Warriors Playoffs Jinx Thread

[Twinkie defense]

So... I don't think anyone has expected another Warriors Finals appearance this season right? But just thinking about the bracket, is there any more fortuitous path for the Warriors than Rockets (3-2 Warriors advantage in regular season) in the first round, T-Wolves (3-1) in the second round, and OKC (2-1) in the WCF?

OKC is obviously a juggernaut this season, they play good defense, and SGA is elite.

Seems to me the Warriors are most disadvantaged when they go up against a solid defensive team with a couple of elite, three point shooting wings. Clippers are the prototype. Rockets, Wolves, and OKC are not that.

[statsman]

I was in the camp that just wanted to get past the play-in and make the playoffs, mainly to complete the Butler trade with a non-lottery first round draft pick (there is still the 2031 second round pick going out). Without that, the first round draft pick obligation would have continued to extend through 2027, tying up the Warriors' ability to make any trades requiring a future first round pick.

If they manage to get past the Rockets, they are in "found money" territory for me. Having at least one more series would add to the postseason experience for the younger players (heck, Hield's entire postseason experience prior to this season was 4 games last year with the Sixers).

[Onus]

Seems to me the Warriors are most disadvantaged when they go up against a solid defensive team with a couple of elite, three point shooting wings. Clippers are the prototype. Rockets, Wolves, and OKC are not that.

How is okc not an elite defense with 3 point shooting? I guess they aren't elite 3 point shooting but they are a good 3 point shooting team and have been elite offensively and defensively.

But yea this is probably the best path for us to get to the finals.

[Jester_]

definitely the best path we could've envisioned

curious how everyone feels about us against OKC?

I think we're the scariest team for them to play. we have 2 of the 3 best players on the floor. they also don't have a real 2nd option, just a couple of 3rd options. we won the season series before Jimmy even got here

reminds me of OKC vs Spurs in 2016. balanced teams usually underperform in the playoffs

[EvanZ]

So... I don't think anyone has expected another Warriors Finals appearance this season right? But just thinking about the bracket, is there any more fortuitous path for the Warriors than Rockets (3-2 Warriors advantage in regular season) in the first round, T-Wolves (3-1) in the second round, and OKC (2-1) in the WCF?

OKC is obviously a juggernaut this season, they play good defense, and SGA is elite.

Seems to me the Warriors are most disadvantaged when they go up against a solid defensive team with a couple of elite, three point shooting wings. Clippers are the prototype. Rockets, Wolves, and OKC are not that.

I mean OKC's defense is unreal. And when they have Chet and Hartenstein healthy together I think they are unbeatable. But sure other that that.

[vvoland]

RE: OKC

J-Dub is a great young player but as the 2nd option on a title winning team, not so sure about that at this age.

They are an average 3pt shooting team but they went cold last year in the playoffs and I wouldn't be shocked to see it happen to them again. They may still win because the defense is just that good, but their offense is not elite and may be their downfall. Sphincters get clenched once you get to the conference finals or beyond, especially if you've never been there before. Hard to hit threes when uranus is exerting enough pressure to turn coal into diamonds.

I also think OKC's runway is nowhere near as good as people think. Historically cheap organization with a bunch of people coming up for max extensions while possibly becoming eligible for the supermax. If they don't win it this year or next, not so sure they'll have many more bites at the apple. Also, everyone has wet dreams about their picks but there are not that many premium picks among the bunch. I would probably take the Spurs and Hou draft assets over OKC's, at this point.

Having said all that, I may be just hating on them since they carpet bagged that team out of Seattle. I mean, I've refused to drink Starbucks for that same reason for years now.

[EvanZ]

RE: OKC

J-Dub is a great young player but as the 2nd option on a title winning team, not so sure about that at this age.

They are an average 3pt shooting team but they went cold last year in the playoffs and I wouldn't be shocked to see it happen to them again. They may still win because the defense is just that good, but their offense is not elite and may be their downfall. Sphincters get clenched once you get to the conference finals or beyond, especially if you've never been there before. Hard to hit threes when uranus is exerting enough pressure to turn coal into diamonds.

That's a weird way to characterize a team that is 6th in 3P% and 6th in made 3s this season and has maybe 10 guys that would be the second best 3pt shooter on GS.

[vvoland]

RE: OKC

J-Dub is a great young player but as the 2nd option on a title winning team, not so sure about that at this age.

They are an average 3pt shooting team but they went cold last year in the playoffs and I wouldn't be shocked to see it happen to them again. They may still win because the defense is just that good, but their offense is not elite and may be their downfall. Sphincters get clenched once you get to the conference finals or beyond, especially if you've never been there before. Hard to hit threes when uranus is exerting enough pressure to turn coal into diamonds.

That's a weird way to characterize a team that is 6th in 3P% and 6th in made 3s this season and has maybe 10 guys that would be the second best 3pt shooter on GS.

Jinx thread. I'm grasping at straws here, i know.

[Twinkie defense]

Seems to me the Warriors are most disadvantaged when they go up against a solid defensive team with a couple of elite, three point shooting wings. Clippers are the prototype. Rockets, Wolves, and OKC are not that.

How is okc not an elite defense with 3 point shooting? I guess they aren't elite 3 point shooting but they are a good 3 point shooting team and have been elite offensively and defensively.

I don't watch a ton of OKC but they don't seem to have "a couple of elite, three point shooting wings."

They are 12th in the League in 3 pointers made, 14th in 3 point shooting percentage. Shai is brilliant but he is more of a penetrator, and is basically Andrew Wiggins from the three point line.

When the Warriors defense breaks down it's when they get spread out, scramble to recover. And if teams don't spread them out they can really lock down on defense.

Not that I think OKC would be an easy matchup, or that the Warriors would be favored to win that series. Just that it's a game of matchups and the Warriors match up with OKC pretty well.

[Twinkie defense]

So... I don't think anyone has expected another Warriors Finals appearance this season right? But just thinking about the bracket, is there any more fortuitous path for the Warriors than Rockets (3-2 Warriors advantage in regular season) in the first round, T-Wolves (3-1) in the second round, and OKC (2-1) in the WCF?

OKC is obviously a juggernaut this season, they play good defense, and SGA is elite.

Seems to me the Warriors are most disadvantaged when they go up against a solid defensive team with a couple of elite, three point shooting wings. Clippers are the prototype. Rockets, Wolves, and OKC are not that.

I mean OKC's defense is unreal. And when they have Chet and Hartenstein healthy together I think they are unbeatable. But sure other that that.

Very solid on defense and offense, they have Championship potential for sure.

But Warriors have an even better defense that OKC?

[HiRez]

There's no easy path for us. If we were to advance past HOU and MIN/LAL, we're going to have to face one of OKC, DEN, LAC, all of whom are very difficult matchups for us, for different reasons.

That being said, HOU --> MIN --> OKC is maybe the best we can hope for, although I might prefer Denver to OKC. And then hope Knicks or Pacers prevail over CLE/BOS.

[Twinkie defense]

RE: OKC

J-Dub is a great young player but as the 2nd option on a title winning team, not so sure about that at this age.

They are an average 3pt shooting team but they went cold last year in the playoffs and I wouldn't be shocked to see it happen to them again. They may still win because the defense is just that good, but their offense is not elite and may be their downfall. Sphincters get clenched once you get to the conference finals or beyond, especially if you've never been there before. Hard to hit threes when uranus is exerting enough pressure to turn coal into diamonds.

That's a weird way to characterize a team that is 6th in 3P% and 6th in made 3s this season and has maybe 10 guys that would be the second best 3pt shooter on GS.

The rim has gotten a little smaller for OKC in the playoffs.

[Onus]

There's no easy path for us. If we were to advance past HOU and MIN/LAL, we're going to have to face one of OKC, DEN, LAC, all of whom are very difficult matchups for us, for different reasons.

That being said, HOU --> MIN --> OKC is maybe the best we can hope for, although I might prefer Denver to OKC. And then hope Knicks or Pacers prevail over CLE/BOS.

I actually think Cleveland gives us the most trouble

[Jester_]

we have 3 of the 4 best players in all of these matchups

[floppymoose]

Jinx Accomplished

[cpower]

GJ i have a feeling we will lose the series.. Curry and Butler gassed and nobody can make a basket

[Onus]

What a jinx. Delete this thread

[statsman]

What a jinx. Delete this thread

A total head-scratcher that this thread is still around.

[Twinkie defense]

Lol at you fools you do know that nothing we say on this message board affects the team's performance one iota right?

[Twinkie defense]

When the Warriors win the Championship I'm gonna come back and @ all you fools