ROWELL wrote:When did I predict total collapse?
I just said they wouldn't get to 50 wins.
We're really good and will beat the crap out of everyone from now on.
I think you'e right, but the applicable phrase here is
RIGHT NOW.
Unfortunately, the one qualifier that needs to be included is: it depends on coaching from here on out. You look at the numbers and you come up with the question, how? How did we get to such a good record up to this point, considering our inconsistency and our propensity to get our behinds handed to us by inferior teams (and then come right back and take down one of the best)?
I'll tell you right now it hasn't been the coaching for the most part (at least up until after the trade deadline since Nellie has finally started to coach to his ability). This team went to the playoffs last year and has been succeeding up to this point this for one simple reason:
Talent. Yes, it was Nellie who came up with the game plan to beat Dallas in the playoffs (also came up with the game plan which got us beat by Utah) but it was the
Players talent which is what got them to the playoffs. J-Rich, the resurgence of Baron, Jackson and Harrington putting forth almost superhuman efforts was what carried them to their remarkable run to te playoffs. For those of you who have an unbiased memory, Nelson had already written off the season and was prepared to tank the rest of it (perhaps to get into the Oden or Durant sweepstakes) but the Warrior veteran players just would not give up and "willed" their way to the playoffs.
This year, Nellie was "tanking" for a different reason, not because he was looking to move up in the draft (he knew this team was just too good to
not make the playoffs), he was trying to position himself to get the FO to pick up another player (or players) in a trade which he was unable to do (probably because Mullin wasn't willing to give up one of his kids or because there really weren't any players that could really justify a major move).
Once the trade deadline was over, it's clear to me that Nellie decided to start coaching (the way he's cabable of) by him playing more bigs and his insertion of Wright into the lineup (he still struggles with that "old nature" of "staying small" as wellas wanting to keep his young bigs on the bench) even giving O'Bryant some minutes. It was good to see him insert Andris back into the starting lineup upon his return (remember before AB went out, he was only sporadically starting him and only playing him limited minutes). It remains to be seen how much time Beans will be getting once he's fully recovered, but I can tell you one thing, we looking 8th seed at best if he gets back into that 15-20 minutes a game for him and one and done if we manage to get into the playoffs.
So why the good record? Too much talent, to keep these guys down. Many of the games we've won (particularly the close ones and the ones we made big comebacks) are a result of super efforts by these great players, even when Nellie puts them behind the eight ball by his poor ssubstitutions. The Warriors have talent, which is evident by the fact that they are one of the few teams who did not make a big trade and yet they've improved. That's because their talent base is so strong. Our 1-12 is about as strong as any in the league (however it doesn't help when Nellie only plays 7 or 8 ). We have 3-4 stars right now (Baron, Jack, Monta, Biedrens) which probably stack up with any 3 or 4 players in the league. The only team that I would say has more talent than us right now is the Lakers and perhaps Utah, otherwise we should be a playoff lock and have a realistic chance to make the 5th or 6th seed. Denver may have more, but with all their injuries, we've moved ahead of them, especially in our 12.
It all depends on coaching I believe from here on out.
Don't be fooled by smallball. If you want us to keep getting beat by weaker teams and have to squeak out close games when we should be winning going away, then fine, enjoy the Koolaid. What's going to win games is not just smallball, but a mix of it along with playing you bigs at times (sometimes 2 at a time) and utilizing your entire bench so that we are able to rest our "stars" and be able to keep them fresh so that we can continue to run at our "frenetic pace" throughout the stretch run and into the playoffs. This is where Nellie has to be the "maestro" or "conductor" who directs this team and makes the right moves, at the right times. He can do this. No more hidden agendas, no more pet peeves, no more "mind games" with certain players, just coach. O
ur bigs need to get integrated into the mix and our rotation has to take this into account, otherwise we will run out of gas. By playing this way, you will be able to force the opposition to be the ones to run out of gas instead of us this time and I think these guys (while the rest of the league's players have been dropping like flies) will remain healthy and have the juice left to make it even farther this time around.