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Looney

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Onus
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Re: Looney 

Post#41 » by Onus » Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:53 pm

The-Power wrote:I don't see it that way. Being able to play a certain position has more to do with who you're able to defend and Bell can without a doubt guard 4's. What you mentioned regarding the ability to spread the floor is definitely correct but this only means you can't play him next to any Center – it doesn't mean he can't play the 4 next to some. Given that most of our Centers don't spread the floor very much I actually agree that he'll probably play most of his minutes at the 5. But imagine him next to Gasol, Cousins, Davis or Horford – he'd be a great fit next to them and could/would defend the opposing 4/the smaller and/or more perimeter oriented frontcourt match-up, i.e. play the 4. Of course you could argue that he'd play the 5 offensively but on offense positional confines are indeed becoming blurred and traditional position labels became more or less obsolete. With us, I could see him being effective at the 4 with West and three shooters.


I somewhat agree with you that
Being able to play a certain position has more to do with who you're able to defend and Bell can without a doubt guard 4's.
But then if you want to be technical, TT was able to guard IT but no one is calling TT a pg. I think that has more to do with Tweeners, like if Bell can't guard a lot of 5s that are bigger than him, he'll have to play the 4, he just won't be very good. If he can guard 5s that are bigger than him then he'll be able to make his way in the league. So yea depending on who he can guard consistently, will determine his worth in the league.

Sure there may be a few centers that would allow you to play Bell as a 4, but I'd be able to argue that Bell wouldn't necessarily be the best fit for those centers since they aren't good enough offensively to be able to negate a negative on offense and still anchor an elite offense. Such as Tony Allen is a great defender, it doesn't matter if you're able to play him as a 5 on offense to try to hide him, he'll still limit your ceiling offensively. Also Davis has continually refused to play center even though that would be his best position, so you can't count him as a center, unless you want him to leave.

I'd say offense positional confines are not blurred especially with traditional centers. The roles may not be strictly 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, but you do have facilitator, ball handler, spacer, finisher type roles. Like Livingston plays a "big" role for us even though positionally he's a pg/wing, but his skill set still limits him to certain type of roles. Likewise Bell's skill set will limit him to limited roles offensively which limits the type of players he would be able to play with effectively.

Technically if you played Bell with West and 3 shooters, offensively Bell would be playing the "5" position offensively for us while defending the 4. And tbh I'm not sure that would be the greatest pairing since Bell would most likely clog cutting lanes, which West is so adept at hitting. I mean it could work, but I can just as easily game plan/scheme around that.

Let's just remember that Oregon did play with 4 "shooters" and Bell and that they succeeded in the tournament with Dylan Brooks playing pf instead of Boucher. They rarely if ever played Bell and Bigby together, from the few games that I watched.
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Re: Looney 

Post#42 » by Axxo » Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:33 pm

I think Terrence Jones would have contributed more in the same number of mins played.
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Re: Looney 

Post#43 » by The-Power » Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:50 pm

Onus wrote: But then if you want to be technical, TT was able to guard IT but no one is calling TT a pg.

TT isn't able to guard Thomas regularly. Anyhow, I agree that there are still offensive roles and that Point Guards in particular are the ones who initiate offense primarily. But still, what is LeBron's position? What is Harden's, what is Beverley's? Livingston's and Igoudala's? The main point is: traditional position labels are becoming more and more obsolete and Bell can be, if we want to continue using labels in this discussion, be a 4 on defense while filling a role on offense that is more expected from 5's in today's game. But even then, what is a 5 on offense these days?

Onus wrote:I think that has more to do with Tweeners, like if Bell can't guard a lot of 5s that are bigger than him, he'll have to play the 4, he just won't be very good. If he can guard 5s that are bigger than him then he'll be able to make his way in the league. So yea depending on who he can guard consistently, will determine his worth in the league.

Tweener has a negative connotation and I'm not sure it fits Bell – just like it didn't fit Green. His ability to guard bigger players will in a significant way impact his ceiling, I agree. But I'll say this: if Bell is able to guard 4's at an elite level while also being able to switch onto 1-3's and 5's then he'll be a valuable player regardless of whether he can guard most C's every possession.

Onus wrote:Sure there may be a few centers that would allow you to play Bell as a 4, but I'd be able to argue that Bell wouldn't necessarily be the best fit for those centers since they aren't good enough offensively to be able to negate a negative on offense and still anchor an elite offense. Such as Tony Allen is a great defender, it doesn't matter if you're able to play him as a 5 on offense to try to hide him, he'll still limit your ceiling offensively. Also Davis has continually refused to play center even though that would be his best position, so you can't count him as a center, unless you want him to leave.

Incidentally, the team that drafted Bell for us could have really used him next to Markkanen who would then play the 5 most of the time. Or imagine him next to Jokic. More and more Centers are able to shoot the ball (and facilitate from the high post) and Bell is a natural fit with them on both ends. Davis actually already plays a lot of minutes at the 5 for the Pelicans, just not as a starter.

Allen is an entirely different case. He's not worth his defense when he can be completely disregarded on offense by the opposing team. Meanwhile Bell has a) the chance to impact team defense at a higher level than Allen and b) more tools to punish teams for cheating off him on the other end. Look no further than McGee. He can't shoot at all, yet he in fact raised our offensive ceiling considerable. Bell isn't McGee athletically, but being able to catch lobs and grab offensive boards is worth something on offense and, on the right team, might actually raise your ceiling.

Other example. In the final game of the Finals we changed our offense a bit as a reaction to Cleveland not guarding Green, Igoudala and Livingston at the perimeter. So what we did was changing their position on the court, putting them in spots where they are close to the rim rather than out at the perimeter. If you have three good 3pt shooters out there is can definitely be effective. So what we're probably do when teams cheat off Bell is to let him be in spots where he can catch the ball close to the rim and, if he doesn't receive the pass, crash the offensive glass. He should also be effective in the PnR when his man rotates over to the ball handler because Bell with a straight lane to the rim should be quite effective as he's quick, can finish strong, put the ball on the floor if necessary and facilitate on the move. We have to wait and see but it's premature to consider him someone who limits our ceiling as a 4 – there are ways to make him effective on offense even without a shot and without playing with four shooters around him.

Onus wrote: Likewise Bell's skill set will limit him to limited roles offensively which limits the type of players he would be able to play with effectively.

In your characterization, Bell would serve as a finisher and that's something we really need. Who else on our team is as effective as an athletic finisher as Bell? Durant of course, and then there's McGee (a bit more limited than Bell but more effective in what he can do). Igoudala can do it at times and Jones might be able to get there similar to McGee but I don't expect him to play much next year. But on our team, Bell absolutely does not need to be anything more than someone who can finish above the rim, run the floor and play within our offense (player and ball movement).

Sure, pair him with Kidd-Gilchrist and Greg Monroe and you're going to struggle with that frontcourt on offese. But on our team I don't see why Bell would limit our offensive ceiling just because he can't shoot and/or fill out only one role when playing that role is exactly what we need of him. As I wrote above, McGee helped us tremendously on offense – much more than he did on defense – and he's even more limited and one-dimensional on offense than Bell.

Onus wrote:Technically if you played Bell with West and 3 shooters, offensively Bell would be playing the "5" position offensively for us while defending the 4. And tbh I'm not sure that would be the greatest pairing since Bell would most likely clog cutting lanes, which West is so adept at hitting. I mean it could work, but I can just as easily game plan/scheme around that.

As stated above, playing the 4 or 5 on offense actually isn't easy to determine anymore. If you insist on using traditional positions, we should distinguish between offense and defense. So I'll say: Bell can be a 4 on defense and a 5 on offense. And given that many 5's are capable of doing things mostly 4's could do a couple years ago that's not necessarily an issue.

Also, let's see how Bell is used off the ball. You said he would be clogging the lanes but he might just as well be able to fill the lanes as a cutter. Let him screen off the ball and cut to the rim, why wouldn't West be able to play his game with him then? Bell moves around really well, so I'm not too worried about him clogging any lanes – I'm rather optimistic that he can use them himself.
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Re: Looney 

Post#44 » by FrigginFalcon » Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:43 pm

Lots of good points in T-P's post, especially this one:

"Tweener has a negative connotation and I'm not sure it fits Bell – just like it didn't fit Green. His ability to guard bigger players will in a significant way impact his ceiling, I agree. But I'll say this: if Bell is able to guard 4's at an elite level while also being able to switch onto 1-3's and 5's then he'll be a valuable player regardless of whether he can guard most C's every possession."

I think that there is a big difference between being ASSIGNED to a Center and SWITCHING onto one. In the former case, the offense can recognize the assignment and START their offense off exploiting that match-up in the low post. In the latter case, the offense needs to spend time to CREATE the match-up, most likely off a P&R far from the basket. Off such a switch, a faster, better ball-handler can immediately exploit the switch with the ball in his hands, either by getting free for a shot or by driving to the hoop. A taller, stronger player probably needs to roll to the hoop WITHOUT the ball, then receive a pass, using up even more time, then work a low-post move, which itself is often time consuming. And while all this is happening, the defense can often manage a double team of some sort, so then you need the big man to pass effectively to a perimeter shooter or a cutter.

Therefore, I think that a guy like Bell may not be someone you'd want to assign as a defender to every Center we face, but he will be a guy who can switch onto Centers and not be quickly overwhelmed. In fact, GSW are now at a point where essentially every player on the roster except Steph can match up defensively at least briefly with 4's & 5's.
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Re: Looney 

Post#45 » by Onus » Mon Jul 31, 2017 7:23 pm

The-Power wrote:TT isn't able to guard Thomas regularly. Anyhow, I agree that there are still offensive roles and that Point Guards in particular are the ones who initiate offense primarily. But still, what is LeBron's position? What is Harden's, what is Beverley's? Livingston's and Igoudala's? The main point is: traditional position labels are becoming more and more obsolete and Bell can be, if we want to continue using labels in this discussion, be a 4 on defense while filling a role on offense that is more expected from 5's in today's game. But even then, what is a 5 on offense these days?

I agree positional labels are becoming obsolete, but it's really just short hand for a description of a player. Like if I say someone plays like a 1, you immediately get a sense of what the person's game would be like. I would say Lebron functions as a 1 on Cleveland. He's the primary distributor and Kyrie plays more like a 2, or a scoring guard. Harden again plays like the 1 while Beverly is more like a spacing defending 2. Livingston, while being the primary back up 1, in actuality probably is more a wing (2/3) now a days and backs up Klay. He rarely played without Curry by the end of the season. Iguodala is a playmaking 3/defender.


Tweener has a negative connotation and I'm not sure it fits Bell – just like it didn't fit Green. His ability to guard bigger players will in a significant way impact his ceiling, I agree. But I'll say this: if Bell is able to guard 4's at an elite level while also being able to switch onto 1-3's and 5's then he'll be a valuable player regardless of whether he can guard most C's every possession.


Tweener does have a negative connotation from a few years back, but now people are looking for versatility, and tweener isn't as bad anymore especially if you can guard multiple positions. But the main use for Tweener in this case is if Bell were 3 inches taller, would we really be having this discussion of whether or not Bell is a 4 or 5?

Yes Bell can be a valuable player, though he will gain his most value if he's capable of holding down the 5. If he can't hold down the 5 he becomes a niche specialist, even more so if Curry weren't on his team. How many defending 4s that can't shoot or have any offensive game are even in the league? There's a few defensive 3s that have moved down to the 4 recently in LRMM and James Johnson.

Incidentally, the team that drafted Bell for us could have really used him next to Markkanen who would then play the 5 most of the time. Or imagine him next to Jokic. More and more Centers are able to shoot the ball (and facilitate from the high post) and Bell is a natural fit with them on both ends. Davis actually already plays a lot of minutes at the 5 for the Pelicans, just not as a starter.


If you play Bell and Markkanen together, you still have the same problem, neither can guard beefy 5s out of the gate. Will Bell be able to, that's going to determine his long term outlook. Next to Jokic, could be nice, but again, if you have a facilitator out in the high post, why would you want someone in the low post clogging the lane with more bodies than having a stretch option and having a wide open lane? Theoretically teams would just put their 5 on Bell and just clog up the lane.

Allen is an entirely different case. He's not worth his defense when he can be completely disregarded on offense by the opposing team. Meanwhile Bell has a) the chance to impact team defense at a higher level than Allen and b) more tools to punish teams for cheating off him on the other end. Look no further than McGee. He can't shoot at all, yet he in fact raised our offensive ceiling considerable. Bell isn't McGee athletically, but being able to catch lobs and grab offensive boards is worth something on offense and, on the right team, might actually raise your ceiling.

McGee raised our ceiling because he's a 5 and a fantastic finisher when the floor is optimally spaced. Add another big body next to McGee that clogs the lanes and that ceiling drops since it seems like you've conceded that Bell isn't going to be the only big on the floor anyway. Now if he's playing with someone like Dirk or Curry, Bell will most likely be very useful regardless of who else is on the floor.

Other example. In the final game of the Finals we changed our offense a bit as a reaction to Cleveland not guarding Green, Igoudala and Livingston at the perimeter. So what we did was changing their position on the court, putting them in spots where they are close to the rim rather than out at the perimeter. If you have three good 3pt shooters out there is can definitely be effective. So what we're probably do when teams cheat off Bell is to let him be in spots where he can catch the ball close to the rim and, if he doesn't receive the pass, crash the offensive glass. He should also be effective in the PnR when his man rotates over to the ball handler because Bell with a straight lane to the rim should be quite effective as he's quick, can finish strong, put the ball on the floor if necessary and facilitate on the move. We have to wait and see but it's premature to consider him someone who limits our ceiling as a 4 – there are ways to make him effective on offense even without a shot and without playing with four shooters around him.

To be fair having Iguodala and Livingston in the finisher spots worked wonders because you had Deron Williams trying to protect the basket rather than a normal rim protector like TT. If the Cavs had decided to play big rather than match up small those dunks wouldn't have been there.

It maybe premature to consider a 4 with limited offensive abilities as one who limits your offensive ceiling, but that's what the evolution of the game has been pointing towards. If you want to take the stance against that evolution, as you've chosen to do, well it could happen, although signs point to it being unlikely.

In your characterization, Bell would serve as a finisher and that's something we really need. Who else on our team is as effective as an athletic finisher as Bell? Durant of course, and then there's McGee (a bit more limited than Bell but more effective in what he can do). Igoudala can do it at times and Jones might be able to get there similar to McGee but I don't expect him to play much next year. But on our team, Bell absolutely does not need to be anything more than someone who can finish above the rim, run the floor and play within our offense (player and ball movement).


I agree with this. I'm just saying it would be best for the team if Bell is able to do so as the 5.

Sure, pair him with Kidd-Gilchrist and Greg Monroe and you're going to struggle with that frontcourt on offese. But on our team I don't see why Bell would limit our offensive ceiling just because he can't shoot and/or fill out only one role when playing that role is exactly what we need of him. As I wrote above, McGee helped us tremendously on offense – much more than he did on defense – and he's even more limited and one-dimensional on offense than Bell.
Mcgee helped us tremendously when he was the 5. Play Mcgee as a 4 and another big next to him and do you still believe that he raises the ceiling of our team offensively? Because that's what it seems like you're alluding to and that just seems absurd.

As stated above, playing the 4 or 5 on offense actually isn't easy to determine anymore. If you insist on using traditional positions, we should distinguish between offense and defense. So I'll say: Bell can be a 4 on defense and a 5 on offense. And given that many 5's are capable of doing things mostly 4's could do a couple years ago that's not necessarily an issue.

Also, let's see how Bell is used off the ball. You said he would be clogging the lanes but he might just as well be able to fill the lanes as a cutter. Let him screen off the ball and cut to the rim, why wouldn't West be able to play his game with him then? Bell moves around really well, so I'm not too worried about him clogging any lanes – I'm rather optimistic that he can use them himself.


If it helps we can use role terms rather than positional terms. But having two strictly just finishers out on the floor is not conducive to elite offensive basketball.

The thing is if you play with a 5 that is capable of doing what most 4s could do then you're negating the advantage that they're creating by playing a traditional big with them. Yes it could work, but it wouldn't be optimal and you're lowering the offensive 5's impact by negating his advantages that he would be creating.

Theoretically speaking on pure offense, which team do you think will be able to score better?
McCaw, Young, Iguodala, Casspi, West or McCaw, Young Iguodala, Bell, West?
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Re: Looney 

Post#46 » by The-Power » Mon Jul 31, 2017 9:51 pm

First off, I'm really enjoying the discussion with you, Onus. It's a great back-and-forth with a lot of interesting content imo.

Onus wrote:Tweener does have a negative connotation from a few years back, but now people are looking for versatility, and tweener isn't as bad anymore especially if you can guard multiple positions. But the main use for Tweener in this case is if Bell were 3 inches taller, would we really be having this discussion of whether or not Bell is a 4 or 5?

If Bell were 3 inches taller, we wouldn't be having the discussion because he would have been a lottery pick. Yes, ideally Bell plays the 5 with us or other teams. But this doesn't mean that he can't be very valuable as a 4, too (and possibly more than just a niche specialist).

Onus wrote:Next to Jokic, could be nice, but again, if you have a facilitator out in the high post, why would you want someone in the low post clogging the lane with more bodies than having a stretch option and having a wide open lane? Theoretically teams would just put their 5 on Bell and just clog up the lane.

Jokic loves players who cut and the entire Denver system is based around shooting and cutting. Yes, ideally a player can do both. But again, this doesn't mean a player who can only cut but finish extremely well would be an obstacle to a more efficient offense.

Jokic and Faried posted a 124 on-court ORTG with the Nuggets last year, with Faried posting a stunning 66% TS on 192 TSA. Without Jokic? 55% TS on 309 TSA – that's a difference of 11%! By the way, the Nuggets on-court ORTG with Jokic on, Faried off was ‘only‘ at 117.5 (6.5 points worse). So obviously Faried and Jokic worked well together both at the individual and the team level. And Faried is the type of player I envision Bell to be style-wise. At least at first. Or is there another player clearly more similar to Bell than Faried on offense in terms of physical traits, skill set and playing style?

I feel like you're too pessimistic in your view on clogged lanes. Bell doesn't necessarily clog the lane just because he can't shoot. There's a lot he can do off the ball to free up shooters and cut to the rim in the right moments to finish there, he doesn't have to stand around watching other players move around. If you completely cheat off him, a smart coach will make the opponent pay for that when he has a player who can finish strong above the rim and get offensive rebounds – these players in a solid offensive system, as long as they are not completely stupid, demand at least some kind of attention even when they are in spots from which they can't score immediately. Rodman and Tristan Thompson are two prime examples of that and while Bell isn't going to be such an outlier on the offensive glass, it applies to him as well to some extent. He's not going to be Tony Allen'd.

Onus wrote:McGee raised our ceiling because he's a 5 and a fantastic finisher when the floor is optimally spaced. Add another big body next to McGee that clogs the lanes and that ceiling drops since it seems like you've conceded that Bell isn't going to be the only big on the floor anyway.

It depends on how you define a ‘big‘ in this case. I could easily see Bell playing next to Draymond for example. Same for West, as I already mentioned. And even with Durant should be an option unless we can't play the opponent's true big man off the floor perhaps (but I'm not sure many true big men could stay on the floor). I see him as a small ball 5 (or 4/5 with Green) and a regular 4 only next to a rangy big (of whom we only have West).

Onus wrote:To be fair having Iguodala and Livingston in the finisher spots worked wonders because you had Deron Williams trying to protect the basket rather than a normal rim protector like TT. If the Cavs had decided to play big rather than match up small those dunks wouldn't have been there.

If we run a Curry/Green PnR then these dunks would mostly be there because TT wouldn't be in the picture for most dunks.

Onus wrote:It maybe premature to consider a 4 with limited offensive abilities as one who limits your offensive ceiling, but that's what the evolution of the game has been pointing towards. If you want to take the stance against that evolution, as you've chosen to do, well it could happen, although signs point to it being unlikely.

I mean, we're not exactly a typical team. Livingston's unique role, Green's and Igoudala's playmaking primacy, McGee's alley-oops – all that wouldn't be as effective and emphasized on any other team. If one team can make someone like Bell be highly effective in his limited role on offense, it's us. And since you already mentioned the evolution of the game: Bell's defense is taylor-made for today's game. So if he can be a defensive 4 with the ability to switch onto anyone for a possession and provide elite help defense, you'll find a role on offense that makes his positive impact outweigh any possible problem on offense (that isn't even necessarily there imo, but even if we assume it is).

Onus wrote:I agree with this. I'm just saying it would be best for the team if Bell is able to do so as the 5.

We're mostly in agreement, it seems. Yes, ideally he's capable of playing the 5 with us. I can see him being effective as a 4 in certain line-ups as well – that optimism is what seems to separate us – but of course I'd like him to be able to defend 5's regularly because it'd be even better for us.

Onus wrote:Mcgee helped us tremendously when he was the 5. Play Mcgee as a 4 and another big next to him and do you still believe that he raises the ceiling of our team offensively? Because that's what it seems like you're alluding to and that just seems absurd.

Depending on what player plays next to him: possibly. The bigger problem would be on defense as McGee can't defend out at the perimeter. Either way, as I wrote above, Bell is more versatile on McGee and hence better suited to actually play next to another big. He's more flexible in his movements, he can put the ball on the floor a bit, he's a superior passer with superior vision and can do more on the move. It's not like Bell would be another McGee on offense.

Onus wrote:If it helps we can use role terms rather than positional terms. But having two strictly just finishers out on the floor is not conducive to elite offensive basketball.

Bell and McGee isn't a great combo, that's true. But that's the only possible combination of two players who are strictly finishers on offense with our team. Well, add Jones to that but he's not that important at the moment.

Onus wrote:Theoretically speaking on pure offense, which team do you think will be able to score better?
McCaw, Young, Iguodala, Casspi, West or McCaw, Young Iguodala, Bell, West?

I'm actually not sure. I like the second line-up. If Casspi's shot is on then he's the better choice here but for that particular line-up a finisher like Bell could actually work just as well in many games. Replace West with McGee and Jones and Casspi is obviously the one to go with. Anyhow, we can't just disregard defense. Even if we assume that other players would be more effective offensively than Bell, Bell's defense might very well outweigh any reduced offensive efficiency.
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Re: Looney 

Post#47 » by Mac1958 » Mon Jul 31, 2017 10:05 pm

I'm still trying to figure out how Bell made it to 38, especially the way the NBA has evolved.

Is it possible that expectations are too high here?

Granted, he pretty much looked as advertised in the summer league.
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Re: Looney 

Post#48 » by SinceGatlingWasARookie » Tue Aug 1, 2017 1:10 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:Looney definitely looks to be the odd man out if we make a move midway through the season. Jones has great size and athleticism so there is at least some raw potential there and Bell is a freak athlete with a freak motor. Not really sure I see what Looney brings right now. He is a good rebounder but that is about it.


I think Looney can shoot but Casspi can also Shoot. If Looney got healthy he might be able to block some shots. He is not a leaper but his arms looked long to me.

Warriors seem to be gambling on guys with injury problems getting healthy and I sort of like that the gambling. Jones was injured. Rush was injured. Bogut was injury prone. Boucher got injured. Livingston had an injury and is not exactly a point guard and yet isn't really a wing player either.

Draymond was unique and didn't have a clear position. Ian Clark didn't really fit into a position. Bell is sort of like Draymond.

McGee was a psychological gamble and has his asthma problem.

West is old.

Warriors keep winning their bets except Looney and Jones are looking like lost bets. Rather than choosing safe mediocrity the Warriors are picking guys that are a little different.

McCaw is a rather normal looking player except McCaw should have been drafted in the first round. There was probably something odd about McCaw that I am not aware of.

I wouldn't count Looney out yet.. He has to get healthy before I would be able to say that he is not an NBA player. He has to stay injured for another half season before I would be ready to give up on the idea that could get healthy.
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Re: Looney 

Post#49 » by old rem » Tue Aug 1, 2017 4:21 pm

SinceGatlingWasARookie wrote:Maybe showcase Looney early. If Looney plays well he can be turned into a 2nd round pick or be kept next year instead of Caspi and Bell

Looney showed me a little something other years. If Bell and Caspi play well there isn't much use for Looney. But who knows who will be traded or not be resigned next summer. Somebody needs to be Draymond's back up in 2019. Durant can swing to power forward so Draymond's 2019 back up does not need to be a particularly good player. Looney might be a very cheap back up.

If Looney can't run then just cut him.

Start out with Bell in the G league and hope for early blow outs so Dramond can rest and Looney can play.


Well.....not being full health, we still do not KNOW what Looney may be.. and neither Jones nor Bell has much (if any) NBA resume.
I assume not all 3 are back in a year. How this evolves? I can not say yet. Maybe mid December we all see who's useful or is not.
Right now? too little info.
CENSORED... No comment.
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Re: Looney 

Post#50 » by Onus » Tue Aug 1, 2017 8:56 pm

The-Power wrote:First off, I'm really enjoying the discussion with you, Onus. It's a great back-and-forth with a lot of interesting content imo.


I agree there's a lot to be gained to go through something like this in depth.

Jokic loves players who cut and the entire Denver system is based around shooting and cutting. Yes, ideally a player can do both. But again, this doesn't mean a player who can only cut but finish extremely well would be an obstacle to a more efficient offense.

Jokic and Faried posted a 124 on-court ORTG with the Nuggets last year, with Faried posting a stunning 66% TS on 192 TSA. Without Jokic? 55% TS on 309 TSA – that's a difference of 11%! By the way, the Nuggets on-court ORTG with Jokic on, Faried off was ‘only‘ at 117.5 (6.5 points worse). So obviously Faried and Jokic worked well together both at the individual and the team level. And Faried is the type of player I envision Bell to be style-wise. At least at first. Or is there another player clearly more similar to Bell than Faried on offense in terms of physical traits, skill set and playing style?


That's interesting to learn. I really do need to watch more of Jokic and Denver next year. Perhaps Bell would fit with Jokic, but Jokic seems to be unlike most other players. I would say that Faried is much more active than Bell however, but there are similarities.

I feel like you're too pessimistic in your view on clogged lanes. Bell doesn't necessarily clog the lane just because he can't shoot. There's a lot he can do off the ball to free up shooters and cut to the rim in the right moments to finish there, he doesn't have to stand around watching other players move around. If you completely cheat off him, a smart coach will make the opponent pay for that when he has a player who can finish strong above the rim and get offensive rebounds – these players in a solid offensive system, as long as they are not completely stupid, demand at least some kind of attention even when they are in spots from which they can't score immediately. Rodman and Tristan Thompson are two prime examples of that and while Bell isn't going to be such an outlier on the offensive glass, it applies to him as well to some extent. He's not going to be Tony Allen'd.


It's more about having 2 bigs that can't do anything other than finish, than it is necessarily about Bell clogging the lane. Finding a 5 that does 4 things is rather rare, especially if they do more than just shoot.

It depends on how you define a ‘big‘ in this case. I could easily see Bell playing next to Draymond for example. Same for West, as I already mentioned. And even with Durant should be an option unless we can't play the opponent's true big man off the floor perhaps (but I'm not sure many true big men could stay on the floor). I see him as a small ball 5 (or 4/5 with Green) and a regular 4 only next to a rangy big (of whom we only have West).


In these cases he'd be playing the 5 as I've been saying. With West, perhaps West is a worse Jokic and that works out. I'm willing to see it.

If we run a Curry/Green PnR then these dunks would mostly be there because TT wouldn't be in the picture for most dunks.
I mean really we should probably be running this with Klay and Durant in the corners and we'd probably get buckets all day.

I mean, we're not exactly a typical team. Livingston's unique role, Green's and Igoudala's playmaking primacy, McGee's alley-oops – all that wouldn't be as effective and emphasized on any other team. If one team can make someone like Bell be highly effective in his limited role on offense, it's us. And since you already mentioned the evolution of the game: Bell's defense is taylor-made for today's game. So if he can be a defensive 4 with the ability to switch onto anyone for a possession and provide elite help defense, you'll find a role on offense that makes his positive impact outweigh any possible problem on offense (that isn't even necessarily there imo, but even if we assume it is).


I'm not arguing his role on this team. I totally expect him to be a contributor on this team. The only thing I'm saying is he's going to have his most impact as a 5. If he's strictly a 4 most of the time, it really will limit his impact, especially as a defensive anchor.


Depending on what player plays next to him: possibly. The bigger problem would be on defense as McGee can't defend out at the perimeter. Either way, as I wrote above, Bell is more versatile on McGee and hence better suited to actually play next to another big. He's more flexible in his movements, he can put the ball on the floor a bit, he's a superior passer with superior vision and can do more on the move. It's not like Bell would be another McGee on offense.

Bell maybe a bit more versatile, hopefully his passing works out to become a weapon, but coming out I doubt it's something that will take center stage. I'm really not sure where this he can put the ball on the floor is coming from. Him dribbling down an empty runway isn't something that is going to become a weapon. He'll probably be able to take a couple dribbles in empty space but no where would I think he'd put the ball on the floor as a positive for him.

Bell and McGee isn't a great combo, that's true. But that's the only possible combination of two players who are strictly finishers on offense with our team. Well, add Jones to that but he's not that important at the moment.

Add Zaza to that list. Mostly other traditional 5s, because he's mostly a traditional 5 on offense.

I'm actually not sure. I like the second line-up. If Casspi's shot is on then he's the better choice here but for that particular line-up a finisher like Bell could actually work just as well in many games. Replace West with McGee and Jones and Casspi is obviously the one to go with. Anyhow, we can't just disregard defense. Even if we assume that other players would be more effective offensively than Bell, Bell's defense might very well outweigh any reduced offensive efficiency.

If Bell's defense is the real deal and anchor worthy I'd still rather throw out McCaw, Young, Iguodala, Casspi, Bell than McCaw, Young, Iguodala, Bell, West.

IDK I'm probably higher on Casspi than most as I think he can play a bit of back up stretch 4 and will be useful. But the first lineup everyone should be able to switch everything, with a good amount of offensive firepower. The switch everything should allow Bell to zone up and be a defensive anchor the way Draymond is. That is if he's able to communicate through the switches as expertly as Draymond does.
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Re: Looney 

Post#51 » by Onus » Tue Aug 1, 2017 8:59 pm

Mac1958 wrote:I'm still trying to figure out how Bell made it to 38, especially the way the NBA has evolved.

Is it possible that expectations are too high here?

Granted, he pretty much looked as advertised in the summer league.


I think Bell will thrive here, but I don't think his impact is as portable as other players. Similar to how I don't think Draymond's full impact is as portable as other players he's on the same tier as an impact player.

I should add defensive only players aren't usually drafted very highly, let alone defensive players that are tweeners.
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Re: Looney 

Post#52 » by cladden » Wed Aug 2, 2017 5:52 am

I believe I predicted that Looney would have a breakout year last summer.
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Re: Looney 

Post#53 » by turk3d » Wed Aug 2, 2017 3:49 pm

SinceGatlingWasARookie wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:Looney definitely looks to be the odd man out if we make a move midway through the season. Jones has great size and athleticism so there is at least some raw potential there and Bell is a freak athlete with a freak motor. Not really sure I see what Looney brings right now. He is a good rebounder but that is about it.


I think Looney can shoot but Casspi can also Shoot. If Looney got healthy he might be able to block some shots. He is not a leaper but his arms looked long to me.

Warriors seem to be gambling on guys with injury problems getting healthy and I sort of like that the gambling. Jones was injured. Rush was injured. Bogut was injury prone. Boucher got injured. Livingston had an injury and is not exactly a point guard and yet isn't really a wing player either.

Draymond was unique and didn't have a clear position. Ian Clark didn't really fit into a position. Bell is sort of like Draymond.

McGee was a psychological gamble and has his asthma problem.

West is old.

Warriors keep winning their bets except Looney and Jones are looking like lost bets. Rather than choosing safe mediocrity the Warriors are picking guys that are a little different.

McCaw is a rather normal looking player except McCaw should have been drafted in the first round. There was probably something odd about McCaw that I am not aware of.

I wouldn't count Looney out yet.. He has to get healthy before I would be able to say that he is not an NBA player. He has to stay injured for another half season before I would be ready to give up on the idea that could get healthy.

That's what you have to do when you don't have any picks or when you do, they're way high (worse picks). Might as well gamble.
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Re: Looney 

Post#54 » by Warriorfan » Wed Aug 2, 2017 6:34 pm

I liked the Looney pick and thought he was great value at the end of the 1st. Availability is the best ability in the NBA and hopefully we get to see it from Kevon. Length shot blocking and rebounding are his strengths with a glimmer of shooting potential.
All those traits are suppose to transfer well from college to the NBA.

We haven't seen anything from him but he is young. Warriors trade him for a heavily protected pick they save 6 million in luxury tax and maybe get another true PG.
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Re: Looney 

Post#55 » by FrigginFalcon » Wed Aug 2, 2017 9:19 pm

I hope that the Warriors make an effort to give Looney some minutes WITH 3 or 4 of the starting unit in games while they still matter, in order to give him a real chance to develop and to prove himself. Similarly with McCaw, Jones, and Bell. The Dubs have the best starting five in the League, and certainly at least in the conversation about the best starting five ever. They are also more than five deep in reserves of PROVEN ability, which is great for giving starters some rest in the Warriors' fast-paced style of play, and as a hedge against injuries.

The downside of that is that players deeper on the bench get few chances outside of "garbage time" to prove themselves and to develop while playing with starters against other teams' starters in meaningful situations. The Dubs certainly need to give the starting unit time together to stay sharp. They also need to work on normal rotational substitutions, especially with newcomer veterans Young & Casspi. But I hope they will also make an effort to work deeper on the bench both to develop the younger players and to figure out how much effort keeping each of them will be worth.

They have already voted with their wallets on many players -- Bogut, Varejao, Ezili, Rush, Barbosa, Speights, Clark, McAdoo, and to some extent, McGee. I think that most if not all of those decisions have been the right ones, given other constraints. But next summer, they are going to be right back to making lots of choices, mainly or entirely at the low end of the salary spectrum, and I think that more data, MEANINGFUL data on Looney, McCaw, Jones, and Bell will make for continuing the string of good decisions.

(I believe the Dubs have 1 draft pick (1st Round) next year, and several pundits believe the free-agent market will cool down even further next summer except for the true "marquee" players, so the Dubs will have the whole current roster, a couple of TWC players, a draft pick, and maybe 50 affordable free agents to choose from. Looney, Jones, and Bell will all be on contract or team option, so they will be "cheap keeps" or possibly have some trade value.)
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Re: Looney 

Post#56 » by Bball0000 » Wed Aug 2, 2017 11:52 pm

Some want to make McCaw the next K. Leonard and already writing off Looney. Both takes are waaaay too soon.

- He's 21
- He's been hobbled
- He's barely had any playing time
- Nuff said

Let the dude develop. I happen to like his bball instincts, and particularly how he fits into the team as a hustle guy, rebounder, defender, finishing big off the bench. Gives the team a different set of skills to compliment Zaza and McGee. Now if the new rookie Bell proves himself as a valuable rotation player, or if Looney stays gimpy, then that changes things and the amount of patience for Looney's development.
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Re: Looney 

Post#57 » by Bball0000 » Thu Aug 3, 2017 12:00 am

turk3d wrote:Two things: 1) We don't have a real "starting" Center because we like using smaller guys (part of our death lineup) and it just doesn't fit our style of play (the style of play that Kerr prefers) and 2) Bell can play Center in our smallball lineups, backup for Green, etc.) Our contingent of Zaza/McGee and West will be playing the "big ball" Center for us (and possibly some Jones, depending on how he progresses).


This can turn out to be a weakness down the road. So always good to have insurance at C, like you mentioned the "big ball" center. McGee actually did an ok job as a rim protector. He changed some games with his size. No one beats the Warriors at their own game. That's why I think if any other teams want to have any hope of a chance, it's going to be the Pelicans type of model, or a hybrid. Dominant bigs surrounded by shooters and playmakers. Too many teams trying to beat the death lineup, when they should be doing the opposite. That's why the Warriors have struggled the most vs the Grizzlies in past playoffs.

The 2000 Lakers could probably beat the 2016-17 Warriors because of the dominance of a big man - Shaq.
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Re: Looney 

Post#58 » by turk3d » Thu Aug 3, 2017 12:12 am

Bball0000 wrote:
turk3d wrote:Two things: 1) We don't have a real "starting" Center because we like using smaller guys (part of our death lineup) and it just doesn't fit our style of play (the style of play that Kerr prefers) and 2) Bell can play Center in our smallball lineups, backup for Green, etc.) Our contingent of Zaza/McGee and West will be playing the "big ball" Center for us (and possibly some Jones, depending on how he progresses).


This can turn out to be a weakness down the road. So always good to have insurance at C, like you mentioned the "big ball" center. McGee actually did an ok job as a rim protector. He changed some games with his size. No one beats the Warriors at their own game. That's why I think if any other teams want to have any hope of a chance, it's going to be the Pelicans type of model, or a hybrid. Dominant bigs surrounded by shooters and playmakers. Too many teams trying to beat the death lineup, when they should be doing the opposite. That's why the Warriors have struggled the most vs the Grizzlies in past playoffs.

The 2000 Lakers could probably beat the 2016-17 Warriors because of the dominance of a big man - Shaq.

Showtime Lakers should have a shot as well with Kareem, Magic, lol. That's a big point in wanting McGee back. It prevents most teams from being able to punish us in the paint too easily (minus Bogut) which has happened at times during our 3 year run. Personally, I like having all angles covered.
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Re: Looney 

Post#59 » by statsman » Thu Aug 3, 2017 2:26 am

Geez, more time spent writing posts in a Looney thread than he's spent on an NBA court in his career.
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Re: Looney 

Post#60 » by SinceGatlingWasARookie » Thu Aug 3, 2017 2:43 am

Bball0000 wrote:

The 2000 Lakers could probably beat the 2016-17 Warriors because of the dominance of a big man - Shaq.

Maybe not. In Hack a Shaq the Waaiors have many hackers. In small ball have Durant front Shaq and try to stop the entry pass. I have seen Ostertag and Sabonis have some limited success against Shaq simply by being strong enough to not be knocked off balance when Shaq rump bumps them and shoulder slams them so maybe Zaza has a chance but probably not because as strong as Zaza is I don't think he is as strong as Ostertag. JaVale might be able to give ground and still get a hand near the shot.

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