Susan wrote:dice wrote:Susan wrote:
What available FAs at what positions would have brought similar improvement?
doesn't matter. pace obviously could have spent that $14 mil on any random defensive FAs and it would have significantly improved the defense. even if it was just to add depth. but he could have optimized that improvement by shuffling a couple of pieces through trades. that's the job of a GM, particularly in a hard-capped league - to optimize your resources. now, trading for mack obviously was more beneficial for THIS season because he's not a $14 mil player. market value has him at a $22 mil player, which he will start making next season. problem is, pace effectively gave up $32 mil per year or whatever to get him given the additional value of assets traded. you don't spend $32 for a $22 asset when you're on a fixed budget. it simply doesn't make sense. fuller will be getting a big raise next season as well. and a couple of other guys get significant raises. the cap doesn't go up enough to offset that, so given the reduced potential for value contracts going forward (traded draft picks), the roster will have to be trimmed to offset that. pace has to hit on lower round draft picks to offset that. and that's just to maintain the quality of team that the bears are this season. all bets are off once guys like jackson, the RBs and trubisky are off their dirt cheap deals
So your thought is that it doesn't matter who they spend that $14m on? That's absurd dude. You only play 11 guys, depth does **** for you when you don't have elite talent leading the way.
what i said, and you clearly didn't process it, is that a GM should optimize their resources. if you don't have a specific slot to plug a FA in, you make trades and/or add depth. MAKE spots to spend that money on. if you've painted yourself into a corner where you feel compelled to trade draft picks for a freshly signed market value free agent, you've planned poorly
because, you see, market value is what the player is worth. the raiders didn't even think he was worth the money he signed for. mack and his agent thought he was. the bears apparently thought that he was worth significantly MORE than what mack and his agent thought he was worth!

is a player worth:
A) what he's negotiated to be paid (which happens to be the largest contract for a defensive player ever), OR
B) what he's negotiated to be worth...plus additional assets
the mack trade was like some nobody desperate to get into the hottest restaurant in town. the doorman (gruden) says he'll let him in in exchange for his jacket (draft picks). the schlub agrees and gives up his jacket to pay a huge menu price for a great steak (mack). he doesn't get to replace his jacket later because he's on a fixed budget (hard salary cap)
the GM equivalent of the ego boost associated with getting into the restaurant is the marketing boost gained from making a splashy trade for a big name player. his wallet is much lighter and he's jacket-less, "but it was a great steak!" meanwhile, gruden is thinking "damn, i know the steak is great, but i wouldn't have even paid menu price"
and by the way, depth is absolutely important in the game of football. particularly on defense. because in football, you'll notice that players get injured all the time. and players get rotated in regularly to keep fresh bodies on the field. the bears got real lucky this past season on the injury front
Pace has proven he can draft and then develop talent. He's done it in every round.
You're talking about 2021 (when Trubisky gets off his deal), it's 2018-19 and this team has a legit shot to get to the Super Bowl. Maybe Pace has done a good job?
never said pace doesn't do a good job, did i? he's drafted great. which is maybe why, i dunno, he shouldn't TRADE AWAY DRAFT PICKS FOR A MARKET VALUE FA!
you're right about trubisky's contract. as i've said, pace was going all in on 2018, 2019 and 2020. year 1 produced excellent results, but the price of those trades manifests itself more in 2019 and more yet in 2020 as the loss of draft picks is felt. of course, if pace continues to hit on mid-round picks, which is largely luck, the traded picks won't matter as much. and the unexpected excellent season in 2018 made the loss of the first rounder he gave up in this year's draft much less painful
i have merely said the mack trade was bad logic. and apparently others are finally seeing that too:
https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears/analytics-conference-says-raiders-trading-mack-bears-was-best-transaction-2018