Drummond+Pope for Rondo+ Jeff Green...does Dumars say yes?
Posted: Mon Jul 15, 2013 11:55 am
I'm a Celtics fan. The Rondo for Drummond talk has been lurking and it's got me thinking. I'd like to hear the Pistons fans side of the argument to this. I think both our fanbases would severely underrate each others players. But have a read if you want and vote in the poll. I think such a trade makes the Pistons a serious threat that has to be worth more than Drummonds 'potential'. But I'm a Celtics fan so that could be shaping my logic. I'd like some Pistons focused logic. Anyway, just remember I'm a Celtics fan and I mean no harm- I don't mind honesty either. If you won't trade Drummond for anyone, how do you think Detroit could be come a contender if he doesn't pan out? Please vote.
The Pistons want Rondo. Ainge knows this.
Ainge wants to move Rondo and Dumars knows this.
Classic trade baiting/stand off here. Danny's too tough for Joe D in the long run because eventually the offers will come in from other teams for Rondo so Dumars has a tough few months ahead.
His biggest dilemma is that Ainge is going to demand Drummond. Nothing less. He'll get more than that from some teams and that's regardless of whether or not you think Rondo is worth Drummond etc...because I think you can argue that other execs in the NBA will give up more than Drummond for Rondo..no matter how overrated you think Rondo is.
Danny would love this squad to hit rock bottom to maximize our opportunity cost in the lottery in 2014 and 2015. Keeping Rondo at the moment just doesn't make sense with only 2 years on his deal and no franchise free agents coming up until 2015 (unless you think Lebron or Carmelo would come to Boston in 2014). By the time those free agents come around, Rondo could be completely frustrated/fed up with the organization at his lack of a contending team and want out- then add in the luck needed to sign those free agents ahead of the other major markets who already have superstars/franchise guys.
It's win win for Danny but he definitely doesn't want to just give Rondo away- he needs to get maximum value and Dumars knows this.
Dumar's biggest conflict is the immediate impact that Rondo brings. Taking Detroit from 7th or 8th seed to the top 4-6 teams in the East or higher if everything transitions nicely. Top 4 this season in the East will be brutal (Miami, Chicago, Brooklyn, Indiana) but they'd be a good shot against any of them after a season of playing together.
Dumars has to weigh this up against the ceiling of Drummond and how quickly he'd possibly reach his peak/potential.
They've got Smith locked up for 4 years so that should be plenty of time to get the best out of Drummond while Smith and Monroe are there, especially with Caldwell Pope coming in now.
That's the million dollar question for Dumars... Is Rondo's impact over 4 or 5 years in his prime from age 27-32 whilst they have Smith and Monroe there- enough to make them a serious contender for that period? Keep in mind that we have the Heat and Bulls in the East for the next 2-3 years and with the 2015 free agency class who knows how good other ECF teams will be. His phone a friend question is...is Drummonds unreached potential enough to turn down a trade for a top 3 All Star point guard? Consider Rondo's game and how well he complements athletic guys like Monroe and Smith in transition and the pick and roll/around the basket. Rondo's passing is exactly what they need.
Dumars has the chance to put a contender on the floor now. They'll need 1-2 more pieces because there isn't a franchise guy but a scorer and a shooter or two would be the best pieces obviously. They'd be similar to the 2004 Pistons who had no true franchise guy but a starting 5 of very good, potential All Star talents and All Stars that put their heart and soul into defense and teamwork- because of the lack of a franchise guy it's still very risky and both Monroe and Smith would have to take their games to another level-but with Rondo that may be possible.
I believe Ainge has the upper hand in this one as he often does. If Drummond is a bust and he fails to land Rondo because he was banking on Drummonds potential then again he's the laughing stock GM that failed to give Smith/Caldwell Pope/Monroe the right point guard or 4th key piece. (he might be used to the terrible GM label by now?)
Trading for Rondo only makes them a better team and takes much of the guess work out of everything for Detroit.
Now I'll gloat and say that in the past I've suggested Dumars would go after Rondo because he loves him and his toughness. From one champion NBA guard to another he knows what Rondo brings on the court and in the locker room with his championship pedigree and Kevin Garnett inspired approach to winning.
Do you really give that up for a sophomore who's at least 2-3 seasons from scratching his potential (if it's still there at all?). That's a very difficult situation but ultimately you'd have to figure that Dumars pulls the trigger.
I'd ignore the Brandon Knight for Rondo stuff. It's complete crap and Ainge would rather shoot himself than take Knight back without any picks. I mean he'd at least ask for Knight and Caldwell Pope (2013 lottery pick shooting guard). It's posturing by Dumars to bring down Rondo's value as Ainge shops him.
I have touched on this before but I think the perfect trade for the 'tank' path of a rebuild would be to make the trade a double whammy that gives Dumars no option but to say yes.
This happens by adding Jeff Green into the mix and giving them something like: (salaries aren't perfect but you could make them match)
Rondo
Jeff Green
Brandon Bass
Nets 2014 or 16' pick
for
Drummond
Caldwell Pope
Jonas Jerebko
Charlie Villeneuva's albatross contract
Adding Jeff Green makes the Pistons a true contender in the vein of the 2004 Pistons. Adding a very good starting caliber small forward that gives them shooting and defensive improvements who's still getting better as a starter. He also runs the floor with Rondo and Smith like a horse and gives them the most athletic 1,3,4,5 combo in the NBA with Monroe, and arguably the toughest defensive starting 5 depending who they sign at the SG. Biggest thing about Green is his defense and rapidly improving game in the past season after heart surgery. he can guard any small forward in the East and score on any small forward. Check out his stats from last year- at 9 million for another 3 years he's turning into a very friendly contract.
They must add a serious three point shooter to the mix with a shooting guard. (JJ Reddick would've been perfect but someone like Quincy Pondexter would be great too), so Green and this shooting guard could create space inside and force teams to honor the three.
This trade is perfect for us because we get Drummond and Caldwell Pope (and Jerebko). We lose our two best players but if we are trading Rondo does it really matter if we are trading Jeff Green for another lottery pick and securing Drummond for the rebuild? Each Celtics fan has their own opinion about that but the reason this works is because as they say...
"when both fan bases of the trading teams think their team got robbed in a trade then it was probably very good value for both teams involved".
This is the case of such a trade. Many Celtics fans will scream highway robbery- but this certainly wouldn't be the case given Drummond's potential and Caldwell Pope's NCAA efficiency numbers. Both huge potential NBA talents.
Combine this with the timing of our roster blow up and the 2014 and 2015 drafts approaching then and it isn't hard to foresee why Ainge would want such a deal to occur.
Pistons fans will scream highway robbery as well after the 'potential' they gave away in Drummond and Pope, and how bad of a shooter Rondo is, and how he only cares about winning in the playoffs. How soft Jeff Green is and how he's never going to be a consistent player... But once they see the product on the floor and are exposed to the talent of Green and Rondo next to Monroe and Smith they'll be very happy. I know as a Celtics fan I would happily go down the road of that team instead of blowing it up.
It's just a shame the Celtics aren't in a position to put 2 guys like Josh Smith and Monroe next to Green and Rondo.
I mean Sully or Olynyk maybe the perfect fit in 2 or 3 years time but it's just too far away with Rondo and Green's deals coming to an end around that time. They could both stink and never be anywhere near Monroe's level as a starting big man. We just don't know.
The reason this trade works is because it's exactly what both teams need in their current situation.
With all speculation as have laid out here, please remember we don't know what Ainge is going to do, but there's a high likelyhood that he is shopping Rondo- and if he does want to trade Rondo, keeping Green doesn't make that much sense either.
All I know is that Ainge has the upper hand in such a trade and Dumars saying that Drummond is simply not available is simply false.
Disclaimer: This isn't really a trade idea, it's more of a reasoning behind why such a trade would occur and how it may unfold. So take it as you will and please vote because it's great to gauge the hardcore Celtics fan base when we are faced with a road filled with tough decisions ahead.
I'll add that I am a pro tanker and in favor of chasing the 2014 and 2015 NBA drafts for talent given the Celtics current cap/roster situation.
The Pistons want Rondo. Ainge knows this.
Ainge wants to move Rondo and Dumars knows this.
Classic trade baiting/stand off here. Danny's too tough for Joe D in the long run because eventually the offers will come in from other teams for Rondo so Dumars has a tough few months ahead.
His biggest dilemma is that Ainge is going to demand Drummond. Nothing less. He'll get more than that from some teams and that's regardless of whether or not you think Rondo is worth Drummond etc...because I think you can argue that other execs in the NBA will give up more than Drummond for Rondo..no matter how overrated you think Rondo is.
Danny would love this squad to hit rock bottom to maximize our opportunity cost in the lottery in 2014 and 2015. Keeping Rondo at the moment just doesn't make sense with only 2 years on his deal and no franchise free agents coming up until 2015 (unless you think Lebron or Carmelo would come to Boston in 2014). By the time those free agents come around, Rondo could be completely frustrated/fed up with the organization at his lack of a contending team and want out- then add in the luck needed to sign those free agents ahead of the other major markets who already have superstars/franchise guys.
It's win win for Danny but he definitely doesn't want to just give Rondo away- he needs to get maximum value and Dumars knows this.
Dumar's biggest conflict is the immediate impact that Rondo brings. Taking Detroit from 7th or 8th seed to the top 4-6 teams in the East or higher if everything transitions nicely. Top 4 this season in the East will be brutal (Miami, Chicago, Brooklyn, Indiana) but they'd be a good shot against any of them after a season of playing together.
Dumars has to weigh this up against the ceiling of Drummond and how quickly he'd possibly reach his peak/potential.
They've got Smith locked up for 4 years so that should be plenty of time to get the best out of Drummond while Smith and Monroe are there, especially with Caldwell Pope coming in now.
That's the million dollar question for Dumars... Is Rondo's impact over 4 or 5 years in his prime from age 27-32 whilst they have Smith and Monroe there- enough to make them a serious contender for that period? Keep in mind that we have the Heat and Bulls in the East for the next 2-3 years and with the 2015 free agency class who knows how good other ECF teams will be. His phone a friend question is...is Drummonds unreached potential enough to turn down a trade for a top 3 All Star point guard? Consider Rondo's game and how well he complements athletic guys like Monroe and Smith in transition and the pick and roll/around the basket. Rondo's passing is exactly what they need.
Dumars has the chance to put a contender on the floor now. They'll need 1-2 more pieces because there isn't a franchise guy but a scorer and a shooter or two would be the best pieces obviously. They'd be similar to the 2004 Pistons who had no true franchise guy but a starting 5 of very good, potential All Star talents and All Stars that put their heart and soul into defense and teamwork- because of the lack of a franchise guy it's still very risky and both Monroe and Smith would have to take their games to another level-but with Rondo that may be possible.
I believe Ainge has the upper hand in this one as he often does. If Drummond is a bust and he fails to land Rondo because he was banking on Drummonds potential then again he's the laughing stock GM that failed to give Smith/Caldwell Pope/Monroe the right point guard or 4th key piece. (he might be used to the terrible GM label by now?)
Trading for Rondo only makes them a better team and takes much of the guess work out of everything for Detroit.
Now I'll gloat and say that in the past I've suggested Dumars would go after Rondo because he loves him and his toughness. From one champion NBA guard to another he knows what Rondo brings on the court and in the locker room with his championship pedigree and Kevin Garnett inspired approach to winning.
Do you really give that up for a sophomore who's at least 2-3 seasons from scratching his potential (if it's still there at all?). That's a very difficult situation but ultimately you'd have to figure that Dumars pulls the trigger.
I'd ignore the Brandon Knight for Rondo stuff. It's complete crap and Ainge would rather shoot himself than take Knight back without any picks. I mean he'd at least ask for Knight and Caldwell Pope (2013 lottery pick shooting guard). It's posturing by Dumars to bring down Rondo's value as Ainge shops him.
I have touched on this before but I think the perfect trade for the 'tank' path of a rebuild would be to make the trade a double whammy that gives Dumars no option but to say yes.
This happens by adding Jeff Green into the mix and giving them something like: (salaries aren't perfect but you could make them match)
Rondo
Jeff Green
Brandon Bass
Nets 2014 or 16' pick
for
Drummond
Caldwell Pope
Jonas Jerebko
Charlie Villeneuva's albatross contract
Adding Jeff Green makes the Pistons a true contender in the vein of the 2004 Pistons. Adding a very good starting caliber small forward that gives them shooting and defensive improvements who's still getting better as a starter. He also runs the floor with Rondo and Smith like a horse and gives them the most athletic 1,3,4,5 combo in the NBA with Monroe, and arguably the toughest defensive starting 5 depending who they sign at the SG. Biggest thing about Green is his defense and rapidly improving game in the past season after heart surgery. he can guard any small forward in the East and score on any small forward. Check out his stats from last year- at 9 million for another 3 years he's turning into a very friendly contract.
They must add a serious three point shooter to the mix with a shooting guard. (JJ Reddick would've been perfect but someone like Quincy Pondexter would be great too), so Green and this shooting guard could create space inside and force teams to honor the three.
This trade is perfect for us because we get Drummond and Caldwell Pope (and Jerebko). We lose our two best players but if we are trading Rondo does it really matter if we are trading Jeff Green for another lottery pick and securing Drummond for the rebuild? Each Celtics fan has their own opinion about that but the reason this works is because as they say...
"when both fan bases of the trading teams think their team got robbed in a trade then it was probably very good value for both teams involved".
This is the case of such a trade. Many Celtics fans will scream highway robbery- but this certainly wouldn't be the case given Drummond's potential and Caldwell Pope's NCAA efficiency numbers. Both huge potential NBA talents.
Combine this with the timing of our roster blow up and the 2014 and 2015 drafts approaching then and it isn't hard to foresee why Ainge would want such a deal to occur.
Pistons fans will scream highway robbery as well after the 'potential' they gave away in Drummond and Pope, and how bad of a shooter Rondo is, and how he only cares about winning in the playoffs. How soft Jeff Green is and how he's never going to be a consistent player... But once they see the product on the floor and are exposed to the talent of Green and Rondo next to Monroe and Smith they'll be very happy. I know as a Celtics fan I would happily go down the road of that team instead of blowing it up.
It's just a shame the Celtics aren't in a position to put 2 guys like Josh Smith and Monroe next to Green and Rondo.
I mean Sully or Olynyk maybe the perfect fit in 2 or 3 years time but it's just too far away with Rondo and Green's deals coming to an end around that time. They could both stink and never be anywhere near Monroe's level as a starting big man. We just don't know.
The reason this trade works is because it's exactly what both teams need in their current situation.
With all speculation as have laid out here, please remember we don't know what Ainge is going to do, but there's a high likelyhood that he is shopping Rondo- and if he does want to trade Rondo, keeping Green doesn't make that much sense either.
All I know is that Ainge has the upper hand in such a trade and Dumars saying that Drummond is simply not available is simply false.
Disclaimer: This isn't really a trade idea, it's more of a reasoning behind why such a trade would occur and how it may unfold. So take it as you will and please vote because it's great to gauge the hardcore Celtics fan base when we are faced with a road filled with tough decisions ahead.
I'll add that I am a pro tanker and in favor of chasing the 2014 and 2015 NBA drafts for talent given the Celtics current cap/roster situation.