Blkbrd671 wrote:bstein14 wrote:I agree that its incredibly unlikely that either team will be in the NBA finals the rest of this decade.
Detroit's only real hope is Dre developing into the best C in the league, with a will to win we just haven't seen from him. We'd need that to beat Lebron + multiple other all-stars in the playoffs at any point over the next 5 seasons... I think Lebron will get there every year for the next few years unless a big talent like Durant comes east.
Lebron is 29-30, in the next couple years he'll start declining. Additionally he's only signed for 1 more year in the east i believe
Lebron will be 31 in December (so for next year's playoffs). He'll be an interesting test case, he's 3.5 years away from being top 10 all time in minutes played and 6.5 years away from being tops all time in minutes. Most of the guys on the list are guys like Kidd, Garnett, Gary Payton who spent several seasons as shells of themselves tacking on more minutes. He's never had injury issues outside of a bad back, which isn't something that really gets better (especially carrying around as much weight as he is). The general consensus is he's got 4-5 more prime years, however with minutes played considered, there's a chance he hits the wall much sooner than that. His game should age well, but there's a chance that very soon the Cavs could be hopelessly capped out with little avenues for improvement and Kyrie dragging him around like he was with Wade.
This year and next year are the Cavs best chance. The East is already starting to put together some good young teams. There's rumors West FAs are eyeing the East as an easier title path. The Cavs are likely the odds on favorites for the next 2-3 years but people predicting a decade long run of dominance are vastly overshooting things.