I never said the 12th spot has a 2.5% chance to win the lottery. I said 2.5% at a top 3 pick. The 12th spot has a 0.7% at the top pick.
http://www.tankathon.com/ to check the odds
Doncic may or may not be 1st or 2nd. Alot of people project Ayton to go 1st. Bagley is also highly prized. Hence why I said we could also get Young if we were 3rd the pick.
http://www.nbadraft.net/ Has Doncic falling all the way to 5.
Porter JR Would also be a nice fit if we get the 3 spot at SF. Hes project as a SF/PF at 6'10 with a smooth shooting stroke.
I'm using common sense that we've got no chance to win a playoff series vs the raps/cavs/celtics. You can dream of winning a playoff series with this current roster playing teams like the raps/celts/cavs, with no homecourt, and SVG's coaching. I'll dream of a more realistic goal like a 2.5% chance at a top 3 pick in a stacked draft.
Figuring 538 has us a 21% of making the playoffs which is 1 in 5 then then the odds of any 8 seed beating a 1 seed are super low. On top of that we've got SVG+a roster with no spacing its pretty easy to say the 1/40 chance of us getting a top 3 lotto chance are better then the chance we defy the odds to not only make the playoffs but pull a huge 1st round upset.