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Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 1:53 am
by HeroicKennedy
http://www.detroitbadboys.com/2014/1/21/5329038/joe-dumars-pistons-gm-advanced-statisticsScariest part:
This is largely a top-down approach and the Pistons have a couple of old-school guards in the top chairs. I've never heard Joe Dumars utter the word "analytics," much less apply one. Maurice Cheeks, asked about advanced statistics earlier this year, responded with something about 3-point percentage. They govern by eyeballs.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:12 am
by MotownMadness
Good read, Pretty much showing that Dumars can't build a team in today's NBA.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:14 am
by princeofpalace
There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:17 am
by MotownMadness
princeofpalace wrote:There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
I guarantee most GMs are involved in Advance stats nowadays. Maybe they don't specialize in them like Hollinger but how could it not be used when your throwing out big 54mil contracts and such.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:22 am
by princeofpalace
The Mlive article provided a much better picture than DBB's nonsense
This is largely a top-down approach and the Pistons have a couple of old-school guards in the top chairs. I've never heard Joe Dumars utter the word "analytics," much less apply one. Maurice Cheeks, asked about advanced statistics earlier this year, responded with something about 3-point percentage. They govern by eyeballs.
Lawrence Frank was attuned to analytics and who/what succeeded/failed under specific conditions or stimuli. He had a coaching staff that was attuned to it, too. Cheeks' coaches are, too. Cheeks has admitted his coaches would inundate him with such statistical analysis if he showed interest in it, which he admits he generally doesn't. Cheeks' stated approach is that he'll listen to anything interesting that's brought to him. If you bring him good information, he's more likely to listen. That's the analytics department here.
Morey (Houston) and Hinkie (Philadelphia) are the first in what generically is called the "Moneyball" approach (hiring statistically savvy front-office personnel) to ascend to a general manager's job. When Hinkie worked under Morey in Houston, they signed a pig in a poke with Jeremy Lin, an average point guard at an inflated pay rate, and now the Rockets are trying with little success to move Omer Asik's contract. I doubt anyone needed advanced statistics to know Dwight Howard and James Harden are unique. The 76ers are purging, positioning for the draft, and stopping no one defensively. We'll see how it all works but it's been a mixed bag.
Memphis also made a big splash last season by hiring John Hollinger, the former ESPN columnist who created the Player Efficiency Rating, as vice president of basketball operations early last season. While I've known a good number of writers who fancied themselves as potential head coaches or front-office types (and a few who actually probably could have been, if trained extensively for such a position), I generally wouldn't recommend hiring writers fresh off the keyboard to help run a team. But Memphis got an analytics-happy owner in Robert Pera, Hollinger was hired, and Memphis quickly made a couple of big trades, most notably involving Rudy Gay, as if you need a statistical analyst to tell you Gay requires lots of shots and lots of cash. Just watch the games and the bottom line and you'd know that trading Gay made the Grizzlies leaner offensively and fatter in cap space. There were reports that former Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins and Hollinger were at odds, too. Hollins is a gruff person by any measure and the conflicts of old school and new school were inevitable.
Having a staffer tuned in to analytics is advisable, but whether it warrants more than a subscription to Synergy Sports, Sports VU and other statistical clearinghouses, and that one "Rain Man" cat who never forgets a statistic and can slice the numeric clutter and find that game-winning nugget, is debatable. Whether it has to be the GM, or his right hand, is even moreso. The Grizzlies went to the Western finals last year but they're skeptically viewed as playing a fantasy game in the front office. Of course, if you're Memphis, your view is that your early crossing into basketball's brave new world got you to the final four. Again, the truth rests in the middle.
If a player consistently makes 3-pointers in transition but not off the pick and roll, you need to know. If a certain player grouping is particularly good or poor, either offensively or defensively, analytics might help explain it. If you're getting killed over the top on pick and roll, and are playing an opponent whose point guard doesn't like getting blitzed on pick and roll, then you're going to jump him. Again, I also don't know how much you'd need analytics to tell you that, since your advance scouts will.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:23 am
by HeroicKennedy
princeofpalace wrote:There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
But as our last example, contrast the San Antonio Spurs' approach to retooling with the Pistons'. On the one hand, the Spurs are a franchise that employs a variety of statistical tools (most of which are proprietary and which they guard carefully).
I want whatever system they have employed in Detroit.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:44 am
by ImHeisenberg
It doesn't take 2000 words to convince me why Dumars should go. And, Dumars lack of focus on analytics is the least of the reasons.
While teams have been looking at the statistics for all kinds of various data, they've yet to find a way to truly implement them beyond the "take more 3's and shoot near the hoop" approach.
People praise Houston for their analytics approach, but what championship titles has it resulted in? How much playoff series have they won under Morey's tenure? Two?
Dumars should be fired for being a terrible manager across the board. He hasn't succeeded in any area of being a GM since 2005. A complete failure in every aspect of the word. I can't think of any other profession where you can be absolutely terrible at your job for 9 years and still be employed. Not only being bad in the sense of not trying to do your job- but actively setting this franchise back a decade.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:50 am
by Clarity
Im with HK re the Spurs.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:55 am
by HeroicKennedy
Clarity wrote:Im with HK re the Spurs.
It says something when two key players to the championship run are now several years removed from their best years and they're still able to build teams that compete for NBA titles. Without lottery picks. Without huge free agent signings.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 2:56 am
by ImHeisenberg
HeroicKennedy wrote:princeofpalace wrote:There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
But as our last example, contrast the San Antonio Spurs' approach to retooling with the Pistons'. On the one hand, the Spurs are a franchise that employs a variety of statistical tools (most of which are proprietary and which they guard carefully).
I want whatever system they have employed in Detroit.
It's a system implemented and designed by an organization full of intelligent people that are always willing to adapt to change and try to be on the cutting edge of where the league is trending. You can even see it their play style over the years. A decade+ ago, the Spurs were used a twin tower to a couple titles. Now, they like post players who can stretch the D, using a lot of dribble penetration with Parker.
Detroit will never have anything close to a system like that until Dumars and everything he's tainted in that organization is washed away.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 3:08 am
by DBC10
ImHeisenberg wrote:HeroicKennedy wrote:princeofpalace wrote:There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
But as our last example, contrast the San Antonio Spurs' approach to retooling with the Pistons'. On the one hand, the Spurs are a franchise that employs a variety of statistical tools (most of which are proprietary and which they guard carefully).
I want whatever system they have employed in Detroit.
It's a system implemented and designed by an organization full of intelligent people that are always willing to adapt to change and try to be on the cutting edge of where the league is trending. You can even see it their play style over the years. A decade+ ago, the Spurs were used a twin tower to a couple titles. Now, they like post players who can stretch the D, using a lot of dribble penetration with Parker.
Detroit will never have anything close to a system like that until Dumars and everything he's tainted in that organization is washed away.
Not only that, I read a interesting note from a redditor who noticed that the Spurs change from a defensive juggernaut to an offensive powerhouse over the years. It almost seems like they interchange periodically to whatever offensive/defensive scheme is trending. It's really fascinating to see how they can be a slow defensive monster one year to a offensive jumpshooting team the next.
And I'm with HK here too. I'm not saying the FO needs to completely embrace analytics and be dictated by them, but use them in cohesively along with "eye" test as well. Look what happened to the Blazers and even the Suns. They became relevant. They use a lot of high percentage offensive/defensive schemes that would make stat geeks drool but at the same time, not completely bound by them.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 3:38 am
by kurtis48239
I dont really get this articule,its supposed to put down dumars for not using analytics,but then goes on to say gores brought in guys who use this and wanted joe to go with frank and dumars did.Then it says phil came in and suggested the cheeks hiring and dumars went with it,to me it sounds like dumars hasant really made a decision regarding anything and has went with what the owner wanted.I do relize that joe signed smith/jennings but do we really know if thats who he really wanted.But why is joe getting the blame for coaching hires that he never picked.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 3:38 am
by Clarity
HeroicKennedy wrote:
It says something when two key players to the championship run are now several years removed from their best years and they're still able to build teams that compete for NBA titles. Without lottery picks. Without huge free agent signings.
Stability is such an underrated thing in pro sports.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 3:40 am
by Clarity
kurtis48239 wrote:I dont really get this articule,its supposed to put down dumars for not using analytics,but then goes on to say gores brought in guys who use this and wanted joe to go with frank and dumars did.Then it says phil came in and suggested the cheeks hiring and dumars went with it,to me it sounds like dumars hasant really made a decision regarding anything and has went with what the owner wanted.I do relize that joe signed smith/jennings but do we really know if thats who he really wanted.But why is joe getting the blame for coaching hires that he never picked.
Well since 08 Joe has been obsessed with "talent", he has valued "talent" over chemistry consistently. The kick is chemistry got him his 04 title.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 4:34 am
by sfballa13
princeofpalace wrote:There are numerous reasons to can Joe D, analytic isn't one of them. Only 1/3rd of all NBA teams have guys in the FO that specialize in advanced stats. Yet another trash piece from DBB.
4-5 posters can get drunk and post to a blog on Tumblr and put out a better product than DBB.
Only a few good basketball websites exist, Grantland and SBNation has some decent articles from time to time. SI.com and their blog has some nice articles so does Ball Dont Lie on Yahoo.
ESPN is trash most of the time, FoxSPORTS same thing.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 4:38 am
by Kilo
Clarity wrote:HeroicKennedy wrote:
It says something when two key players to the championship run are now several years removed from their best years and they're still able to build teams that compete for NBA titles. Without lottery picks. Without huge free agent signings.
Stability is such an underrated thing in pro sports.
Very much so.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 4:41 am
by sfballa13
kurtis48239 wrote:I dont really get this articule,its supposed to put down dumars for not using analytics,but then goes on to say gores brought in guys who use this and wanted joe to go with frank and dumars did.Then it says phil came in and suggested the cheeks hiring and dumars went with it,to me it sounds like dumars hasant really made a decision regarding anything and has went with what the owner wanted.I do relize that joe signed smith/jennings but do we really know if thats who he really wanted.But why is joe getting the blame for coaching hires that he never picked.
It was Joe's stupidity that put us in this position to begin with.
Kuester, Curry, and even to a degree, Flip Saunders, were all terrible coaches for our team.
Our team and franchise then implodes, becomes the laughing stock of the league so that everyone in the media is commenting about our coaching merry go round.
So even if Dumars didnt pick Frank or Cheeks who the hell else COULD we get after Dumars botched three coaching hires in a row?
Also, if Dumars goes out and finds a young coach like Brad Stevens or any of the younger solid coaches out there you dont think Gores would have gone for it? Cheaper, easier to scapegoat, less of media blowback if it fails. For gods sakes we hired someone that had a losing record as head coach.
I dont care what anyone says, Phil Jackson had no input on our coaching hire. In fact, even if Phil Jackson is drunk I dont think he recommends Mo Cheeks to the Pistons as a stand alone recommendation. I think it was simply a matter of someone telling phil "these five or six coaches would consider coaching in Detroit" and then Phil looked at that list and said ok Cheeks is the best out of that **** list so id choose him.
What is gonna take for everyone on this boards to start hating on Dumars? What else is there to mess up? We traded away our pick this year, Knight, and Middleton in order to spend 20M on Jennings and Smith with ONE EXTRA WIN to show for it.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 4:42 am
by Notanoob
Honestly, does anyone here really want to keep Joe at this point? I mean, thanks for all he's done for us, 3 championships, but I think everyone would like to move on. He can stick around in some sort of advisory position, so long as he's only advising us on late draft picks (dude's been nailing those for a while), if he wants to. But someone else should be running the show from the top. This might help us secure a good coach too, since the new guy won't have Joe's bad reputation about firing coaches.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 4:55 am
by Q00
princeofpalace wrote:The Mlive article provided a much better picture than DBB's nonsense
This is largely a top-down approach and the Pistons have a couple of old-school guards in the top chairs. I've never heard Joe Dumars utter the word "analytics," much less apply one. Maurice Cheeks, asked about advanced statistics earlier this year, responded with something about 3-point percentage. They govern by eyeballs.
Lawrence Frank was attuned to analytics and who/what succeeded/failed under specific conditions or stimuli. He had a coaching staff that was attuned to it, too. Cheeks' coaches are, too. Cheeks has admitted his coaches would inundate him with such statistical analysis if he showed interest in it, which he admits he generally doesn't. Cheeks' stated approach is that he'll listen to anything interesting that's brought to him. If you bring him good information, he's more likely to listen. That's the analytics department here.
Morey (Houston) and Hinkie (Philadelphia) are the first in what generically is called the "Moneyball" approach (hiring statistically savvy front-office personnel) to ascend to a general manager's job. When Hinkie worked under Morey in Houston, they signed a pig in a poke with Jeremy Lin, an average point guard at an inflated pay rate, and now the Rockets are trying with little success to move Omer Asik's contract. I doubt anyone needed advanced statistics to know Dwight Howard and James Harden are unique. The 76ers are purging, positioning for the draft, and stopping no one defensively. We'll see how it all works but it's been a mixed bag.
Memphis also made a big splash last season by hiring John Hollinger, the former ESPN columnist who created the Player Efficiency Rating, as vice president of basketball operations early last season. While I've known a good number of writers who fancied themselves as potential head coaches or front-office types (and a few who actually probably could have been, if trained extensively for such a position), I generally wouldn't recommend hiring writers fresh off the keyboard to help run a team. But Memphis got an analytics-happy owner in Robert Pera, Hollinger was hired, and Memphis quickly made a couple of big trades, most notably involving Rudy Gay, as if you need a statistical analyst to tell you Gay requires lots of shots and lots of cash. Just watch the games and the bottom line and you'd know that trading Gay made the Grizzlies leaner offensively and fatter in cap space. There were reports that former Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins and Hollinger were at odds, too. Hollins is a gruff person by any measure and the conflicts of old school and new school were inevitable.
Having a staffer tuned in to analytics is advisable, but whether it warrants more than a subscription to Synergy Sports, Sports VU and other statistical clearinghouses, and that one "Rain Man" cat who never forgets a statistic and can slice the numeric clutter and find that game-winning nugget, is debatable. Whether it has to be the GM, or his right hand, is even moreso. The Grizzlies went to the Western finals last year but they're skeptically viewed as playing a fantasy game in the front office. Of course, if you're Memphis, your view is that your early crossing into basketball's brave new world got you to the final four. Again, the truth rests in the middle.
If a player consistently makes 3-pointers in transition but not off the pick and roll, you need to know. If a certain player grouping is particularly good or poor, either offensively or defensively, analytics might help explain it. If you're getting killed over the top on pick and roll, and are playing an opponent whose point guard doesn't like getting blitzed on pick and roll, then you're going to jump him. Again, I also don't know how much you'd need analytics to tell you that, since your advance scouts will.
This was spot on.
Re: Excellent Article about why Dumars should go.
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 5:19 am
by wire28
advanced stats are one of the most overrated things in sports now a days
at the end of the day i dont need an advanced stat to tell me how good a player is. its just a talking point to make someone sound smarter than they are most of the time.
joe D needs to go because the team has been mediocre at assessing talent for going on almost a decade now. as has already been said, i didnt need an article to tell me that