Devils Advocate: What would it take?

[Jester_]

We are 2 games out of 6th place and we just added an all-star so I'm not sure what all the doom and gloom is about

I think we squeeze into the playoffs at #6 and then do a bunch of damage

[vvoland]

We are 2 games out of 6th place and we just added an all-star so I'm not sure what all the doom and gloom is about

I think we squeeze into the playoffs at #6 and then do a bunch of damage

Reading the replies, it's like you asked what it would take to get to the 3 seed. We're 2.5 games out of 6th, I don't think it's an impossible target

[TB]

Wrote this in another thread but same idea (very unlikely but I think we can get to the play-in and have a shot at a series):

We need to go close to 21-10 to finish the season if we want a chance at 6th, so honestly we need a Thibs like rotation while miraculously staying healthy... and also players fitting in well and not having too many slumps:

Well damn, anything else?

To answer the original question: an odds-destroying miracle. Kerr would need to use lineups that he rarely does, the team would need to gel instantly, Dray would need to be way better, Podz would need to become an actual PG, and several role players would need to step up… no sweat

I was just answering the question!

And no, all of those things are definitely not happening in perfect harmony, especially the rotation part by Kerr. My prediction is:

most likely scenario (I dunno, lets give it a 46% chance): very similar last 30 games to first 50 games (including various missed games from trio), but we will finish games a bit better and sneak into play-in. So essentially get us just over 500 and into like the 9th or 10th spot.

Next most likely scenario (lets go with 44% chance): fit is a struggle, Kerr tinkers non-stop, plus those same missed games we should expect. we finish last 30 games at or below 500, out of playoffs, and we are in that strange scenario of if we hope to get the 9th or 10th pick or just give up a 11-14 pick in order to get that out of the way.

Next most likely scenario (10% chance): we do a decent amount of the answer to this threads question and really make a run. Maybe not 21-10 finish, but good enough to comfortably be in the play-in and some hope that maybe this team can be competitive this year and next.

[TB]

We are 2 games out of 6th place and we just added an all-star so I'm not sure what all the doom and gloom is about

I think we squeeze into the playoffs at #6 and then do a bunch of damage

Reading the replies, it's like you asked what it would take to get to the 3 seed. We're 2.5 games out of 6th, I don't think it's an impossible target

3.5 games from 6th seed with 5 teams to jump and only 31 games left. It's not impossible but its incredibly unlikely. To get to the winning percentage of what is currently above the Wolves (6th seed), we would need to get to 46 wins. That requires finished 21-10. 21-10 is a 67 win percentage, which is pace between the Grizzlies and Nuggets in the 2/3 seed.

So, do you think over the next 31 games we are the 3rd best team in the west? Because thats about what it will take to get the 6th seed.

[floppymoose]

Every game against the 4 through 12 seeds in the West is like a playin game now. The only way to pass enough of them is to win the head to heads.

[floppymoose]

Every team we are trying to catch also won tonight except the Suns.