.

This season Orlando has taken that inbetween step forward before you are a playoff team but you're clearing stepping out of the tanking bottom feeders pool that Detroit is still stuck in.

We're going to need a lot of things to go right for us this offseason just to get to Orlando's level next year.


All Orlando need is a Mike Conley or a Ricky Rubio type of guard and they'll be a .50+ team. They're in a good place.


It'll certainly be interesting to see if they spend their cap space on FVV this offseason.

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