Dubs 707 wrote:What can we expect from Wiggins when Klay returns? Unfortunately he got trusted in as the second option role will he thrive as the third option?
What numbers do you predict?
Wiggins had the most efficient year of his career last year, because he wasn’t asked to create as much for himself as he previously had, and he got more open shots than he ever had. More than the 18.6 ppg he scored (in his lowest MPG of his career at 33.3), what mattered to me last year and will matter to me this year is how efficient he was.
He shot 52.9% on 2-pointers, which is better than his previous best of 50.6% for 2019-20 (split between Minnesota and GSW).
He shot 38.0% on 3-pointers, which is better than his previous best of 35.6%.
Combined, he shot 47.7% overall, with a true shooting of 56.8%. His previous career highs were 45.9% and 54.3%, respectively.
Those “jumps” (about 2.5% on every stat) is huge when you’re talking about a 7th-year player. And I think they’re indicative of him playing in our system, with a guy who distracts the defense (Curry), a guy who knows how to hit players who are open (Draymond), and less need to create his own shots.
And the reason I mention this is because when you add another guy who can distract defenses (Klay) and guys off the bench (Poole, Iguodala) who will reduce Wiggins’ need to create…… I think we could see similar gains in efficiency. Part of that is that with improved spacing, he’ll be able to make even more off-ball cuts to the hoop and get a lot of easy baskets on feeds from others.
But I also think that due to the increased depth - particularly on the wing - he may not play as many minutes. And he will be able to lock in even harder on defense.
So here’s my guess on Wiggins’ numbers, after Klay comes back (healthy):
Minutes/game: 32
Points/game: 18 (3rd-highest scorer on the team)
2-point %: 55%
3-point %: 39%
Overall %: 49%
True shooting: 59%
Rebounding and assists, he is what he is. He’ll average probably a little under 5 rebounds/game, and 2.5 assists/game. I don’t see much deviation there from his historical performance.
But if he’s hitting those percentages, playing that efficiently on offense, and locking guys down on defense…… with one year left on his contract after this upcoming season, he will have turned around peoples’ opinions of him.