Post mini-camp thoughts on JA's gamble
Posted: Sun Mar 22, 2009 12:49 am
So let's pretend he's right. Lets say:
(1) Anderson returns to rookie form under new coaching,
(2) bennet steps up and becomes a decent possession man to counter Hester's improvement as the deep threat,
(3) Steltz steps in and doesn't get blasted on a goal line stance ala 2nd Vikings game and
(4) That the new defensive backs coach understands that if you keep lining up 8 yards off the line, opposing QB's will keep throwing the quick slant (add other coaching idiot moves here).
Now was that so hard to imagine?![]()
Now that mini camp is done, one thing, IMO seems clear. JA is completely rolling the dice on the new coaches to figure out exactly what he has on defense and would answer this post's question by stating - #1 is an incomplete assumption - he is expecting the entire D-Line to return to form under the new coaching and if they do everything else falls into place on defense. Thus, I wouldn't be surprised if the only defensive player we take on day one (our top 5) picks is a safety (ex: OT, WR S, OG WR)
I PREDICT PART A:
JA will use this draft (and immediate post draft FA) to:
1) solidify the O-Line for years to come by drafting an OT, OG and signing a veteran OT
2) create competition at WR by signing one in FA (or trade) and drafting two (one high, one low)
3) signing a veteran who understands the word "backup" QB at the conclusion of the draft (i.e.not Garcia).
These moves will put the offense in a position to succeed - and if they do not at QB or WR, leave the Bears in a position to plug in those spots in FA next season with impact players. The Bears do spend money and in retrospect, this FA class does look pretty mediocre RELATIVE to the money they got.
DEFENSE
If JA's roll of the dice on Marinelli comes up 7/11 then he looks like a genius. The D-Line finally gets pressure on the QB, which means we don't need to blitz like crazy - which takes the pressure off the DBs. That would mean he's got a top defense completely under contract. If his roll of the dice craps out? Then this team will have a sub .500 record and....
I PREDICT BART B:
1) Next years draft or will focus on getting an elite DE to bring pressure
2) FA will focus on bringing in a solid Safety for Lovie's cover 2
3) We will draft a MLB to replace #54
Either way, by not going into FA this year and having most the overwhelming majority of the team under contract, JA has the money put aside as insurance against being wrong on his assumptions in a FA year without a salary cap.