ILOVEIT wrote:I think I have this right...
In the history of Warriors drafts, the Warriors have only had one successful pick in the draft when drafting a highschool or one and done player ever, Monta Ellis.
Latrell Spreewell, Gilbert Arenas,Curry, Klay, Draymond, Harrison Barnes, Paschall...the only real modern day draft successes have all been multi-year players..the recent core of Klay, Draymond and Curry having three!
A bird in hand (known very good talent) is better than a two in the bush (totally unproven youngster who won't be physically ready for two more years)
If Warriors keep the draft pick...I hope they go for a guy with upside that is ready to plug in ...now.
I think they go for either:
1. Obi Topin
2. Deni Avdija
I mostly agree with this instinct that the Warriors would prefer someone with more experience and who can contribute immediately. And it makes sense with the short window they have and chip-or-bust mentality. Although, if you take that to the logical conclusion, that might mean they're more inclined to trade for a proven commodity as there are no sure things in this draft (or really any draft for that matter).
That's why I have 3 guys at the top of my list who can contribute defensively right away (Wiseman, Okoro, Okongwu), although even there it will take a regular season to get used to the help defense system, screening routes, etc. And especially Wiseman and Okongwu rebound really well, which is a place we get burnt pretty often. Edwards has crazy potential but I don't know if he helps us that much this year. Toppin I have in my top 5 because he's one of the few guys I think could contribute offensively fairly quickly, and he's got the flexibility of inside and outside skills, so if his outside shot isn't going down, he can still do things. Or if he's getting bullied inside, he can still do things, and Toppin also rebounds well.
In other words, guys who are good at man defense and rebounding can succeed and contribute pretty quickly without a lot of training, while learning the other stuff. Rookies who are primarily shooters/scorers I worry about on this team in the short term.


















