http://accuscore.com/articles/nba-articles/nba-preview%3a-southwest-division/
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ACCUSCORE SEASON FORECAST BASED ON 10,000 SIMULATED SEASONS
TEAM TOTALS W L PS PA WIN DIVISION PLAYOFFS
[B]Houston Rockets 59 23[/B] 102.0 92.0 43.2% 99.1%
WINS 60+ 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 21-24 <=20
Win Total Range 51% 21% 17% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
The addition of Ron Artest makes Houston the favorite to take the Southwest Division. Their excellent defense is forecasted to hold teams to just 92 points per game. Ron Artest is capable of averaging over 20, but on the Rockets he is expected to take a backseat to Yao and McGrady. Artest helps the offense with a valuable 3.5 assists per game (forecasted) which is a high figure for a small forward. Injuries are always a concern for the Rockets, but with Artest they have quality depth at every position except Center. Another serious Yao Ming injury would likely cost the Rockets a shot at the Championship. By relying more on 2nd year PF Luis Scola to provide some offense the Rockets could cut down Yao's minutes in the regular season and hopefully keep him fresh and healthy all season long.
PLAYER FORECAST PTS AST REB FGM FGP FTM FTP 3PM BLK STL
Yao Ming 21.5 1.6 9.2 8.1 51.5% 5.4 85.6% 0.0 1.9 0.5
Tracy McGrady 21.1 6.3 5.0 7.7 42.3% 4.4 70.1% 1.3 0.5 1.3
Ron Artest 14.7 3.4 5.8 5.2 44.9% 3.4 72.8% 1.0 0.7 1.9
Rafer Alston 10.5 4.5 3.2 3.8 38.6% 1.2 72.3% 1.7 0.2 1.5
Luis Scola 8.8 1.1 5.8 3.5 49.0% 1.8 67.3% 0.0 0.2 0.8
Shane Battier 8.1 1.7 4.2 2.8 43.4% 1.0 75.9% 1.5 1.0 1.1
Carl Landry 6.7 0.4 4.4 2.6 57.6% 1.5 67.3% 0.0 0.2 0.6
Chuck Hayes 3.4 0.7 5.3 1.6 53.5% 0.3 56.4% 0.0 0.4 1.0
Luther Head 2.7 0.3 0.3 1.0 45.3% 0.2 79.5% 0.5 0.0 0.1
OTHER 3.3 0.4 0.6 1.3 45.0% 0.3 77.6% 0.5 0.1 0.1
Also they predicted the Boston Celtics to go 58-24. So far on this prediction the Rockets have the best record as far as prediction but they haven't done the pacific yet.
