5th Seed Watch (was 6th Seed Watch)

[vvoland]

Before the trade, it looked like we needed to finish around 20-10 in our last 30 games to be at the Win% of a 6 seed. Which seemed very unlikely...but that 5-1 start to the Jimmy era has really made it a possibility.

Now I disagree with the last few posts thinking that 8-2 over the next 10 is the minimum to be happy with, because these are still NBA teams after all and some of them are good teams… not to mention we have seen first hand how often we are capable of losing to a bad team.

So i’d say 7-3 would be fantastic and 6-4 is manageable. I’m just trying to be realistic and to me it seems that a 5-5 stretch is just as possible as an 8-2 stretch.

But if we can go 6-4 or 7-3 in this easier stretch, that leaves 15 games (with a tougher schedule) to go somewhere in the 9-6 or 8-7 range to have a serious shot at the 6 seed.

Just know i’ll be rooting for everyone else in this thread to be correct and we go 8-2, finish strong in the last 15 games and take over the 5th seed from the struggling Rockets

I don't think 5th is better and is, likely, much worse. If the laker finish 4th, playing them and then OKC would be tough for the 5th seed. Instead, the 6th seed is likely to play Mem or Hou then the winner of the 2/7.

[TB]

Before the trade, it looked like we needed to finish around 20-10 in our last 30 games to be at the Win% of a 6 seed. Which seemed very unlikely...but that 5-1 start to the Jimmy era has really made it a possibility.

Now I disagree with the last few posts thinking that 8-2 over the next 10 is the minimum to be happy with, because these are still NBA teams after all and some of them are good teams… not to mention we have seen first hand how often we are capable of losing to a bad team.

So i’d say 7-3 would be fantastic and 6-4 is manageable. I’m just trying to be realistic and to me it seems that a 5-5 stretch is just as possible as an 8-2 stretch.

But if we can go 6-4 or 7-3 in this easier stretch, that leaves 15 games (with a tougher schedule) to go somewhere in the 9-6 or 8-7 range to have a serious shot at the 6 seed.

Just know i’ll be rooting for everyone else in this thread to be correct and we go 8-2, finish strong in the last 15 games and take over the 5th seed from the struggling Rockets

I don't think 5th is better and is, likely, much worse. If the laker finish 4th, playing them and then OKC would be tough for the 5th seed. Instead, the 6th seed is likely to play Mem or Hou then the winner of the 2/7.

Agreed. I was mostly joking at the confidence everyone has in going like 9-1 over the next 10 games. If we do that we will be flirting with the rockets more than the play-in. I personally still see a tough battle to avoid the 9/10 spots, which to me is the baseline goal.

[hamncheese]

Dray's birthday and the 5 road games in 8 days are negatives. Also only 1 off day for the cross-country travel both ways might contribute to a loss. But individually, these are all winnable games.

[floppymoose]

Warriors pass Mavs and move into 8th. Tied with 6th in the win column. Tied with 7th in the loss column.

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 6 LA Clippers      31  26
 7 Minnesota        32  27
 8 Golden State     31  27
 9 Dallas           31  28
10 Sacramento       29  28
11 Phoenix          27  31

Clippers actually down by 1 to Chicago at the half.

Detroit is crushing Boston, so that game may be a big test for GSW.

[EvanZ]

Tied for 7th in wins.

[floppymoose]

Wolves might lose today. Suns and Mavs have it easy.

[watch1958]

We need to be two games ahead of the Clippers going into the last game. If not it is essentially a three game playin.

[marthafokker]

I am a Lakers fan for the next 3 games. Go Lakers!

[marthafokker]

Hahaha.... refs gave the dubbs the 7th seed. Edwards ejected!

[multo]

Clippers against the Lakers their next 2 games. I don't think I have rooted on the Lakers for consecutive games before lol

[vvoland]

Clippers against the Lakers their next 2 games. I don't think I have rooted on the Lakers for consecutive games before lol

Even one game is one too much but here is some motivation'

In the following scenario, our road to the WCF doesn't looks so bad.
1. Okc
2. Mem
3. Hou
4. Den
5. Lal
6. Dubs
7/8. 2 of Dal/minny/lac/sac

This would mean we play hou in round 1, the winner of mem/dal/minny in round 2, and the eventual winner of the okc/lal/den after two difficult rounds.

Not sold on Den or La being deep/healthy enough to win 3 playoff rounds and we matchup pretty well with everyone else in the conference. If we can get the setup like I outline above and avoid LA and den in the first two rounds, we can start to dream

[statsman]

I really want them in the playoffs without having to go the play-in route. Maybe it would be different with Butler on the team, but the Warriors have not done well in single-elimination games.

[vvoland]

I really want them in the playoffs without having to go the play-in route. Maybe it would be different with Butler on the team, but the Warriors have not done well in single-elimination games.

With the way our schedule looks in March and, more importantly, how hard the schedule is for everyone that is the middle of the Western conference, our biggest enemy will be health/age. I'm sure we won't continue winning 90% of our games but after our most recent winning streak, we no longer have to. We had to go 20W/8L in the final 28 to have a decent shot at the 6 (47 wins). That sounds pretty effing hard. Now, courtesy of our 5 game win streak. we only have to go 15-8 in our remaining 23 games to get to 47 wins. If we finish the roadtrip 4-1, we'll need to go 11-7 to get there. It now looks quite realistic.

P.S. we went 8-3 in Feb and lost the 3 by an avg of 5 points. Two of those losses being LAL and Utah with half the roster on a plane to Miami and no Jimmy. The third being the Dallas pant sh!##!ng. Let's all pray for health

[floppymoose]

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 6 LA Clippers      32  26
 7 Golden State     32  27
 8 Minnesota        32  28
 9 Dallas           32  28
10 Sacramento       30  28
11 Phoenix          27  32

Warriors next 10 games:

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Sat, Mar 1  @   Philadelphia    20-37   5:30 PM PST
Mon, Mar 3  @   Charlotte       14-42   4:00 PM PST
Tue, Mar 4  @   New York        37-20   4:30 PM PST
Thu, Mar 6  @   Brooklyn        21-36   4:30 PM PST
Sat, Mar 8  vs  Detroit         32-26   5:30 PM PST
Mon, Mar 10 vs  Portland        25-33   7:00 PM PDT
Thu, Mar 13 vs  Sacramento      29-28   7:00 PM PDT
Sat, Mar 15 vs  New York        37-20   5:30 PM PDT
Mon, Mar 17 vs  Denver          38-21   7:00 PM PDT
Tue, Mar 18 vs  Milwaukee       33-25   7:00 PM PDT


Suns and Wolves should win tonight. Clippers might lose.
Mavs, Warriors, Kings have the night off.

[Onus]

Clippers lose tonight and we’re tied for 6th

[marthafokker]

Hot start by the Clips... and can't hit anything in 2nd q.

[multo]

Looks like a Lebron night again. If Clips lose we must win tomorrow against the Sixers to break the tie.

[WarriorGM]

Is going 14-0 really too much to ask?

[watch1958]

Go Jazz!

[vvoland]

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 6 LA Clippers      32  26
 7 Golden State     32  27
 8 Minnesota        32  28
 9 Dallas           32  28
10 Sacramento       30  28
11 Phoenix          27  32

Warriors next 10 games:

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Sat, Mar 1  @   Philadelphia    20-37   5:30 PM PST
Mon, Mar 3  @   Charlotte       14-42   4:00 PM PST
Tue, Mar 4  @   New York        37-20   4:30 PM PST
Thu, Mar 6  @   Brooklyn        21-36   4:30 PM PST
Sat, Mar 8  vs  Detroit         32-26   5:30 PM PST
Mon, Mar 10 vs  Portland        25-33   7:00 PM PDT
Thu, Mar 13 vs  Sacramento      29-28   7:00 PM PDT
Sat, Mar 15 vs  New York        37-20   5:30 PM PDT
Mon, Mar 17 vs  Denver          38-21   7:00 PM PDT
Tue, Mar 18 vs  Milwaukee       33-25   7:00 PM PDT


Suns and Wolves should win tonight. Clippers might lose.
Mavs, Warriors, Kings have the night off.

All three lose; we're in a tie for 6th. That was quicker than I thought