theBigLip's Annual Playoff Predictor for 2017-18

[Liqourish]

Also, just put in last nights games. Cleveland is really starting to suck. They are going to make the playoffs but what seed?

Team (Predicted W-L) (Remaining W-L)
3. Philadelphia (50-32) (24-7)
4. Cleveland (49-33) (19-11)
5. Miami (47-35) (18-10)
5. Milwaukee (47-35) (17-12)
6. Detroit (46-36) (20-10)
8. Washington (44-38) (13-15)

9. Indiana (44-38) (14-13)

We are only 4 games behind them for that 3 seed.

[vege]

Also, just put in last nights games. Cleveland is really starting to suck. They are going to make the playoffs but what seed?

Team (Predicted W-L) (Remaining W-L)
3. Philadelphia (50-32) (24-7)
4. Cleveland (49-33) (19-11)
5. Miami (47-35) (18-10)
5. Milwaukee (47-35) (17-12)
6. Detroit (46-36) (20-10)
8. Washington (44-38) (13-15)

9. Indiana (44-38) (14-13)

We are only 4 games behind them for that 3 seed.

And Cleveland plays against Minny today in a back to back after they got destroyed by Orlando in the 2nd half. I doubt they have any chance to compete with Minny today.

[theBigLip]

Lots of losses coming up (although predicted, so it doesn't change the predicted standings)

Predicted Remaining Next Next Expected
# Team W L W L % Game Opponent Result
3 Philadelphia 50 32 24 7 0.77 Fri, Feb 9 vs New Orleans Win
4 Cleveland 49 33 19 11 0.63 Wed, Feb 7 vs Minnesota Loss
5 Miami 47 35 18 10 0.64 Wed, Feb 7 vs Houston Loss
5 Milwaukee 47 35 17 12 0.59 Fri, Feb 9 @ Miami Loss
6 Detroit 46 36 20 10 0.67 Wed, Feb 7 vs Brooklyn Win
8 Washington 44 38 13 15 0.46 Thu, Feb 8 vs Boston Loss
9 Indiana 44 38 14 13 0.52 Wed, Feb 7 @ New Orleans Loss

[theBigLip]

Ugh. Losing games that we should win are having a serious effect on our predicted record. Looks like we are sitting at #9 after our skid.

Team (Predicted W-L) (Remaining W-L)
3. Cleveland (51-31) (18-9)
4. Philadelphia (50-32) (21-7)
5. Miami (47-35) (17-9)
5. Milwaukee (47-35) (16-11)
7. Indiana (45-37) (13-12)
8. Washington (44-38) (12-14)
9. Detroit (43-39) (16-10)

And check out what we have after the All Star break - pretty brutal.
Fri, Feb 23 vs Boston Loss
Sun, Feb 25 @ Charlotte Win
Mon, Feb 26 @ Toronto Loss
Wed, Feb 28 vs Milwaukee Win
Fri, Mar 2 @ Orlando Win
Sat, Mar 3 @ Miami Loss
Mon, Mar 5 @ Cleveland Loss
Wed, Mar 7 vs Toronto Loss
Fri, Mar 9 vs Chicago Win
Tue, Mar 13 @ Utah Loss
Thu, Mar 15 @ Denver Loss
Sat, Mar 17 @ Portland Loss

[DCintheD]

Ugh. Losing games that we should win are having a serious effect on our predicted record. Looks like we are sitting at #9 after our skid.

Team (Predicted W-L) (Remaining W-L)
3. Cleveland (51-31) (18-9)
4. Philadelphia (50-32) (21-7)
5. Miami (47-35) (17-9)
5. Milwaukee (47-35) (16-11)
7. Indiana (45-37) (13-12)
8. Washington (44-38) (12-14)
9. Detroit (43-39) (16-10)

And check out what we have after the All Star break - pretty brutal.
Fri, Feb 23 vs Boston Loss
Sun, Feb 25 @ Charlotte Win
Mon, Feb 26 @ Toronto Loss
Wed, Feb 28 vs Milwaukee Win
Fri, Mar 2 @ Orlando Win
Sat, Mar 3 @ Miami Loss
Mon, Mar 5 @ Cleveland Loss
Wed, Mar 7 vs Toronto Loss
Fri, Mar 9 vs Chicago Win
Tue, Mar 13 @ Utah Loss
Thu, Mar 15 @ Denver Loss
Sat, Mar 17 @ Portland Loss

16-10 is pretty optimistic. I see losses at Charlotte (Kemba will own us), and vs. Milwaukee (they own us too). Start praying this is the year the NBA rigs the lotto for us.

[Snakebites]

I’m sure Atlanta would have been a predicted win.

The trade makes this harder to predict. We also don’t know what impact (positive or negative) Reggie will have.

[mrfalse9]

Any idea how many games RJ can play after returning from injury? We only have 26 games left, so 20 is probably okay and can still help this team to catch-up.

[Canadafan]

I would hope those last 3 games Reggie comes back. And plays like a superstar ! Lol

[Kilo]

After last game's debacle - Atlanta isn't taking any chances against us tonight further spoiling their tank-

Read on Twitter

Bellineli was bought out of course as well.

[theBigLip]

So going into the second half of the season, do these assumptions still hold?:

Atlanta Bad
Boston Great
Brooklyn Bad
Charlotte Bad
Chicago Bad
Cleveland Good
Dallas Bad
Denver Good
Detroit Good
Golden State Great
Houston Great
Indiana Good
LA Clippers Good
LA Lakers Bad
Memphis Bad
Miami Good
Milwaukee Good
Minnesota Great
New Orleans Good
NY Knicks Bad
Oklahoma City Great
Orlando Bad
Philadelphia Good
Phoenix Bad
Portland Good
Sacramento Bad
San Antonio Great
Toronto Great
Utah Good
Washington Good

[theBigLip]

Keeping with those assumptions, Here is our latest prediction with the Pistons coming up #9

Team (Predicted W-L) (Remaining W-L)
3. Cleveland (51-31) (17-8)
4. Philadelphia (50-32) (19-7)
5. Miami (47-35) (17-7)
5. Milwaukee (47-35) (15-11)
7. Indiana (45-37) (12-12)
7. Washington (45-37) (11-13)
9. Detroit (43-39) (15-10)

[theBigLip]

Reggie's injuries have f--ked us the last two years and it looks like it will happen again this year If he can only just start running now, how will he be in game shape before the end of the season? Not looking good.

So this is the detailed win-loss for the Pistons:
Fri, Feb 23 vs Boston Loss 28 30
Sun, Feb 25 @ Charlotte Win 29 30
Mon, Feb 26 @ Toronto Loss 29 31
Wed, Feb 28 vs Milwaukee Win 30 31
Fri, Mar 2 @ Orlando Win 31 31
Sat, Mar 3 @ Miami Loss 31 32
Mon, Mar 5 @ Cleveland Loss 31 33
Wed, Mar 7 vs Toronto Loss 31 34
Fri, Mar 9 vs Chicago Win 32 34
Tue, Mar 13 @ Utah Loss 32 35
Thu, Mar 15 @ Denver Loss 32 36
Sat, Mar 17 @ Portland Loss 32 37
Mon, Mar 19 @ Sacramento Win 33 37
Tue, Mar 20 @ Phoenix Win 34 37
Thu, Mar 22 @ Houston Loss 34 38
Sat, Mar 24 vs Chicago Win 35 38
Mon, Mar 26 vs LA Lakers Win 36 38
Thu, Mar 29 vs Washington Win 37 38
Sat, Mar 31 @ NY Knicks Win 38 38
Sun, Apr 1 @ Brooklyn Win 39 38
Wed, Apr 4 vs Philadelphia Win 40 38
Fri, Apr 6 vs Dallas Win 41 38
Sun, Apr 8 @ Memphis Win 42 38
Mon, Apr 9 vs Toronto Loss 42 39
Wed, Apr 11 @ Chicago Win 43 39

[Canadafan]

^^Raps play Mar6th the night before our game vs them. We're at home. I feel like that's a win even with all their fans coming to the game lol. Also the start of our west coast trip when RJ comes back.... Those 3 games I can't see us losing all 3. The Utah game we will be very fresh with 4 days rest and practice time to prepare. Denver and Portland aren't out of the realm of possibility for a win.
And even tonights game, Boston has been bad lately. We will play them tough. So out of those 5 I see 2 possibly 3 wins.
Which puts us into a 3 way tie at worst with Indy and Washington
Do we own tiebreakers with them?
Also, I feel like Indy will be the one that falls in the standings. Oladipos HGH is wearing off hehehe

[ComboGuardCity]

Wiz have 14 straight games against playoff teams without Wall

[bstein14]

I thought Indy was going to be the team to drop off but they've won 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 are are way up on us.
Philly has won 7 straight games and have pulled far ahead of us.

Looks like only Miami is within reaching distance of us but their remaining schedule seems very easy as they have about 10 games left against tanking teams.

[Canadafan]

I thought Indy was going to be the team to drop off but they've won 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 are are way up on us.
Philly has won 7 straight games and have pulled far ahead of us.

Looks like only Miami is within reaching distance of us but their remaining schedule seems very easy as they have about 10 games left against tanking teams.

I thought all the same things. Its looking difficult that's for sure

[ImHeisenberg]

Ah, our annual Lip playoff tracker. Not a Pistons season without one!

I'm not quite as bullish to believe they'll reach 43 wins. Not impossible, but I think they wrap it up around 39-38 wins. Then again, with the tank-a-thon in full swing, and good teams resting starters down the stretch, this team always picks up 2-3 more wins playing against teams not trying anymore.

[Snakebites]

We've been defying expectations since the Reggie injury and losing games that should have registered as "wins" by this predictor.

I'm not saying we won't make the playoffs, but I'd be pretty darned surprised.

But hey, at least there's the draft to look forward too....oh wait.

Ugh, this team.

[bstein14]

I think you can switch Charlotte from bad to good after todays game... In about a week you might be able to put Detroit in the bad category.

[ImHeisenberg]

We've been defying expectations since the Reggie injury and losing games that should have registered as "wins" by this predictor.

I'm not saying we won't make the playoffs, but I'd be pretty darned surprised.

But hey, at least there's the draft to look forward too....oh wait.

Ugh, this team.

Hey man, you gotta make sacrifices to win now! SVG and the team won't be worried about that pick come June, when he's unemployed and the players are all partying in LA.