The Idiot's Guide to Lottery Odds
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 11:33 pm
2008 NBA Draft Lottery
Probability of Getting the No. 1 Pick
Team Probability Event with Similar Probability
Heat 25% Dwyane Wade making 3-pointer.
Sonics 19.9% Kevin Durant making 12 straight free throws.
Wolves 13.8% Al Jefferson making three straight shots.
Grizz 13.7% Rudy Gay taking 20-plus shots in a game.
Knicks 7.6% David Lee getting 15-plus rebounds in a game.
Clippers 7.5% Elton Brand scoring over 30 points in a game.
Bucks 4.3% Michael Redd making five-plus 3s in a game.
Bobcats 2.8% Emeka Okafor six-plus blocks in a game.
Bulls 1.7% Ben Gordon making 27 straight free throws.
Nets 1.1% Vince Carter scoring over 45 points in a game.
Pacers 0.8% Jermaine O'Neal scoring 30-plus points.
Kings 0.7% Ron Artest getting eight-plus steals in a game.
Blazers 0.6% Brandon Roy making five straight 3-pointers.
Warriors 0.5% Davis making six straight shots from the field.
*Table Statistics Compiled By Alok Pattani, ESPN Research Last year's lottery
Probability of Getting the No. 1 Pick
Team Probability Event with Similar Probability
Heat 25% Dwyane Wade making 3-pointer.
Sonics 19.9% Kevin Durant making 12 straight free throws.
Wolves 13.8% Al Jefferson making three straight shots.
Grizz 13.7% Rudy Gay taking 20-plus shots in a game.
Knicks 7.6% David Lee getting 15-plus rebounds in a game.
Clippers 7.5% Elton Brand scoring over 30 points in a game.
Bucks 4.3% Michael Redd making five-plus 3s in a game.
Bobcats 2.8% Emeka Okafor six-plus blocks in a game.
Bulls 1.7% Ben Gordon making 27 straight free throws.
Nets 1.1% Vince Carter scoring over 45 points in a game.
Pacers 0.8% Jermaine O'Neal scoring 30-plus points.
Kings 0.7% Ron Artest getting eight-plus steals in a game.
Blazers 0.6% Brandon Roy making five straight 3-pointers.
Warriors 0.5% Davis making six straight shots from the field.
*Table Statistics Compiled By Alok Pattani, ESPN Research Last year's lottery